Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For weeks, if not months, the world has been wondering what the "reciprocal tariffs" would be, and what the logic would be behind them.</li>
<li>There is talk of VAT, and NTBs, and huge tariff step-ups after quotas are exceeded (US exports of milk and cheese to Canada - high tariffs, but quotas not exceeded).</li>
<li>But a quick check of the math on the Trump Executive Order and Annex I tells you the logic is different than what everyone expected. </li>
</ul>


For weeks, if not months, the world has been wondering what the "reciprocal tariffs" would be, and what the logic would be behind them.
There is talk of VAT, and NTBs, and huge tariff step-ups after quotas are exceeded (US exports of milk and cheese to Canada - high tariffs, but quotas not exceeded).
But a quick check of the math on the Trump Executive Order and Annex I tells you the logic is different than what everyone expected. 


Trump Team's Weird Tariff Math - Not Meant to Be Negotiated

Co-Founder & CEO, Newmark Risk

Nicholas Pezolano

Co-Founder & CEO

Option analytics for institutional investors

Newmark Risk

Fin-tech company focused on providing option derived analytics for institutional investors.

We handle the complexity of options data so you don't have to.

- Data and Analytics available all in one place so you can focus on Strategy Development
- Custom Solutions for your data and/or portfolio needs
- Advisory services to lend our expertise

Knowledge is something that was meant to be shared and we provide insights to our clients and to the community via posting about our research findings.

Equity Derivatives

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Equity Derivatives

<ul><li>A cross-country study on the post earning announcement drift effect.</li><li>We explore the use of various options-implied analytics to systematically view returns around earnings announcements.  </li><li>Options-Implied Analytics can provide empowering information to better inform investment decisions.</li></ul>

A cross-country study on the post earning announcement drift effect.We explore the use of various options-implied analytics to systematically view returns around earnings announcements.  Options-Implied Analytics can provide empowering information to better inform investment decisions.

EQD | A Systematic Look at the Post Earnings Announcement Drift Across Asia

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist, True Insights

Jeroen Blokland

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist

Build Well-Diversified Multi-Asset Portfolios

True Insights

Our research helps investors build well-diversified multi-asset portfolios and profit from market developments. In addition, our unique and proven Macro – Sentiment – Valuation (MSV) investment framework ensures a consistent flow of new investment opportunities. Together with our market views, these opportunities will be reflected in our live ETF-based Global Multi-Asset Portfolios.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Despite the S&amp;P 500 Index <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spdr-s-p-500-etf-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:763:1" rel="noopener">SPDR S&amp;P 500 (SPY US)</a> declining to the 200-day average, the VIX Index has fallen by a whopping 20% during the last nine trading days.</li>
<li>Realized volatility has dropped below 15 and is the lowest in more than a year, driven by a rising economic surprise index and lower perceived earnings-related uncertainty.</li>
<li>However, our Volatility Heat Map and the direct link between the MOVE Index and stock market valuation reveal current equity market calmness comes with at least a whiff of complacency.</li>
</ul>


Despite the S&amp;P 500 Index SPDR S&amp;P 500 (SPY US) declining to the 200-day average, the VIX Index has fallen by a whopping 20% during the last nine trading days.
Realized volatility has dropped below 15 and is the lowest in more than a year, driven by a rising economic surprise index and lower perceived earnings-related uncertainty.
However, our Volatility Heat Map and the direct link between the MOVE Index and stock market valuation reveal current equity market calmness comes with at least a whiff of complacency.


Equity Market Complacency? Why the VIX Index Is Trading Below 20

AI and Global Deep Tech, Mint Finance

Uttkarsh Kohli

AI and Global Deep Tech

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>July saw only 114,000 new jobs versus a forecast of 180,000. Unemployment rose to 4.3%, the highest since October 2021. </li>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 fell 1.8% and dropped below its 50-day moving average, tech and semiconductor sectors led significant market declines. </li>
<li>Implied volatility surged as the S&amp;P 500 saw high put options activity. Analysts expect a potential market rebound later in August.</li>
</ul>


July saw only 114,000 new jobs versus a forecast of 180,000. Unemployment rose to 4.3%, the highest since October 2021. 
The S&amp;P 500 fell 1.8% and dropped below its 50-day moving average, tech and semiconductor sectors led significant market declines. 
Implied volatility surged as the S&amp;P 500 saw high put options activity. Analysts expect a potential market rebound later in August.


Global Markets Plummet as Recession Fears, Weak Jobs Report, and Israel-Iran Conflicts Escalate

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Happy Saturday everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning watch, where we dissect how traders and investors are positioning themselves in the current market.</li><li>As with every other rally, retail investors end up blindly following the big players, and long risk might very well be the play to make as flows from ETFs and retail investors continue to lift markets.</li><li>And with that in mind, we have spiced up today’s version, moving away from the CFTC report and instead trying to have a look at what various surveys are telling us about the current market.</li></ul>

Happy Saturday everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning watch, where we dissect how traders and investors are positioning themselves in the current market.As with every other rally, retail investors end up blindly following the big players, and long risk might very well be the play to make as flows from ETFs and retail investors continue to lift markets.And with that in mind, we have spiced up today’s version, moving away from the CFTC report and instead trying to have a look at what various surveys are telling us about the current market.

Positioning Watch – The Goldilocks Scenario is Intensifying

United States

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF tracks the S&P 500 Index. The Trust consists of a portfolio representing all 500 stocks in the S&P 500 Index. It holds predominantly large-cap U.S. stocks. This ETF is structured as a Unit Investment Trust and pays dividends on a quarterly basis. The holdings are weighted by market capitalization.

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SPDR S&P 500 (SPY US)

Trump Team's Weird Tariff Math - Not Meant to Be Negotiated

Donald Trump has released his Tariff Plan set at "half" the "Foreign Tariffs" against the US. That's a mislabelling. It is nothing of the sort....

Travis Lundy

EQD | A Systematic Look at the Post Earnings Announcement Drift Across Asia

We leverage a few analytics from NewMark Risk's proprietary Options Implied Analytics library to enhance common strategies to trade earnings...

Nicholas Pezolano

Equity Market Complacency? Why the VIX Index Is Trading Below 20

Equity investor complacency is back! At least a bit. The lowest realized volatility in over a year does not explain the existing gap between the...

Jeroen Blokland

Global Markets Plummet as Recession Fears, Weak Jobs Report, and Israel-Iran Conflicts Escalate

Global markets plunged on 5/Aug on recession fears and disappointing jobs data. S&P 500 fell 1.8% below its 50-day moving average. Investors fled...

Mint Finance

Positioning Watch – The Goldilocks Scenario is Intensifying

Happy Saturday everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning watch, where we dissect how traders and investors are positioned

Steno Research

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