HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tao-heung" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2668:1" rel="noopener">Tao Heung (573 HK)</a>, a Chinese cuisine restaurant operator, has lost significant shop-days in 1H22 due to the pandemic. However, this is behind us and 2H22 outlook is better.</li>
<li>The recovery of Hong Kong operations will be supported by further relaxation of social distancing measures while, for mainland China, business has rebounded following removal of lockdowns.   </li>
<li>Its Chairman has upped his stake, signaling a vote of confidence. The stock's valuations are not expensive, but given low turnover, there will be potential share price volatility.</li>
</ul>



Tao Heung (573 HK), a Chinese cuisine restaurant operator, has lost significant shop-days in 1H22 due to the pandemic. However, this is behind us and 2H22 outlook is better.
The recovery of Hong Kong operations will be supported by further relaxation of social distancing measures while, for mainland China, business has rebounded following removal of lockdowns.   
Its Chairman has upped his stake, signaling a vote of confidence. The stock's valuations are not expensive, but given low turnover, there will be potential share price volatility.


Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

<ul>
<li>HK F&amp;B is set to have a reprieve as dine-in services at catering businesses can now remain open from 6 pm-10 pm ( max seating up to 4 people).</li>
<li>We provide a list of 34 names that will benefit from the removal of restrictions ( some with further catalysts down the road as they are exposed to China)</li>
<li>Our favorite pick remains <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taste-gourmet-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27339:1" rel="noopener">Taste Gourmet Group (8371 HK)</a> which we have written about in our insight <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/taste-gourmet-multibagger-reopening-play" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:67297" rel="noopener">Taste Gourmet: Multibagger Reopening Play</a>.</li>
</ul>


HK F&amp;B is set to have a reprieve as dine-in services at catering businesses can now remain open from 6 pm-10 pm ( max seating up to 4 people).
We provide a list of 34 names that will benefit from the removal of restrictions ( some with further catalysts down the road as they are exposed to China)
Our favorite pick remains Taste Gourmet Group (8371 HK) which we have written about in our insight Taste Gourmet: Multibagger Reopening Play.


A Comprehensive List of Hong Kong F&B Names to Play the Reopening

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>China State Construction International and Sinopec Engineering have short term reversal patterns indicating profit taking from recent advances.</li>
<li>China Resources Cement reverses downtrend with volume indicating some near term gains after reporting that 1st half profit was under pressure.</li>
<li>Yum China continues to show downward pressure given the increasing competition in the retail food segment, while Nongfu Spring collapses on news about the safety of its products.</li>
</ul>


China State Construction International and Sinopec Engineering have short term reversal patterns indicating profit taking from recent advances.
China Resources Cement reverses downtrend with volume indicating some near term gains after reporting that 1st half profit was under pressure.
Yum China continues to show downward pressure given the increasing competition in the retail food segment, while Nongfu Spring collapses on news about the safety of its products.


Technically Speaking: Breakouts & Breakdowns: HONG KONG (July 17)

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (SCBCBDID CH)</a>, a leading freshly made tea drinks company, has launched an HKEx IPO to raise US$330 million. The shares will be listed on 23 April.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/baicha-baidao-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:136692" rel="noopener">Baicha Baidao IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/baicha-baidao-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:136734" rel="noopener">Baicha Baidao IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>There are no cornerstone investors. Our valuation analysis suggests that Baicha is fairly valued at the HK$17.50 IPO price. Therefore, we would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (SCBCBDID CH), a leading freshly made tea drinks company, has launched an HKEx IPO to raise US$330 million. The shares will be listed on 23 April.
We previously discussed the IPO in Baicha Baidao IPO: The Bull Case and Baicha Baidao IPO: The Bear Case. 
There are no cornerstone investors. Our valuation analysis suggests that Baicha is fairly valued at the HK$17.50 IPO price. Therefore, we would pass on the IPO.


Baicha Baidao (2555 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Xiaocaiyuan International Holding / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaocaiyuan-international-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40688:1" rel="noopener">Xiaocaiyuan International Holding (XCY HK)</a> is looking to raise up to US$200m in its upcoming HK IPO.</li>
<li>Xiaocaiyuan is a Chinese home-style cuisine restaurant operator. It prices its menus’ items to achieve average spending per consumer between RMB50 and RMB70 for its dine-in customers at its restaurants. </li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.</li>
</ul>



Xiaocaiyuan International Holding (XCY HK) is looking to raise up to US$200m in its upcoming HK IPO.
Xiaocaiyuan is a Chinese home-style cuisine restaurant operator. It prices its menus’ items to achieve average spending per consumer between RMB50 and RMB70 for its dine-in customers at its restaurants. 
In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.


Xiaocaiyuan International Holding Pre-IPO - Strong Network Expansion and Same Store Sales Growth

Hong Kong

Tam Jai International Co. Limited operates restaurants. The Company provides specialties, fast food products, desserts, drinks, and other related products. Tam Jai International markets its products throughout Hong Kong.

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Tam Jai International (2217 HK)

Tao Heung (573 HK): Bon Appetit

Tao Heung should have a better 2H22 given recovery of Hong Kong operations as consumer spending improves. Also, mainland China market is not...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A Comprehensive List of Hong Kong F&B Names to Play the Reopening

We list 34 names that will benefit from the easing of dine-in restrictions in Hong Kong. Our favorite pick remains Taste Gourmet Group (8371 HK).

Sameer Taneja

Technically Speaking: Breakouts & Breakdowns: HONG KONG (July 17)

Sinopec Engineering and China State Construction have entered short term corrections while CRC has broken its downtrend in the near term. Yum...

David Mudd

Baicha Baidao (2555 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that Baicha is fairly valued at the HK$17.50 IPO price. Therefore, we would pass on the IPO.

Arun George

Xiaocaiyuan International Holding Pre-IPO - Strong Network Expansion and Same Store Sales Growth

Xiaocaiyuan International Holding (XCY HK) is looking to raise up to US$200m in its upcoming HK IPO. In this note, we talk about the company’s...

Ethan Aw

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