HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Sipai Health Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The reason why there are many doubts about Sipai is that its Specialty Pharmacy Business accounts for dominant proportion of total revenue but is almost difficult to make a profit.</li>
<li>Sipai's SMO business revenue will be difficult to grow at scale due to industry characteristics and the Health Insurance Services business is too small to bring substantial changes to performance.</li>
<li>Sipai’s revenue structure/business model is difficult to improve in the short term. So it's not surprising if Sipai suffers long-term losses. Its valuation should be lower than that of ClouDr.</li>
</ul>


The reason why there are many doubts about Sipai is that its Specialty Pharmacy Business accounts for dominant proportion of total revenue but is almost difficult to make a profit.
Sipai's SMO business revenue will be difficult to grow at scale due to industry characteristics and the Health Insurance Services business is too small to bring substantial changes to performance.
Sipai’s revenue structure/business model is difficult to improve in the short term. So it's not surprising if Sipai suffers long-term losses. Its valuation should be lower than that of ClouDr.


Sipai Health Technology (314.HK) - Valuation Has Collapsed, but a Reversal Is Not yet in Sight

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sipai-health-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36662:1" rel="noopener">Sipai Health Technology (314 HK)</a></strong>, a Chinese digital healthcare platform backed by <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a></strong> continues to eke out new highs. </li>
<li>Sipai closed up 34% on its debut two days before Xmas last year, and is currently up 74% on its IPO price of HK$18.60.</li>
<li>The company is loss-making. However, FY22 financials showed those losses continue to fall. </li>
</ul>



Sipai Health Technology (314 HK), a Chinese digital healthcare platform backed by Tencent (700 HK) continues to eke out new highs. 
Sipai closed up 34% on its debut two days before Xmas last year, and is currently up 74% on its IPO price of HK$18.60.
The company is loss-making. However, FY22 financials showed those losses continue to fall. 


Sipai Health Technology: Hidden Benefits, Not-So-Hidden Risks

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>Sipai Health Tech’s shares have been up more than 35% since its HKEx IPO in December 2022. Shares were priced at HK$18.6 a piece and are trading close to HK$33.55.</li>
<li>The company’s largest business segment commands very lower margins while high-margin insurance business is facing stiff competition with negligible contribution to consolidated earnings.</li>
<li>Closest peer Beijing Yuanxin Tech has applied for an IPO and Yuanxin’s deteriorating performance could have partly driven the current rally in Sipai’s share price since its IPO.</li>
</ul>


Sipai Health Tech’s shares have been up more than 35% since its HKEx IPO in December 2022. Shares were priced at HK$18.6 a piece and are trading close to HK$33.55.
The company’s largest business segment commands very lower margins while high-margin insurance business is facing stiff competition with negligible contribution to consolidated earnings.
Closest peer Beijing Yuanxin Tech has applied for an IPO and Yuanxin’s deteriorating performance could have partly driven the current rally in Sipai’s share price since its IPO.


Sipai Health Tech: Market Overreacts to a Mediocre Business

<ul>
<li>The sustainability/stability of Sipai’s performance and growth potential are worrying. Sipai doesn’t have a business with core competitiveness as its foundation, thus leading to potential problems in its business model.</li>
<li>It is useless to have fast revenue growth because Sipai’s profitability is very weak, which is actually closely related to its business characteristics. Sipai is far from being breakeven.</li>
<li>Sipai is overvalued. Such high valuation is not reasonable based on our analysis. We are conservative about Sipai's outlook and we think there are much better investment opportunities.</li>
</ul>


The sustainability/stability of Sipai’s performance and growth potential are worrying. Sipai doesn’t have a business with core competitiveness as its foundation, thus leading to potential problems in its business model.
It is useless to have fast revenue growth because Sipai’s profitability is very weak, which is actually closely related to its business characteristics. Sipai is far from being breakeven.
Sipai is overvalued. Such high valuation is not reasonable based on our analysis. We are conservative about Sipai's outlook and we think there are much better investment opportunities.


Sipai Health Technology (314.HK) - Unjustified Valuation and Problematic Business Model

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 35 adds and 28 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the March rebalance to take the number of index constituents up to 527.</li>
<li>We expect 29 of the 35 inclusions to the HSCI will be added to Stock Connect, while 20 of the 28 HSCI deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>19 stocks could be deleted from Stock Connect only since their average market cap has dropped below HK$5bn- unless the new threshold of HK$4bn is approved in the next week.</li>
</ul>


There are 35 adds and 28 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the March rebalance to take the number of index constituents up to 527.
We expect 29 of the 35 inclusions to the HSCI will be added to Stock Connect, while 20 of the 28 HSCI deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.
19 stocks could be deleted from Stock Connect only since their average market cap has dropped below HK$5bn- unless the new threshold of HK$4bn is approved in the next week.


HSCI Index Rebalance: 35 Adds, 28 Deletes & Changes to Southbound Stock Connect

China

Sipai Health Technology Co., Ltd. operates as a medical technology and health management company. The Company provides nationwide offline and online specialty pharmacy, physician research assistance, and health insurance services. Sipai Health Technology conducts businesses in China.

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Sipai Health Technology (314 HK)