IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Since the announcement of the US$0.8 billion secondary offering, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyoda-gosei-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20125:1" rel="noopener">Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP)</a>’s shares have declined 4.9% to the undisturbed price of JPY3,754 per share (20 November).</li>
<li>It is instructive to look at recent large Japanese placements to understand the potential trading pattern. Toyoda's share decline is better than the median of recent large placements.</li>
<li>The offering will likely be priced on 1 December. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.</li>
</ul>


Since the announcement of the US$0.8 billion secondary offering, Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP)’s shares have declined 4.9% to the undisturbed price of JPY3,754 per share (20 November).
It is instructive to look at recent large Japanese placements to understand the potential trading pattern. Toyoda's share decline is better than the median of recent large placements.
The offering will likely be priced on 1 December. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.


Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP): The Current Playbook

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Homebuilders surging on prospect for lower rates to help Sumi Forestry and Sekisui House.</li>
<li>NVDA and AMD down as rivalry with Google for AI chips heats up.</li>
<li>Bain looking to take around 13%/36mm shs of their holding in Kioxia off the table in a block trade this Friday.</li>
</ul>


Homebuilders surging on prospect for lower rates to help Sumi Forestry and Sekisui House.
NVDA and AMD down as rivalry with Google for AI chips heats up.
Bain looking to take around 13%/36mm shs of their holding in Kioxia off the table in a block trade this Friday.


Japan Morning Connection: New Potential Fed Chairman Likely to Add Another Voice for 50 Bps Cut

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Kioxia Holdings  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Bain aims to raise around US$2bn via selling around 6% of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)</a>. The IPO linked lockup on its shareholding had expired in Jun 2025.</li>
<li>Kioxia is a manufacturer and a global leader in flash memory and solid state drives for smartphones, PCs, enterprise servers and data centers.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


Bain aims to raise around US$2bn via selling around 6% of its stake in Kioxia Holdings (285A JP). The IPO linked lockup on its shareholding had expired in Jun 2025.
Kioxia is a manufacturer and a global leader in flash memory and solid state drives for smartphones, PCs, enterprise servers and data centers.
In this note, we will talk about deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Kioxia Placement - US$2bn Deal, Relatively Small, Index Upweight but the Shares Have Runup

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)</a> raised around US$800m (including over-allocation) in its Japan IPO, after pricing its IPO in the middle of its range. Its IPO linked lockup will expire soon.</li>
<li>Kioxia is a manufacturer and a global leader in flash memory and solid state drives for smartphones, PCs, enterprise servers and data centers.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Kioxia Holdings (285A JP) raised around US$800m (including over-allocation) in its Japan IPO, after pricing its IPO in the middle of its range. Its IPO linked lockup will expire soon.
Kioxia is a manufacturer and a global leader in flash memory and solid state drives for smartphones, PCs, enterprise servers and data centers.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Kioxia IPO Lockup Expiry - US$6.7bn Release, with Shareholders Eager to Sell

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyoda-gosei-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20125:1" rel="noopener">Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP)</a> has announced a secondary offering of up to 29.7 million shares (34.2 million including overallotment), worth around US$0.7 billion (US$0.8 billion including overallotment).</li>
<li>Toyoda Gosei's primary goal with the secondary offering is to reduce <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a>'s shareholding to around 20% of outstanding shares.</li>
<li>The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is large compared to recent large placements. The likely pricing date is 1 December.</li>
</ul>



Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP) has announced a secondary offering of up to 29.7 million shares (34.2 million including overallotment), worth around US$0.7 billion (US$0.8 billion including overallotment).
Toyoda Gosei's primary goal with the secondary offering is to reduce Toyota Motor (7203 JP)'s shareholding to around 20% of outstanding shares.
The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is large compared to recent large placements. The likely pricing date is 1 December.


Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP): A US$0.8 Billion Secondary Offering

Japan

Socionext Inc. designs, develops, and provides SoC (system on chip) solutions and services. The Company offers digital broadcast demodulation solution, video interface conversion solution, imaging solution, engine and accelerator solution, industrial connected solution, and more. Socionext serves customers in consumer, automotive, industrial, and other fields.

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Socionext (6526 JP)

Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering will likely be priced on 1 December. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.

Arun George

Japan Morning Connection: New Potential Fed Chairman Likely to Add Another Voice for 50 Bps Cut

NVDA and AMD fell lower with competition in AI chips, Bain plans to sell part of Kioxia stake, Socionext seems to have lost connection as a Google...

Andrew Jackson

Kioxia Placement - US$2bn Deal, Relatively Small, Index Upweight but the Shares Have Runup

Bain aims to raise around US$2bn via selling around 6% of its stake in Kioxia Holdings (285A JP). The IPO linked lockup on its shareholding had...

Sumeet Singh

Kioxia IPO Lockup Expiry - US$6.7bn Release, with Shareholders Eager to Sell

Bain is now looking to sell some of its stake in Kioxia after a recent surge in the stock price. It will sell part of its holdings to raise around...

Sumeet Singh

Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP): A US$0.8 Billion Secondary Offering

The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is large compared to recent large placements. The likely pricing date is 1 December.

Arun George

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