Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss an update of pair trade between Emart (long) and Coupang (short). </li>
<li>Back on 1 August 2022, we recommended a pair trade between E Mart Inc (139480 KS) (long) and Coupang (CPNG US) (short).</li>
<li>This pair trade has worked well in the past five months and we continue to like this pair trade (long Emart and short Coupang).</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss an update of pair trade between Emart (long) and Coupang (short). 
Back on 1 August 2022, we recommended a pair trade between E Mart Inc (139480 KS) (long) and Coupang (CPNG US) (short).
This pair trade has worked well in the past five months and we continue to like this pair trade (long Emart and short Coupang).


An Update to Our Pair Trade Between Emart & Coupang

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bigtincan-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29067:1" rel="noopener">Bigtincan Holdings Ltd (BTH AU)</a> disclosed a non-binding indicative offer of A$0.80 per share offer from SQN, a skinny 17.6% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>The offer is unattractive on several fronts and is the latest beaten-down ASX tech stock to be subject to a PE bid. Expect the Board to reject the offer.</li>
<li>Bigtincan also revealed other non-binding expressions of interest. This offer could flush out other potential bidders. At the last close, the gross spread is 6.0%.</li>
</ul>



Bigtincan Holdings Ltd (BTH AU) disclosed a non-binding indicative offer of A$0.80 per share offer from SQN, a skinny 17.6% premium to the undisturbed price.
The offer is unattractive on several fronts and is the latest beaten-down ASX tech stock to be subject to a PE bid. Expect the Board to reject the offer.
Bigtincan also revealed other non-binding expressions of interest. This offer could flush out other potential bidders. At the last close, the gross spread is 6.0%.


Bigtincan (BTH AU)’s Lightweight A$0.80 Offer from SQN

Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

<ul>
<li>Weimob has emerged from the pandemic stronger and leaner, further consolidating its leadership in China's e-commerce SaaS market. </li>
<li>Drawing insights into the supply side (merchants/brands) on  Alibaba platform, our bottom-up analysis suggests that Weimob potentially has a US$600mn revenue opportunity by 2025.</li>
<li>We value Weimob at US$3bn assigning 5xPS on its US$600mn revenue by 2025,  implying 25% CAGR over 3-year period. Patience needed to navigate high-inflation environment which pressures growth assets. </li>
</ul>


Weimob has emerged from the pandemic stronger and leaner, further consolidating its leadership in China's e-commerce SaaS market. 
Drawing insights into the supply side (merchants/brands) on  Alibaba platform, our bottom-up analysis suggests that Weimob potentially has a US$600mn revenue opportunity by 2025.
We value Weimob at US$3bn assigning 5xPS on its US$600mn revenue by 2025,  implying 25% CAGR over 3-year period. Patience needed to navigate high-inflation environment which pressures growth assets. 


Weimob (2013 HK): Strategic Patience Will Be Rewarded (Part 2)

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>In a rather tumultuous market environment for technology stocks, Shopify did management to deliver an all-around beat in the recent quarter.</li><li>The outsized pace of the offline growth on Shopify continued as it acquired 8 new merchants with more than 20 locations each.</li><li>The management launched new tools along with Shopify Markets for merchants who are in search of expanding to new markets.</li></ul>

In a rather tumultuous market environment for technology stocks, Shopify did management to deliver an all-around beat in the recent quarter.The outsized pace of the offline growth on Shopify continued as it acquired 8 new merchants with more than 20 locations each.The management launched new tools along with Shopify Markets for merchants who are in search of expanding to new markets.

Shopify Inc: New Offerings For Merchants & Other Drivers

<ul>
<li>In December 2022, Naver plans to launch its long awaited 24 hours delivery service (Naver Arrival Guarantee Solution), competing directly against Coupang's "rocket delivery" services in Korea.</li>
<li>Coupang's valuations are not attractive at current levels and the heightened competition in the 24 hour delivery service market from Naver/CJ Logistics is likely to negatively impact Coupang. </li>
<li>By providing 24 hours quick delivery service, Naver is expected to take away market share from Coupang from the fast delivery services in Korea.</li>
</ul>


In December 2022, Naver plans to launch its long awaited 24 hours delivery service (Naver Arrival Guarantee Solution), competing directly against Coupang's "rocket delivery" services in Korea.
Coupang's valuations are not attractive at current levels and the heightened competition in the 24 hour delivery service market from Naver/CJ Logistics is likely to negatively impact Coupang. 
By providing 24 hours quick delivery service, Naver is expected to take away market share from Coupang from the fast delivery services in Korea.


Coupang: Market Share Loss Likely Due to Launch of Naver's 24 Hours Next Day Delivery Service

Canada

Shopify Inc. provides a cloud-based commerce platform. The Company offers a platform for merchants to create an omni-channel experience that helps showcase the merchant's brand. Shopify serves customers in Canada.

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Shopify (SHOP CN)

An Update to Our Pair Trade Between Emart & Coupang

We discuss an update of pair trade between Emart (long) and Coupang (short). Emart is a value stock with its shares trading at 0.2x P/B (2023)....

Douglas Kim

Bigtincan (BTH AU)’s Lightweight A$0.80 Offer from SQN

Expect the Board to reject the offer as it is light. The indicative offer could spark other interested parties to show their hand. We would be...

Arun George

Weimob (2013 HK): Strategic Patience Will Be Rewarded (Part 2)

Our bottom-up analysis suggests Weimob has a US$600mn revenue opportunity and could achieve US$100mn net profit by 2025 and we value the company at...

Eric Chen

Shopify Inc: New Offerings For Merchants & Other Drivers

In a rather tumultuous market environment for technology stocks, Shopify did management to deliver an all-around beat in the recent quarter. The...

Baptista Research

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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An Update to Our Pair Trade Between Emart & Coupang

We discuss an update of pair trade between Emart (long) and Coupang (short). Emart is a value stock with its shares trading at 0.2x P/B (2023)....

Douglas Kim

Bigtincan (BTH AU)’s Lightweight A$0.80 Offer from SQN

Expect the Board to reject the offer as it is light. The indicative offer could spark other interested parties to show their hand. We would be...

Arun George

Weimob (2013 HK): Strategic Patience Will Be Rewarded (Part 2)

Our bottom-up analysis suggests Weimob has a US$600mn revenue opportunity and could achieve US$100mn net profit by 2025 and we value the company at...

Eric Chen

Shopify Inc: New Offerings For Merchants & Other Drivers

In a rather tumultuous market environment for technology stocks, Shopify did management to deliver an all-around beat in the recent quarter. The...

Baptista Research

Coupang: Market Share Loss Likely Due to Launch of Naver's 24 Hours Next Day Delivery Service

Coupang's valuations are not attractive at current levels and the heightened competition in the 24 hour delivery service market from Naver/CJ...

Douglas Kim