Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

BayCurrent Consulting  / Equity Bottom-Up

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baycurrent-consulting-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25985:1" rel="noopener">Baycurrent Consulting (6532 JP)</a>  offers a range of consultancy services in Japan including development and formulation of business strategy, digital transformation, M&amp;A and JV, improvement in operational capabilities and IT Services. The Covid-19 outbreak has accelerated the digital transformation in Japan which has led to increased requirements for consulting services in the country.BayCurrent’s share price has rallied almost 200% over the last 12-months to JPY46,250 per share from JPY15,740 per share a year ago. In this insight, we examine the company’s business model, key drivers, outlook, financials and valuation.

Baycurrent Consulting (6532 JP)  offers a range of consultancy services in Japan including development and formulation of business strategy, digital transformation, M&amp;A and JV, improvement in operational capabilities and IT Services. The Covid-19 outbreak has accelerated the digital transformation in Japan which has led to increased requirements for consulting services in the country.BayCurrent’s share price has rallied almost 200% over the last 12-months to JPY46,250 per share from JPY15,740 per share a year ago. In this insight, we examine the company’s business model, key drivers, outlook, financials and valuation.

Baycurrent Consulting: Strong Fundamentals; Up Almost 200% and Further Upside Likely

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shift-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7266:1" rel="noopener">Shift Inc (3697 JP)</a> offers outsourced software quality assurance and testing solutions to customers in the enterprise and entertainment markets in Japan. Shift is the market leader in the outsourced software testing service market in Japan with an estimated market share of 70%. The software testing market in Japan is estimated at JPY5.5 trn, however, only 1.0% of the market is currently outsourced while majority of software testing is carried out by in-house engineers at software development companies.The company’s shares have rallied more than 80.0% since March this year significantly outperforming the market. In this insight, we examine Shift’s business model, segments, financials, management, outlook and valuation.

Shift Inc (3697 JP) offers outsourced software quality assurance and testing solutions to customers in the enterprise and entertainment markets in Japan. Shift is the market leader in the outsourced software testing service market in Japan with an estimated market share of 70%. The software testing market in Japan is estimated at JPY5.5 trn, however, only 1.0% of the market is currently outsourced while majority of software testing is carried out by in-house engineers at software development companies.The company’s shares have rallied more than 80.0% since March this year significantly outperforming the market. In this insight, we examine Shift’s business model, segments, financials, management, outlook and valuation.

Shift Inc: Key Beneficiary of Shift in Software Testing Towards Outsourcing in Japan

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Will Semiconductor   Shan / Technical Analysis

New developments suggest caution is warranted, and leads us to believe the mixed market environment is poised to continue. The new and concerning developments include widening high yield spreads in the U.S. and Europe and improving relative strength for defensive Sectors -- both are clear signs of risk aversion. At the same time, global indexes remain above critical support levels; until this changes our neutral outlook remains appropriate.

New developments suggest caution is warranted, and leads us to believe the mixed market environment is poised to continue. The new and concerning developments include widening high yield spreads in the U.S. and Europe and improving relative strength for defensive Sectors -- both are clear signs of risk aversion. At the same time, global indexes remain above critical support levels; until this changes our neutral outlook remains appropriate.

Global Equity Strategy: Reason For Caution; Actionable Themes: Services/Technology & Staples

GigaDevice Semiconductor  / Technical Analysis

Market dynamics remain largely positive which continues to support our constructive outlook, and we view recent weakness as a buying opportunity. Below we highlight notable recent developments and actionable stocks within the Technology, Financials, and Materials Sectors.

Market dynamics remain largely positive which continues to support our constructive outlook, and we view recent weakness as a buying opportunity. Below we highlight notable recent developments and actionable stocks within the Technology, Financials, and Materials Sectors.

China Technology Sector Improving -- Add Exposure

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/change-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27414:1" rel="noopener">Change Inc (3962 JP)</a>  reported its 2QFY09/2021 results today where the company’s revenues increased 82% YoY while operating profit more than tripled to JPY701m compared to JPY156m in the same quarter a year ago. The strong performance for the quarter was primarily driven by the company’s Publitech business whose revenues grew more than 100% during the quarter.

Change Inc (3962 JP)  reported its 2QFY09/2021 results today where the company’s revenues increased 82% YoY while operating profit more than tripled to JPY701m compared to JPY156m in the same quarter a year ago. The strong performance for the quarter was primarily driven by the company’s Publitech business whose revenues grew more than 100% during the quarter.

Change 2QFY21: PubliTech and M&A to Drive Earnings; Current Multiples Offer Good Buying Opportunity

Japan

DTS CORPORATION provides system, operation, and network engineering services for financial and communication-related companies.  The Company also provides product services and support services including system development, maintenance, and management.

TKC Corporation is an consulting firm that provides accounting and tax information with local and overseas clients.  The Company provides database services for judicial precedents in tax and civil law.  TKC develops and sells personal computer and office automation equipment, and also provides nationwide management data-process consulting services.

Net One Systems Co., Ltd. designs, installs, maintains and supports computer network systems.  The company also installs computer security related products and integrated audio visual data communication environment system by applying IP (Internet Protocol) technology.  Net One Systems builds virtualized data center environment as well.

Future Architect, Inc. provides information system and consulting services.  The Company offers a variety of services including system design and development of application software.

Digital Garage, Inc. is a web solution provider and a business incubator.  The Company provides Internet communications and strategy planning, electronic commerce solution tools, web creation and enhancement, and Internet advertising consulting services.

Transcosmos Inc is an independent data processing company that provides software development services. The Company develops and manages electronic commerce systems, and also provides marketing support services.

ZUKEN INC. plans, develops, and sells computer-aided design (CAD), computeraided manufacturing (CAM), and computer-aided engineering (CAE) system services. The Company operates an overseas production subsidiary in England and sales subsidiaries in the US, England, the Netherlands, Germany, Austria, Switzerland, France, Italy, Korea, and Singapore.

ARGO GRAPHICS Inc. develops CAD (Computer Aided Design) software.  The Company also provides consulting and maintenance services.  Argo Graphics also provides CATIA (Computer Graphics Aided Three Dimensional Interactive Application) related software and training program.  The Company provides its services for automobile, electric component, and communication industries.

Change Co., Ltd. provides IT and network security services and solutions. The company also delivers data analytics services and training related solutions.

TECHMATRIX CORPORATION provides system integration and solution services.  The Company's services include networking, security, and software quality assurance solutions.  TECHMATRIX provides consulting services and develops enterprise software for electronic commerce and financial companies.  The Company develops packaged software for hospital system and customer relationship management(CRM).

Chinasoft International Limited develops and provides solutions in China to government authorities and its IT (Information Technology) service providers. The Company also provides IT consulting and training services, IT outsourcing services and standalone software products.

CSG Systems International, Inc. provides customer care and billing solutions for cable television providers, direct broadcast satellite providers, on-line services markets, and telephony providers. The Company offers a suite of processing and related services, as well as software and professional services which automate customer care and billing functions.

PCI-Suntek Technology Co., Ltd. provides customer service solutions for telecommunication service providers, banks, and securities firms.  The Company develops voice service systems, calling center systems, telecommunication operation and maintenance systems, and other value-added service solutions.

Jasmine Telecom Systems PCL provides a wide range of telecommunications services and equipment. The Company leases submarine fiber optic cable network and provides satellite telecommunications,  Internet and satellite-based mobile communications services. Jasmine also supplies, designs, and installs telecommunication and computer networks, including other peripheral equipment.

Iress Limited provides real-time information services to businesses that specialize in the equity, equity options and future information markets in Australia and New Zealand. The Group supplies a range of pricing data, charting, news and equity and equity derivatives and also offers real-time trading tools, including a domestic order routing product and financial

MoneyGram International, Inc. provides payment services to consumers and businesses through a network of agents and its financial institution customers. The Company enables consumers to make payments and to transfer money around the world.

eClerx Services Limited provides data analytics and solutions to global enterprise clients in the financial services, retail and manufacturing industries. The Company offers data analytics, operations management, data audits, metrics management and reporting services.

Digital China Information Service Company Ltd is principally engaged in systems integration, technical services, application software development and finance special equipment related businesses.

Digital China Information Service (000555 CH)

Sabre Corporation provides technology solutions to the global travel and tourism industry. The Company offers tours and travel services, as well as, online reservations for airlines, hotels, cruises, car rental companies, and vacation packages.

Taiji Computer Corporation Limited develops, designs, manufactures, sells and repair computer, integrated circuit, software and communication equipment. The Company's services include industry-specific solution, IT consulting, value-added services, and IT infrastructure services.

SHIFT Inc. offers information technology outsourcing services. The Company provides outsourcing software testing services to corporations and individual clients. SHIFT also provides software solutions and consulting services, as well as educational classes and programs.

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Shift Inc (3697 JP)

Baycurrent Consulting: Strong Fundamentals; Up Almost 200% and Further Upside Likely

BayCurrent offers consultancy services in Japan and stock price has been up almost 200% over the last 12-months. Covid-19 has accelerated DX in...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Shift Inc: Key Beneficiary of Shift in Software Testing Towards Outsourcing in Japan

There is no evidence that Shift’s revenue growth is decelerating and as per consensus estimates, Shift’s revenues will hit JPY100bn by the end of...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Global Equity Strategy: Reason For Caution; Actionable Themes: Services/Technology & Staples

With interest rates expected to move sideways to lower, we recommend a mix of growth and defensive Sectors. Today we focus on Services/Technology...

Vermilion Research

China Technology Sector Improving -- Add Exposure

Market dynamics remain largely positive which continues to support our constructive outlook, and we view recent weakness as a buying opportunity....

Vermilion Research

Change 2QFY21: PubliTech and M&A to Drive Earnings; Current Multiples Offer Good Buying Opportunity

Change reported its 2QFY09/2021 results today where the company’s revenues increased 82% YoY while operating profit more than tripled to JPY701m...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

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