HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Last week, centralized procurement results of orthopedic spinal consumables were released, with an average price reduction of 84%. We analyzed the impact on related companies. </li>
<li>If medical insurance reimbursement standards of Hunan Provincial are followed, there will be few real clinical needs for surgical robots for many hospitals, mainly to meet scientific research needs instead.</li>
<li>Under the appearance of the popularity of CGT CDMO, there are some hidden worries. Investors are recommended to be rational due to the overcapacity issue in the future.</li>
</ul>


Last week, centralized procurement results of orthopedic spinal consumables were released, with an average price reduction of 84%. We analyzed the impact on related companies. 
If medical insurance reimbursement standards of Hunan Provincial are followed, there will be few real clinical needs for surgical robots for many hospitals, mainly to meet scientific research needs instead.
Under the appearance of the popularity of CGT CDMO, there are some hidden worries. Investors are recommended to be rational due to the overcapacity issue in the future.


China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.30) - Orthopedics VBP, CGT CDMO, Surgical Robots, Bottom of HKEX

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Tencent known to outspend its peers on strategic investments, has made only around 80 investments and acquisitions so far this year compared to more than 200 deals done in 2021.</li>
<li>Tencent’s vast investment portfolio has attracted regulatory scrutiny and it’s the market’s belief that Tencent was asked to divest some of its stake in other leading tech players in China.</li>
<li>However, over the last few months, Tencent has been increasingly investing on companies operating in the medical field.</li>
</ul>


Tencent known to outspend its peers on strategic investments, has made only around 80 investments and acquisitions so far this year compared to more than 200 deals done in 2021.
Tencent’s vast investment portfolio has attracted regulatory scrutiny and it’s the market’s belief that Tencent was asked to divest some of its stake in other leading tech players in China.
However, over the last few months, Tencent has been increasingly investing on companies operating in the medical field.


Tencent Increases Its Investment in Medical and Healthcare

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 16th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$850.0 million, led by financials, industrials, and offset by information technology, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB and CATL.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 16th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$850.0 million, led by financials, industrials, and offset by information technology, energy.
We highlight flows for Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB and CATL.


Northbound Flows (Sep 16th): Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB and CATL

<ul>
<li>Next, domestic policy may shift from easing the pressure on medical insurance to focusing on the concerns about people's livelihood, the pressure of public opinion, people's demands, and old-age care.</li>
<li>The endogenous demand will be stepped downward based on current economic situation. The performance/valuation of HPV vaccine/growth hormones/eye care companies will gradually decline if just based on domestic markets.</li>
<li>The second half of 2022 to 2023 will gradually enter the outbreak period of medical equipment procurement for newly built hospitals. Related companies will usher in a "honeymoon period".</li>
</ul>


Next, domestic policy may shift from easing the pressure on medical insurance to focusing on the concerns about people's livelihood, the pressure of public opinion, people's demands, and old-age care.
The endogenous demand will be stepped downward based on current economic situation. The performance/valuation of HPV vaccine/growth hormones/eye care companies will gradually decline if just based on domestic markets.
The second half of 2022 to 2023 will gradually enter the outbreak period of medical equipment procurement for newly built hospitals. Related companies will usher in a "honeymoon period".


China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.26) - Policy Trend, Aier Eye Hospital, Hospital Project Construction

<ul>
<li>While AI has had a profound impact in image recognition,there has been little comparable progress in drug discovery, far from the current levels of investment and expectations in this sector.</li>
<li>The success of license-in model must be based on the appropriate valuation level. The ultimate parameter to measure a drug company based on license-in model is its cash flow status.</li>
<li>Pet medical equipment is not subject to the negative policy impact of centralized procurement. Together with high demand, it is expected to become the second growth curve of enterprises.</li>
</ul>


While AI has had a profound impact in image recognition,there has been little comparable progress in drug discovery, far from the current levels of investment and expectations in this sector.
The success of license-in model must be based on the appropriate valuation level. The ultimate parameter to measure a drug company based on license-in model is its cash flow status.
Pet medical equipment is not subject to the negative policy impact of centralized procurement. Together with high demand, it is expected to become the second growth curve of enterprises.


China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.12)-AI Drug Discovery, License-In Mode Valuation, Pet Medical Equipment

China

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes medical equipment. The Company produces life information supporting, in vitro diagnostic, and medical imaging equipment equipment. Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics also produces supporting reagents.

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH)

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Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH)

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.30) - Orthopedics VBP, CGT CDMO, Surgical Robots, Bottom of HKEX

Orthopedics VBP result was released,we analyzed the impact on companies; There will be few real clinical needs for surgical robots; There're hidden...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Tencent Increases Its Investment in Medical and Healthcare

While all eyes are on possible stake sale of its investments, Tencent is quietly investing on medical and healthcare fields, should help minimise...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Northbound Flows (Sep 16th): Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB and CATL

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB, CATL.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.26) - Policy Trend, Aier Eye Hospital, Hospital Project Construction

Policy may shift from easing medical insurance pressure to improving people's livelihood. Low endogenous demand will affect company's valuation....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.12)-AI Drug Discovery, License-In Mode Valuation, Pet Medical Equipment

AI drug discovery is far from meeting the current investment level and expectations. The success of license-in mode must be based on appropriate...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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52-week Range

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