Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/phonepe-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34788:1" rel="noopener">Phonepe Pvt Ltd (1732974D IN)</a> 's new app, "Pincode", is based on the ONDC platform and offers hyperlocal e-commerce.</li>
<li>ONDC-Enabled Pincode could disrupt <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a> food delivery and grocery businesses.</li>
<li>Loyal restaurants may choose to offer discounts via ONDC, putting pressure on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a>  and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bundl-technologies-private-limited-swiggy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (1255298D IN)</a> to compete bringing back cash burn and discounting. </li>
</ul>



Phonepe Pvt Ltd (1732974D IN) 's new app, "Pincode", is based on the ONDC platform and offers hyperlocal e-commerce.
ONDC-Enabled Pincode could disrupt Zomato (ZOMATO IN) food delivery and grocery businesses.
Loyal restaurants may choose to offer discounts via ONDC, putting pressure on Zomato (ZOMATO IN)  and Swiggy (1255298D IN) to compete bringing back cash burn and discounting. 


Zomato (ZOMATO IN) | Houston, We Have A "Pincode" Problem

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In Nov 2021, Paytm raised around US$2.2bn via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its IPO. </li>
<li>The company is backed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> and counts <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berkshire-hathaway-inc-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1044:1" rel="noopener">Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl A (BRK/A US)</a> among its investors. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the upcoming lockup expiry.</li>
</ul>


In Nov 2021, Paytm raised around US$2.2bn via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its IPO. 
The company is backed by Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US), Softbank Group (9984 JP) and counts Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl A (BRK/A US) among its investors. 
In this note, we will talk about the upcoming lockup expiry.


Paytm (One 97) Lockup - US$4bn+ Lockup Expiry, Some Large Shareholders Are Underwater, a Lot Aren’t

<ul>
<li>The near term impact of ONDC on OFD platforms like Zomato &amp; Swiggy is limited, longer term they will have to move from platform to a network centric model.</li>
<li>An external shock will be required to drive faster ONDC adaption as we have seen in the case of UPI.</li>
<li>Logistics companies especially the ones with express capabilities are likely beneficiaries in case ONDC scales up rapidly. </li>
</ul>


The near term impact of ONDC on OFD platforms like Zomato &amp; Swiggy is limited, longer term they will have to move from platform to a network centric model.
An external shock will be required to drive faster ONDC adaption as we have seen in the case of UPI.
Logistics companies especially the ones with express capabilities are likely beneficiaries in case ONDC scales up rapidly. 


India Food Delivery - Bracing for Disruption (ONDC)

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 indices in the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect six ADDs/DELs for BSE 100 and six ADDs/DELs for BSE 200.</li>
<li>Zomato is one of the six BSE 100 expected DELs but its fate will depend on when its expected F&amp;O list inclusion takes place and the index provider's discretionary choices.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 indices in the December 2024 index rebal event.
We expect six ADDs/DELs for BSE 100 and six ADDs/DELs for BSE 200.
Zomato is one of the six BSE 100 expected DELs but its fate will depend on when its expected F&amp;O list inclusion takes place and the index provider's discretionary choices.


Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 24: Some Changes to Expectations + Zomato Question Mark

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Western Carriers / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/western-carriers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39869:1" rel="noopener">Western Carriers (1489172D IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$100m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Western Carriers (India) Limited (WCIL) was the largest private, multimodal, rail focused, 4PL asset-light logistics company in India in terms of container volumes in FY22, as per 1Lattice.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.</li>
</ul>



Western Carriers (1489172D IN) is looking to raise about US$100m in its upcoming India IPO.
Western Carriers (India) Limited (WCIL) was the largest private, multimodal, rail focused, 4PL asset-light logistics company in India in terms of container volumes in FY22, as per 1Lattice.
In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.


Western Carriers Pre-IPO-Expanding Through a Combination of Asset-Light Model and Own Infrastructure

India

Delhivery Limited provides logistics solutions to e-commerce companies. The Company offers last-mile delivery, payment collection and processing, third-party and transit warehousing, vendor-to-customer shipping, technology integration, and customized and revers logistics solutions. Delhivery Limited serves customers in India.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Delhivery (DELHIVER IN)

Zomato (ZOMATO IN) | Houston, We Have A "Pincode" Problem

Emergence of ONDC and PhonePe's Pincode app likely to disrupt food delivery and grocery businesses of Zomato and Swiggy, bringing back cash burn...

Pranav Bhavsar

Paytm (One 97) Lockup - US$4bn+ Lockup Expiry, Some Large Shareholders Are Underwater, a Lot Aren’t

In Nov 2021, Paytm raised around US$2.2bn via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its IPO. In this note, we talk about the upcoming...

Sumeet Singh

India Food Delivery - Bracing for Disruption (ONDC)

ONDC is set to offer customers more options, alter business models for online food delivery players and provide a tailwind for express logistic...

Pranav Bhavsar

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Dec 24: Some Changes to Expectations + Zomato Question Mark

The reference period ends today (31st October). Our BSE 100 expected ADDs/DELs remain unchanged. For BSE 200, all expected ADDs/DELs mentioned in...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Western Carriers Pre-IPO-Expanding Through a Combination of Asset-Light Model and Own Infrastructure

Western Carriers (India) Limited is looking to raise about US$100m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the company’s historical...

Akshat Shah

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Zomato (ZOMATO IN) | Houston, We Have A "Pincode" Problem

Emergence of ONDC and PhonePe's Pincode app likely to disrupt food delivery and grocery businesses of Zomato and Swiggy, bringing back cash burn...

Pranav Bhavsar

Paytm (One 97) Lockup - US$4bn+ Lockup Expiry, Some Large Shareholders Are Underwater, a Lot Aren’t

In Nov 2021, Paytm raised around US$2.2bn via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its IPO. In this note, we talk about the upcoming...

Sumeet Singh

India Food Delivery - Bracing for Disruption (ONDC)

ONDC is set to offer customers more options, alter business models for online food delivery players and provide a tailwind for express logistic...

Pranav Bhavsar

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 24: Some Changes to Expectations + Zomato Question Mark

The reference period ends today (31st October). Our BSE 100 expected ADDs/DELs remain unchanged. For BSE 200, all expected ADDs/DELs mentioned in...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Western Carriers Pre-IPO-Expanding Through a Combination of Asset-Light Model and Own Infrastructure

Western Carriers (India) Limited is looking to raise about US$100m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the company’s historical...

Akshat Shah

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Dec 24: Some Changes to Expectations + Zomato Question Mark