The Biggest Macro Risk You Might Be Ignoring
Investing is all about probabilities: all you need to do is assess the chances markets are assigning to different scenarios today and anticipate...
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Washed Out Enough?
A review of different sentiment metrics indicates an atmosphere of heightened fear. While the intermediate trend is still down, we believe risk...
175 Views
Making Sense of the H&S Breakdown
Our base-case scenario calls for a short-term bottom and a bear market rally of unknown magnitude, followed by a greater decline into an ultimate...
280 Views
Pairs Monitor: Are Correlations Converging to 1?
Give long inflation hedge pairs the benefit of the doubt. In all likelihood, they are being sold along with other equity positions in a panic...
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The Canaries in the Bifurcated Market Coalmine
Intermediate technical indicators remain bearish but survey-based sentiment indicates crowded short conditions. Stay cautious as long as our pairs...
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