SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions to Aug 1, with S$115 million of net institutional outflow, following the similar pace of S$95 million of net outflow for the preceding five sessions to Jul 26.</li><li>The five sessions to Aug 1 also saw 11 primary-listed companies conduct buybacks with a total consideration of S$6.4 million.</li><li>For context, in FY2023 and FY2022, the net profit attributable to shareholders came to S$8.3 million and $13.4 million, respectively.</li></ul>

Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions to Aug 1, with S$115 million of net institutional outflow, following the similar pace of S$95 million of net outflow for the preceding five sessions to Jul 26.The five sessions to Aug 1 also saw 11 primary-listed companies conduct buybacks with a total consideration of S$6.4 million.For context, in FY2023 and FY2022, the net profit attributable to shareholders came to S$8.3 million and $13.4 million, respectively.

Mapletree Logistics Trust chairman increases interest at S$1.31 per unit

Agri | Weather | Energy Transition, Mint Finance

Srinidhi Raghavendra

Agri | Weather | Energy Transition

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>SGX Iron Ore prices exhibit seasonality. For select six months being long Iron Ore combined with short positions during other months deliver positive P&amp;L based on back tests. </li>
<li>In line with prices, realised volatility exhibits seasonality too. Options strategies can exploit this to deliver superior alpha &amp; higher sharpe ratio.</li>
<li>Averages confound extreme variances. Monthly iron ore futures price returns are less volatile during the months of December, February, June, October, &amp; March based on range.</li>
</ul>


SGX Iron Ore prices exhibit seasonality. For select six months being long Iron Ore combined with short positions during other months deliver positive P&amp;L based on back tests. 
In line with prices, realised volatility exhibits seasonality too. Options strategies can exploit this to deliver superior alpha &amp; higher sharpe ratio.
Averages confound extreme variances. Monthly iron ore futures price returns are less volatile during the months of December, February, June, October, &amp; March based on range.


Harvesting Seasonality in Iron Ore Prices Induced by Weather, Inventory Restocking, and Holidays

<ul><li>Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions through to May 30, with S$108.4 million of net institutional inflow, as 20 primary-listed companies conducted buybacks by way of market acquisition with a total consideration of S$37.9 million.</li><li>Meanwhile Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust, Singapore Airlines, Mapletree Logistics Trust, Jardine Cycle & Carriage, CapitaLand Ascendas Reit, Sembcorp Industries, UOL Group, Jardine Matheson Holdings, Mapletree Industrial Trust, and Keppel Reit led the net institutional outflow over the five sessions.</li><li>In addition to the 9.3 per cent interest that the Tang group owns in ARA H-Trust, the proposed acquisition increases the Tangs’ holding in ARA H-Trust to 28.3 per cent.</li></ul>

Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions through to May 30, with S$108.4 million of net institutional inflow, as 20 primary-listed companies conducted buybacks by way of market acquisition with a total consideration of S$37.9 million.Meanwhile Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust, Singapore Airlines, Mapletree Logistics Trust, Jardine Cycle & Carriage, CapitaLand Ascendas Reit, Sembcorp Industries, UOL Group, Jardine Matheson Holdings, Mapletree Industrial Trust, and Keppel Reit led the net institutional outflow over the five sessions.In addition to the 9.3 per cent interest that the Tang group owns in ARA H-Trust, the proposed acquisition increases the Tangs’ holding in ARA H-Trust to 28.3 per cent.

The Tang group ventures into the S-Reit sector

<ul><li>AEM, UMS, NetLink and Baker Tech directors acquire stock On May 20, OUE announced a proposed off-market purchase of up to 84,038,036 shares representing 10 per cent of the total number of shares in issue.</li><li>This increased her direct interest to 1.74 million shares, which represents 0.03 per cent of the company.</li></ul>

AEM, UMS, NetLink and Baker Tech directors acquire stock On May 20, OUE announced a proposed off-market purchase of up to 84,038,036 shares representing 10 per cent of the total number of shares in issue.This increased her direct interest to 1.74 million shares, which represents 0.03 per cent of the company.

AEM, UMS, NetLink and Baker Tech directors acquire stock 

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>The top line of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a> is down 7% YoY, the next major income line is down 3% YoY while operating costs are up 8% YoY, in 1Q24.</li>
<li>Average daily turnover is down 22% YoY, and to us this is the main story, a marginalization of the Hong Kong Exchange. </li>
<li>Geopolitical risks remain high, the historical positioning of Hong Kong is less relevant today, with worsening economic concerns in China, in close proximity. </li>
</ul>


The top line of HKEX (388 HK) is down 7% YoY, the next major income line is down 3% YoY while operating costs are up 8% YoY, in 1Q24.
Average daily turnover is down 22% YoY, and to us this is the main story, a marginalization of the Hong Kong Exchange. 
Geopolitical risks remain high, the historical positioning of Hong Kong is less relevant today, with worsening economic concerns in China, in close proximity. 


HKEX - Revenue Down, Investment Income Down, Operating Costs Up, Will It All Reverse?

Singapore

Singapore Exchange Limited owns and operates Singapore's Securities and derivatives exchange and their related clearing houses.  The Company also provides ancillary securities processing and information technology services to participants in the financial sector.

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SGX (SGX SP)

Mapletree Logistics Trust chairman increases interest at S$1.31 per unit

Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions to Aug 1, with S$115 million of net institutional outflow,...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Harvesting Seasonality in Iron Ore Prices Induced by Weather, Inventory Restocking, and Holidays

Iron ore futures prices exhibit seasonality. Harnessing seasonality using SGX Iron Ore Futures delivers a success rate of 63% (positive P&L in 57...

Mint Finance

The Tang group ventures into the S-Reit sector

Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions through to May 30, with S$108.4 million of net institutional...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

AEM, UMS, NetLink and Baker Tech directors acquire stock

AEM, UMS, NetLink and Baker Tech directors acquire stock On May 20, OUE announced a proposed off-market purchase of up to 84,038,036 shares...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

HKEX - Revenue Down, Investment Income Down, Operating Costs Up, Will It All Reverse?

The direction of most line items are poor and this is not likely to reverse. The top line decline is especially severe as is average daily...

Daniel Tabbush

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