Cross-Asset Strategist & Quantitative Analyst, Pennock Idea Hub

Cam Hui

Cross-Asset Strategist & Quantitative Analyst

Pennock Idea Hub

We are creators of independent equity research. The Pennock Idea Hub team are veterans of the investment industry. Much of our team has spent their careers at Merrill Lynch, Deutsche Bank, RBC Capital Markets and Wood Gundy. We have taken every aspect of research back to the studs and returned to first principles. The Pennock Idea Hub marries the interests of the sell and buy side. 

We offer the best research for institutional investors by:

-Only publishing research from veteran analysts
-Eliminate the inherent conflicts of the traditional sell and buy side relationship
-Ensure our team is always accessible; collaboration with clients nurtures our collective success

Cross-Asset & Quantitative Research

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We continue to expect market sloppiness for September and possibly October. The market has flashed a cluster of Hindenburg Omens for five consecutive weeks.</li>
<li>Investment oriented accounts should regard any near-term weakness as a buying opportunity.</li>
<li>Pullbacks are normal at this point of the election year, and we expect higher stock prices by year-end.</li>
</ul>


We continue to expect market sloppiness for September and possibly October. The market has flashed a cluster of Hindenburg Omens for five consecutive weeks.
Investment oriented accounts should regard any near-term weakness as a buying opportunity.
Pullbacks are normal at this point of the election year, and we expect higher stock prices by year-end.


Agri | Weather | Energy Transition, Mint Finance

Srinidhi Raghavendra

Agri | Weather | Energy Transition

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>July 2024 ranked as the warmest July in NOAA’s 175-year global record. Land &amp; sea surface temperatures were above average across the planet barring few exceptions.</li>
<li>July had the 2nd smallest sea ice coverage in 46-years at 8.49 million square miles. There is a 77% chance that 2024 will rank as the warmest year on record.</li>
<li>Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning (“HVAC”) stocks continue to rise on strong demand as temperatures peak across the planet.</li>
</ul>


July 2024 ranked as the warmest July in NOAA’s 175-year global record. Land &amp; sea surface temperatures were above average across the planet barring few exceptions.
July had the 2nd smallest sea ice coverage in 46-years at 8.49 million square miles. There is a 77% chance that 2024 will rank as the warmest year on record.
Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning (“HVAC”) stocks continue to rise on strong demand as temperatures peak across the planet.


Shares of Cooling Firms Have Turned Red Hot on Record Setting Scorching Heat

<ul>
<li>We are seeing warnings that the market is due for a pullback and correction.</li>
<li>We pointed out last week that election year seasonality tends to see weakness in September and October, and the current market structure confirms that view.</li>
<li>While we don’t know what the trigger for a correction might be, investors should be prepared for a period of short-term weakness and a possible buying opportunity in October.</li>
</ul>


We are seeing warnings that the market is due for a pullback and correction.
We pointed out last week that election year seasonality tends to see weakness in September and October, and the current market structure confirms that view.
While we don’t know what the trigger for a correction might be, investors should be prepared for a period of short-term weakness and a possible buying opportunity in October.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are seeing a broad-based snap-back rally after the S&amp;P 500 found support at our 5100-5191 target/bounce area which we discussed in our 7/30/24 and 8/6/24 Compass reports</li>
<li>We are not out of the woods as we still see the $SPX and $QQQ going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation period, and market dynamics remain far from perfect.</li>
<li>Apr. 2000, Aug. 2007, Feb. 2022 $SPX top comparisons are why we expected SPX to find support at 5100, AND THEN test YTD highs (8/13/24 Compass report).</li>
</ul>


We are seeing a broad-based snap-back rally after the S&amp;P 500 found support at our 5100-5191 target/bounce area which we discussed in our 7/30/24 and 8/6/24 Compass reports
We are not out of the woods as we still see the $SPX and $QQQ going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation period, and market dynamics remain far from perfect.
Apr. 2000, Aug. 2007, Feb. 2022 $SPX top comparisons are why we expected SPX to find support at 5100, AND THEN test YTD highs (8/13/24 Compass report).


Snap-Back Rally Tests YTD Highs; Apr. 2000, Aug. 2007, Feb. 2022 $SPX Top Comparisons Still in Play

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

<ul><li>The WTR Sustainable Index was up 7.0% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (up 0.9%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 6.0%), and the Nasdaq Index (down 0.3%).</li><li>Energy Technology (15.1% of the index) was up 15.5%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (58.5% of the index) was up 4.7%, ClimateTech Mining was down 3.4% and Advanced Transportation Solutions (21.2% of index) was up 9.0%.</li><li>Top 10 Performers: ARVL, ZAPP, NAAS, VMC, PEGY, QS, <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">LCID, OUST, EVGO, COMM</span></li></ul>

The WTR Sustainable Index was up 7.0% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (up 0.9%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 6.0%), and the Nasdaq Index (down 0.3%).Energy Technology (15.1% of the index) was up 15.5%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (58.5% of the index) was up 4.7%, ClimateTech Mining was down 3.4% and Advanced Transportation Solutions (21.2% of index) was up 9.0%.Top 10 Performers: ARVL, ZAPP, NAAS, VMC, PEGY, QS, LCID, OUST, EVGO, COMM

Sustainable Investing Surveyor - Focus on Enovix Corporation (ENVX)

United States

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF tracks the S&P 500 Index. The Trust consists of a portfolio representing all 500 stocks in the S&P 500 Index. It holds predominantly large-cap U.S. stocks. This ETF is structured as a Unit Investment Trust and pays dividends on a quarterly basis. The holdings are weighted by market capitalization.

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SPDR S&P 500 (SPY US)

What If the Magnificent Seven Are Done?

We continue to expect market sloppiness for September and possibly October. Investment oriented accounts should regard any near-term weakness as a...

Cam Hui

Shares of Cooling Firms Have Turned Red Hot on Record Setting Scorching Heat

July 2024 was the hottest in 175 years. It saw the 2nd smallest ice cover in 46 years. 77% chance that 2024 will rank as the hottest year on...

Mint Finance

Prelude to a Correction

We are seeing warnings that the market is due for a pullback and correction. Investors should be prepared for a period of short-term weakness and a...

Cam Hui

Snap-Back Rally Tests YTD Highs; Apr. 2000, Aug. 2007, Feb. 2022 $SPX Top Comparisons Still in Play

Snap-Back Rally Tests YTD Highs; Apr. 2000, Aug. 2007, Feb. 2022 $SPX Top Comparisons Still in Play. These comparisons are why we expected support...

Vermilion Research

Sustainable Investing Surveyor - Focus on Enovix Corporation (ENVX)

The WTR Sustainable Index was up 7.0% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (up 0.9%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 6.0%), and the Nasdaq Index (down 0.3%).

Water Tower Research

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