UK: Jan-20 Sales Surge Starts to Fix Stats Mess
The ONS report that retail sales surged at the start of 2020, by 1.6% m-o-m ex-fuel. However, a failure to correctly adjust for Black Friday’s...
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UK Inflation: Temporary Resurgence in Jan-20
UK inflation broadly exceeded Consensus expectations in Jan-20, with the CPI rate printing at 1.77% and the RPI at 2.7% (index of 290.6). However,...
306 Views
UK: Jobs Making All the Right Moves at End-19
Employment maintained rapid growth in 4Q19 at 180k, in line with my forecast. Sampling effects have exaggerated the upswing after similarly...
328 Views
Brexit & History's Recoil: Sinn Fein Empowered in Both Parts of Ireland
For the first time in 101 years, Sinn Fein has won a plurality in Ireland's election, and is likely to have at least a share of power in Eire. It...
355 Views
UK: GDP Rebound Begins in Dec-19
UK GDP ended 2019 on a strong note after a 0.3% m-o-m December rebound. The constant average level of activity in 4Q19 was depressed by dodgy...
313 Views