External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Emkay Global Financial Services Limited

Emkay

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Emkay Global Financial Services Limited

Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd. is a leader in the financial services sector, actively creating wealth for our clients for over two decades. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Delhivery’s Q3FY25 revenue met our expectations, but EBITDA fell short due to increased vehicle rental costs driven by higher truck spot rates during the festive season.</li><li>These rates have normalized since Jan-25. The management intends to mitigate this risk going forward by exploring fixed cost contracts.</li><li>Performance in the PTL segment is expected to remain robust in Q4 (Jan volumes at 147k ton), while B2C continues to face broader industry headwinds (demand and quick commerce) and insourcing by Meesho.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Delhivery’s Q3FY25 revenue met our expectations, but EBITDA fell short due to increased vehicle rental costs driven by higher truck spot rates during the festive season.These rates have normalized since Jan-25. The management intends to mitigate this risk going forward by exploring fixed cost contracts.Performance in the PTL segment is expected to remain robust in Q4 (Jan volumes at 147k ton), while B2C continues to face broader industry headwinds (demand and quick commerce) and insourcing by Meesho.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Delhivery - Subdued Profitability; Outlook for PTL Remains Robust

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Prabhudas Lilladhar

Prabhudas Lilladhar

Prabhudas Lilladher is one of India's leading research based financial services organisation.

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>We cut our FY25E EBITDA estimates by 9% amid eruption of cost led challenges in the quarter; however our FY26E/FY27E estimates are broadly intact.</li><li>Delhivery reported weak set of numbers with EBITDA miss of 13% due to high fleet cost inflation given the festive demand and increase in fixed overheads arising from operationalization of new facility at Bangalore.</li><li>This was the fourth straight quarter wherein Delhivery’s B2C volume growth was in low single digits.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We cut our FY25E EBITDA estimates by 9% amid eruption of cost led challenges in the quarter; however our FY26E/FY27E estimates are broadly intact.Delhivery reported weak set of numbers with EBITDA miss of 13% due to high fleet cost inflation given the festive demand and increase in fixed overheads arising from operationalization of new facility at Bangalore.This was the fourth straight quarter wherein Delhivery’s B2C volume growth was in low single digits.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Delhivery (DELHIVER IN) - B2C Margins Erode

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period now complete, there could be 15 changes for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 8.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 7.65bn (US$88m). With over US$40bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.</li>
<li>The outright adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6 months, but there has been underperformance this calendar year.</li>
</ul>


With the review period now complete, there could be 15 changes for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the March rebalance.
Estimated one-way turnover is 8.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 7.65bn (US$88m). With over US$40bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.
The outright adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6 months, but there has been underperformance this calendar year.


NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance Preview: 15 Potential Changes in March

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited provides investment services. The Company provides corporate and investment banking, securities, wealth management, retail brokerage, initial public offerings, and advisory services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Service EBITDA margin for Delhivery express parcel segment was ~500bps lower than what was realised in Q3FY24, despite a similar top line due to a one-off surge in intracity vehicle rental expenses (cINR 540mn differential).</li><li>PTL revenue declined 3% QoQ (+22% YoY) in Q3FY25 given adverse seasonality; however, management remains confident of sustained growth next year.</li><li>We believe Delhivery is a compelling buy at current valuation, given limited downside post the recent stock price correction.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Service EBITDA margin for Delhivery express parcel segment was ~500bps lower than what was realised in Q3FY24, despite a similar top line due to a one-off surge in intracity vehicle rental expenses (cINR 540mn differential).PTL revenue declined 3% QoQ (+22% YoY) in Q3FY25 given adverse seasonality; however, management remains confident of sustained growth next year.We believe Delhivery is a compelling buy at current valuation, given limited downside post the recent stock price correction.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Delhivery - Margin Disappoints Given One-Off Surge in Costs; Better Times Likely Ahead

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/phonepe-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34788:1" rel="noopener">Phonepe Pvt Ltd (1732974D IN)</a> 's new app, "Pincode", is based on the ONDC platform and offers hyperlocal e-commerce.</li>
<li>ONDC-Enabled Pincode could disrupt <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a> food delivery and grocery businesses.</li>
<li>Loyal restaurants may choose to offer discounts via ONDC, putting pressure on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a>  and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bundl-technologies-private-limited-swiggy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (1255298D IN)</a> to compete bringing back cash burn and discounting. </li>
</ul>



Phonepe Pvt Ltd (1732974D IN) 's new app, "Pincode", is based on the ONDC platform and offers hyperlocal e-commerce.
ONDC-Enabled Pincode could disrupt Zomato (ZOMATO IN) food delivery and grocery businesses.
Loyal restaurants may choose to offer discounts via ONDC, putting pressure on Zomato (ZOMATO IN)  and Swiggy (1255298D IN) to compete bringing back cash burn and discounting. 


Zomato (ZOMATO IN) | Houston, We Have A "Pincode" Problem

India

Delhivery Limited provides logistics solutions to e-commerce companies. The Company offers last-mile delivery, payment collection and processing, third-party and transit warehousing, vendor-to-customer shipping, technology integration, and customized and revers logistics solutions. Delhivery Limited serves customers in India.

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Delhivery (DELHIVER IN)

Delhivery - Subdued Profitability; Outlook for PTL Remains Robust

Delhivery’s Q3FY25 revenue met our expectations, but EBITDA fell short due to increased vehicle rental costs driven by higher truck spot rates...

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