Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>Shopify’s stock has taken a beating along with the broader indices given the rate hike, bringing the company down to a more reasonable valuation.</li><li>Its first-quarter result was solid with revenue increasing by 22% to $1.2 billion, representing a two-year compound annual growth rate of 60%.</li><li>Overall, we remain bullish on their stock and give it a 'Buy' rating with a revised target price.</li></ul>

Shopify’s stock has taken a beating along with the broader indices given the rate hike, bringing the company down to a more reasonable valuation.Its first-quarter result was solid with revenue increasing by 22% to $1.2 billion, representing a two-year compound annual growth rate of 60%.Overall, we remain bullish on their stock and give it a 'Buy' rating with a revised target price.

Shopify Inc.: Is The Market Leadership Here To Stay? Check Out The Key Drivers

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Algosun Global

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Fintech unicorn could report strong earnings results for FY Q3 2022. Total revenue increased by 54% year-over-year, and net loss narrowed to ~$55M for the reporting period.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/affirm-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31038:1" rel="noopener">Affirm Holdings (AFRM US)</a>  closed a $500M revolving ABS deal and added $2.5B in new funding capacity from various partners. Total funding capacity was ~$9B, marking a 55% YoY increase.  </li>
<li>Sovereign wealth fund GIC Singapore acquired ~$126 million worth of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/affirm-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31038:1" rel="noopener">Affirm Holdings (AFRM US)</a>  shares in April at an average of <strong>$33.00</strong> per share.</li>
</ul>


Fintech unicorn could report strong earnings results for FY Q3 2022. Total revenue increased by 54% year-over-year, and net loss narrowed to ~$55M for the reporting period.

Affirm Holdings (AFRM US)  closed a $500M revolving ABS deal and added $2.5B in new funding capacity from various partners. Total funding capacity was ~$9B, marking a 55% YoY increase.  
Sovereign wealth fund GIC Singapore acquired ~$126 million worth of Affirm Holdings (AFRM US)  shares in April at an average of $33.00 per share.


Affirm Raises Outlook For FY 2022: No Changes In Bullish Narrative

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

<ul>
<li>Promised operating leverage is pushed out until likely 3Q22, but only higher employee RSUs is a permanent inflationary impact.</li>
<li>Overcapacity is almost certainly transitory, as long as the retail business grows, this will be soaked up in a quarter or two.</li>
<li>AWS backlog is booming again. Amazon's current valuation = 12x forward AWS sales.</li>
</ul>


Promised operating leverage is pushed out until likely 3Q22, but only higher employee RSUs is a permanent inflationary impact.
Overcapacity is almost certainly transitory, as long as the retail business grows, this will be soaked up in a quarter or two.
AWS backlog is booming again. Amazon's current valuation = 12x forward AWS sales.


Amazon 1Q22: (Some) Cost Inflation Is Transitory, The Moat Is Not

US Tech Company Research, MT Capital

MT Capital

US Tech Company Research

I demystify the world's most interesting tech companies, providing in-depth, no-nonsense, un-biased analysis on the most interesting Tech Companies available for investment today. I am a Mechanical Engineer by education, Software Engineer by trade and a self-trained Financial Analyst.

<ul><li>Today I will be completing an in-depth analysis on Shopify. Within, I will spend time breaking down the opportunity in front of the company, both broadly within the e-commerce space as a whole, as well as more specifically from a value proposition point of view.</li><li>In addition, I will break down the company’s business model, clearly outline how the company makes money, analyze their most recent earnings report, delve into some KPIs and discuss some bear and bull cases that some investors should be wary of going forwards.</li><li>As always, the format of this research piece can be seen outlined below, feel free to skip ahead to the sections that you feel will be most useful.</li></ul>

Today I will be completing an in-depth analysis on Shopify. Within, I will spend time breaking down the opportunity in front of the company, both broadly within the e-commerce space as a whole, as well as more specifically from a value proposition point of view.In addition, I will break down the company’s business model, clearly outline how the company makes money, analyze their most recent earnings report, delve into some KPIs and discuss some bear and bull cases that some investors should be wary of going forwards.As always, the format of this research piece can be seen outlined below, feel free to skip ahead to the sections that you feel will be most useful.

<ul>
<li>Shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bigcommerce-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29196:1" rel="noopener">BigCommerce Holdings (BIGC US)</a>  slipped below the IPO price of <strong>$24.00</strong> per share, and at current valuation, we see limited downside risk for BigCommerce stock investors.  </li>
<li>In 2020, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intuit-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8235:1" rel="noopener">Intuit Inc (INTU US)</a>  offered to acquire BigCommerce for $1.5 billion, according to CNBC and other public sources. Both BigCommerce and Intuit didn’t provide a comment.</li>
<li>Insider selling activity has slowed down noticeably over the past three months and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bigcommerce-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29196:1" rel="noopener">BigCommerce Holdings (BIGC US)</a>  insiders sold ~$5 million worth of shares. </li>
</ul>


Shares of BigCommerce Holdings (BIGC US)  slipped below the IPO price of $24.00 per share, and at current valuation, we see limited downside risk for BigCommerce stock investors.  
In 2020, Intuit Inc (INTU US)  offered to acquire BigCommerce for $1.5 billion, according to CNBC and other public sources. Both BigCommerce and Intuit didn’t provide a comment.
Insider selling activity has slowed down noticeably over the past three months and BigCommerce Holdings (BIGC US)  insiders sold ~$5 million worth of shares. 


BigCommerce: Stock Selloff Looks Finished As Valuation Hit $1.5 Billion

Canada

Shopify Inc. provides a cloud-based commerce platform. The Company offers a platform for merchants to create an omni-channel experience that helps showcase the merchant's brand. Shopify serves customers in Canada.

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Shopify (SHOP CN)

Shopify Inc.: Is The Market Leadership Here To Stay? Check Out The Key Drivers

Shopify’s stock has taken a beating along with the broader indices given the rate hike, bringing the company down to a more reasonable...

Baptista Research

Affirm Raises Outlook For FY 2022: No Changes In Bullish Narrative

We are moving our price target to $70.00 from $76.00, which we believe is fair and conservative. We model total revenue rising to ~$1.98B in FY’23,...

Andrei Zakharov

Amazon 1Q22: (Some) Cost Inflation Is Transitory, The Moat Is Not

Current 2023E has AWS @ $104B and Advertising at $48B in revenues. Both are 45%+ EBITDA margin businesses. Today you are paying 16x forward EBITDA...

Aaron Gabin

Shopify ($SHOP)

Today I will be completing an in-depth analysis on Shopify. Within, I will spend time breaking down the opportunity in front of the company...

MT Capital

BigCommerce: Stock Selloff Looks Finished As Valuation Hit $1.5 Billion

Our analysis suggests risk/reward for BigCommerce shares looks strong, and downside potential may be limited as BigCommerce stock is undervalued...

Andrei Zakharov

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