Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/king-yuan-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6630:1" rel="noopener">King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT)</a>'s 2Q24 revenue/GM/OPM/EPS were NTD$9,035mn/40.5%/29.8%/NTD$2.2.</li>
<li>The main reasons of revenue growth shall be the AI aspects, especially the contribution from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a>.</li>
<li>For the upcoming 3Q24, we are keeping a relatively strong confidence of 5-10% growth rate for KYEC.</li>
</ul>



King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT)'s 2Q24 revenue/GM/OPM/EPS were NTD$9,035mn/40.5%/29.8%/NTD$2.2.
The main reasons of revenue growth shall be the AI aspects, especially the contribution from NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US).
For the upcoming 3Q24, we are keeping a relatively strong confidence of 5-10% growth rate for KYEC.


KYEC (2449.TT): In 2Q24, Revenue Exceeded Our Expectations, and GM, OPM, and EPS Surprised Us.

AI and Global Deep Tech, Mint Finance

Uttkarsh Kohli

AI and Global Deep Tech

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC’s new plants will increase its production capacity for 3-nm chips, aiming to triple output this year. Global market share stands at 18%.</li>
<li>Major tech companies’ increased AI investments are driving demand for TSMC’s advanced semiconductors, crucial for AI and machine learning applications. </li>
<li>TSMC’s automotive solutions output is expected to grow at a 50% CAGR through 2024, addressing global chip shortages in the auto industry.</li>
</ul>


TSMC’s new plants will increase its production capacity for 3-nm chips, aiming to triple output this year. Global market share stands at 18%.
Major tech companies’ increased AI investments are driving demand for TSMC’s advanced semiconductors, crucial for AI and machine learning applications. 
TSMC’s automotive solutions output is expected to grow at a 50% CAGR through 2024, addressing global chip shortages in the auto industry.


TSMC's Expansion Strategy: New Plants and Rising AI Demand Shape Future Growth

<ul>
<li>The 2Q24 revenue was NT$15.3bn, 1.6% QoQ and -14.4% YoY. GM in 2Q24 was 32.3%, -5.8% QQ and -14.3% YoY. OPM in 2Q24 was 22.0%, -16.3% QoQ and -24.1% YoY.</li>
<li>The widespread adoption of AI-driven electronic devices, along with the onset of the AI-powered device replacement cycle, is likely driving increased demand for peripheral ICs and sensors. </li>
<li>With inventory levels gradually depleting and downstream customers ramping up production capacity in 2025, the semiconductor industry is expected to recover in 2H24 and maintain an optimistic outlook for 2025.</li>
</ul>


The 2Q24 revenue was NT$15.3bn, 1.6% QoQ and -14.4% YoY. GM in 2Q24 was 32.3%, -5.8% QQ and -14.3% YoY. OPM in 2Q24 was 22.0%, -16.3% QoQ and -24.1% YoY.
The widespread adoption of AI-driven electronic devices, along with the onset of the AI-powered device replacement cycle, is likely driving increased demand for peripheral ICs and sensors. 
With inventory levels gradually depleting and downstream customers ramping up production capacity in 2025, the semiconductor industry is expected to recover in 2H24 and maintain an optimistic outlook for 2025.


GlobalWafers (6488.TT): Semi Industry Expected to Recover in 2H24, Holding an Bright Outlook in 2025

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-stock-exchange-weighted-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26056:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index (TWSE INDEX)</a> has surged this year as the Artificial Intelligence <s>hype</s> boom has taken over.</li>
<li>Short notional has risen too, more due to higher stock prices than due to increased shorting. However, there are stocks that have seen big changes in short interest YTD.</li>
<li>The largest YTD increase in shorts have been in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novatek-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10904:1" rel="noopener">Novatek Microelectronics</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hon-hai-precision-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:745:1" rel="noopener">Hon Hai Precision Industry</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lite-on-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14591:1" rel="noopener">Lite On Technology</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/acer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15726:1" rel="noopener">Acer</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wistron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2189:1" rel="noopener">Wistron Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-steel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:962:1" rel="noopener">China Steel</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhen-ding-technology-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16830:1" rel="noopener">Zhen Ding Technology Holding</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chailease-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6579:1" rel="noopener">Chailease Holding</a>.</li>
</ul>


The Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index (TWSE INDEX) has surged this year as the Artificial Intelligence hype boom has taken over.
Short notional has risen too, more due to higher stock prices than due to increased shorting. However, there are stocks that have seen big changes in short interest YTD.
The largest YTD increase in shorts have been in Novatek Microelectronics, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Lite On Technology, Acer, Wistron Corp, China Steel, Zhen Ding Technology Holding and Chailease Holding.


Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Tough Start to the Week -- Negative News for Nvidia and Apple Supply Chains</li>
<li>Key Events: Asustek &amp; Novatek Results; Mediatek &amp; TSMC July Sales Data</li>
<li>UMC Signals Non-AI Industry Inventory Correction Through 2024E; Why Intel Is Increasingly Important </li>
</ul>


Tough Start to the Week -- Negative News for Nvidia and Apple Supply Chains
Key Events: Asustek &amp; Novatek Results; Mediatek &amp; TSMC July Sales Data
UMC Signals Non-AI Industry Inventory Correction Through 2024E; Why Intel Is Increasingly Important 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Tough Start for Nvidia and Apple Supply Chains; Asustek, Novatek Results Ahead

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

KYEC (2449.TT): In 2Q24, Revenue Exceeded Our Expectations, and GM, OPM, and EPS Surprised Us.

King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. reported strong 2Q24 results with revenue growth driven by AI, particularly from NVIDIA Corp. Confidence remains...

Patrick Liao

TSMC's Expansion Strategy: New Plants and Rising AI Demand Shape Future Growth

TSMC plans seven new plants worldwide, boosting production of 3-nm and 2-nm chips. Chips Foundry Market share of 62%, AI sector growth driving demand.

Mint Finance

GlobalWafers (6488.TT): Semi Industry Expected to Recover in 2H24, Holding an Bright Outlook in 2025

2Q24 revenue for the semiconductor industry saw a slight QoQ increase but a significant YoY decrease. Recovery expected in 2H24 with an optimistic...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan: YTD Short Interest Moves

The TWSE has surged this year as semis and AI-linked stocks have rallied. The market crash could lead to covering in stocks with large shorts as...

Brian Freitas

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Tough Start for Nvidia and Apple Supply Chains; Asustek, Novatek Results Ahead

Nvidia and Apple negative news sets the Taiwan Tech universe off to a tough start of the week. This week look for Asustek, Novatek, Himax results...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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KYEC (2449.TT): In 2Q24, Revenue Exceeded Our Expectations, and GM, OPM, and EPS Surprised Us.

​King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. reported strong 2Q24 results with revenue growth driven by AI, particularly from NVIDIA Corp. Confidence remains...

Patrick Liao

TSMC's Expansion Strategy: New Plants and Rising AI Demand Shape Future Growth

TSMC plans seven new plants worldwide, boosting production of 3-nm and 2-nm chips. Chips Foundry Market share of 62%, AI sector growth driving demand.

Mint Finance

GlobalWafers (6488.TT): Semi Industry Expected to Recover in 2H24, Holding an Bright Outlook in 2025

​2Q24 revenue for the semiconductor industry saw a slight QoQ increase but a significant YoY decrease. Recovery expected in 2H24 with an optimistic...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan: YTD Short Interest Moves

The TWSE has surged this year as semis and AI-linked stocks have rallied. The market crash could lead to covering in stocks with large shorts as...

Brian Freitas

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Tough Start for Nvidia and Apple Supply Chains; Asustek, Novatek Results Ahead

Nvidia and Apple negative news sets the Taiwan Tech universe off to a tough start of the week. This week look for Asustek, Novatek, Himax results...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. reported strong 2Q24 results with revenue growth driven by AI, particularly from NVIDIA Corp. Confidence remains...

2Q24 revenue for the semiconductor industry saw a slight QoQ increase but a significant YoY decrease. Recovery expected in 2H24 with an optimistic...