IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Total Access Communication / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.bangkokpost.com/business/2396261/nbtc-has-no-authority-to-approve-or-reject-telecom-merger" target="_blank" rel="noopener">press reports</a> that the Council of State has stated that the regulator, NBTC, can only prescribe measures to govern the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener">Total Access Communication (DTAC TB)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/true-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8:1" rel="noopener">True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB)</a> merger.</li>
<li>The Council of State decree paves the way for the merger to complete and the launch of the VTOs. The NBTC remedial measures will likely focus on consumer protection measures.</li>
<li>The current share price ratio is 9.150x vs the swap ratio of 10.221x. At last close, DTAC and True’s gross spread to the VTO price is 4.4% and 1.8%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The press reports that the Council of State has stated that the regulator, NBTC, can only prescribe measures to govern the Total Access Communication (DTAC TB)/True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB) merger.
The Council of State decree paves the way for the merger to complete and the launch of the VTOs. The NBTC remedial measures will likely focus on consumer protection measures.
The current share price ratio is 9.150x vs the swap ratio of 10.221x. At last close, DTAC and True’s gross spread to the VTO price is 4.4% and 1.8%, respectively.


DTAC/True Merger: Council of State’s Decree Paves the Way for Completion

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>PropertyGuru (PG) tried to raise around US$300m when it undertook a merger with Bridgetown 2 SPAC in Mar 2022.</li>
<li>The transaction valued PropertyGuru at an EV of US$1.35bn and equity value of US$1.78bn. It is now trading at less than half that valuation and with very limited liquidity.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


PropertyGuru (PG) tried to raise around US$300m when it undertook a merger with Bridgetown 2 SPAC in Mar 2022.
The transaction valued PropertyGuru at an EV of US$1.35bn and equity value of US$1.78bn. It is now trading at less than half that valuation and with very limited liquidity.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


PropertyGuru SPAC Lock-Up - Two PE’s with a US$450m Stake Are Stuck with a Liquidity Conundrum

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/soho-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4123:1" rel="noopener">Soho China (410 HK)</a>'s Pan Shiyi is resigning to focus on "philanthropic pursuits". That sounds like "donations", which can be sourced from the Pans selling their stake in SOHO.</li>
<li>In the Nikkei 225 Annual Review, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nidec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7245:1" rel="noopener">Nidec (6594 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smc-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20866:1" rel="noopener">SMC (6273 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hoya-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8990:1" rel="noopener">Hoya (7741 JP)</a> are IN. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unitika-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7669:1" rel="noopener">Unitika (3103 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maruha-nichiro-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20640:1" rel="noopener">Maruha (1333 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oki-electric-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2181:1" rel="noopener">Oki Electric (6703 JP)</a> are OUT.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/volkswagen-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21738:1" rel="noopener">Volkswagen (VOW GR)</a> confirms its intention to float a portion of its Porsche sports-car brand within weeks, in what is expected to be one of Germany’s largest-ever public debuts.</li>
</ul>



Soho China (410 HK)'s Pan Shiyi is resigning to focus on "philanthropic pursuits". That sounds like "donations", which can be sourced from the Pans selling their stake in SOHO.
In the Nikkei 225 Annual Review, Nidec (6594 JP), SMC (6273 JP), Hoya (7741 JP) are IN. Unitika (3103 JP), Maruha (1333 JP), and Oki Electric (6703 JP) are OUT.

Volkswagen (VOW GR) confirms its intention to float a portion of its Porsche sports-car brand within weeks, in what is expected to be one of Germany’s largest-ever public debuts.


Last Week in Event SPACE: SOHO China, Nikkei 225 Review, SK Chemicals, SingTel, Porsche, Tyro

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.bangkokpost.com/business/2385783/nbtc-preps-mega-merger-measures" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Bangkok Post reports</a> that the Thai regulator (NBTC) will propose ten remedial measures to approve the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener">Total Access Communication (DTAC TB)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/true-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8:1" rel="noopener">True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB)</a> merger.</li>
<li>The NBTC board is not expected to issue a final decision as it waits for an interpretation by the Council of State if it can approve or reject the merger.</li>
<li>The current share price ratio is 9.511x vs the swap ratio of 10.221x. At last close, DTAC and True’s gross spread to the VTO price is 9.2% and 10.7%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The Bangkok Post reports that the Thai regulator (NBTC) will propose ten remedial measures to approve the Total Access Communication (DTAC TB)/True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB) merger.
The NBTC board is not expected to issue a final decision as it waits for an interpretation by the Council of State if it can approve or reject the merger.
The current share price ratio is 9.511x vs the swap ratio of 10.221x. At last close, DTAC and True’s gross spread to the VTO price is 9.2% and 10.7%, respectively.


DTAC/​True Merger: NBTC Likely to Set Measures to Approve Merger

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>S&amp;P revises its outlook for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-telecommunications" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20:1" rel="noopener">Singtel (ST SP)</a> following a series of divestments. </li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Singtel are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. </li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


S&amp;P revises its outlook for Singtel (ST SP) following a series of divestments. 
Preceding my comments on Singtel are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. 
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Singtel Coming Up "Cheap" As Divestments Continue Apace

Singapore

Singapore Telecommunications Limited wireless telecommunication services. The Company offers diverse range of services including fixed, mobile, data, internet, TV,  and digital solutions. Singapore Telecommunications serves customers worldwide.

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Singtel (ST SP)

DTAC/True Merger: Council of State’s Decree Paves the Way for Completion

The NBTC remedial measures will likely focus on consumer protection measures. It is attractive to buy the current price ratio of 9.150x as it is a...

Arun George

PropertyGuru SPAC Lock-Up - Two PE’s with a US$450m Stake Are Stuck with a Liquidity Conundrum

PropertyGuru mergered with Bridgetown 2 SPAC in Mar 2022. Its 180-days lockup will end soon freeing its two large PE shareholders.

Sumeet Singh

Last Week in Event SPACE: SOHO China, Nikkei 225 Review, SK Chemicals, SingTel, Porsche, Tyro

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

DTAC/True Merger: NBTC Likely to Set Measures to Approve Merger

Reports suggest that the NBTC will propose ten measures to approve the merger. At the last close, DTAC and True’s gross spread to the VTO price is...

Arun George

StubWorld: Singtel Coming Up "Cheap" As Divestments Continue Apace

Amid improving earnings, the market is assigning S$6.9bn less for the unlisted ops since the beginning of Covid. Plus Singtel is monetising non...

David Blennerhassett

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DTAC/True Merger: Council of State’s Decree Paves the Way for Completion

The NBTC remedial measures will likely focus on consumer protection measures. It is attractive to buy the current price ratio of 9.150x as it is a...

Arun George

PropertyGuru SPAC Lock-Up - Two PE’s with a US$450m Stake Are Stuck with a Liquidity Conundrum

PropertyGuru mergered with Bridgetown 2 SPAC in Mar 2022. Its 180-days lockup will end soon freeing its two large PE shareholders.

Sumeet Singh

Last Week in Event SPACE: SOHO China, Nikkei 225 Review, SK Chemicals, SingTel, Porsche, Tyro

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

DTAC/​True Merger: NBTC Likely to Set Measures to Approve Merger

Reports suggest that the NBTC will propose ten measures to approve the merger. At the last close, DTAC and True’s gross spread to the VTO price is...

Arun George

StubWorld: Singtel Coming Up "Cheap" As Divestments Continue Apace

Amid improving earnings, the market is assigning S$6.9bn less for the unlisted ops since the beginning of Covid. Plus Singtel is monetising non...

David Blennerhassett

DTAC/True Merger: NBTC Likely to Set Measures to Approve Merger