HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Mindray’s 2023 growth just hit the low end of our forecast.The good story that “recovery of routine diagnosis/treatment after COVID-19 would drive the growth of MI/IVD businesses” doesn’t hold water.</li>
<li>Mindray may fail to get back to 20%+ revenue growth in 2024 based on current situation.The Company has to continue to “buy revenue” so as to reverse the declining trend.</li>
<li>The valuation of about 25-30 PE is reasonable for Mindray, not undervalued. If PE falls to the range of 20-25, we think it is a good place to go long.</li>
</ul>


Mindray’s 2023 growth just hit the low end of our forecast.The good story that “recovery of routine diagnosis/treatment after COVID-19 would drive the growth of MI/IVD businesses” doesn’t hold water.
Mindray may fail to get back to 20%+ revenue growth in 2024 based on current situation.The Company has to continue to “buy revenue” so as to reverse the declining trend.
The valuation of about 25-30 PE is reasonable for Mindray, not undervalued. If PE falls to the range of 20-25, we think it is a good place to go long.


Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760.CH) - Time to Bring "New Growth Story" To Investors

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Bloomberg reported (15 Apr) that the European Union is set to launch an IPI investigation into China’s procurement of medical devices, seeking to address concerns about the policy’s unfair favouritism towards domestic suppliers in China.</li><li>According to anonymous sources, the investigation could be announced as early as mid-April and may result in restricting Chinese companies’ access to tenders in the EU.</li><li>In May 2023, the US-European Union Trade and Technology Council (TTC) issued a statement indicating that the US and EU were exploring possible coordinated actions to address China’s non-market policies and practices.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bloomberg reported (15 Apr) that the European Union is set to launch an IPI investigation into China’s procurement of medical devices, seeking to address concerns about the policy’s unfair favouritism towards domestic suppliers in China.According to anonymous sources, the investigation could be announced as early as mid-April and may result in restricting Chinese companies’ access to tenders in the EU.In May 2023, the US-European Union Trade and Technology Council (TTC) issued a statement indicating that the US and EU were exploring possible coordinated actions to address China’s non-market policies and practices.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Mindray (300760 CH) - Firmly Implement the Globalization Strategy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Cambricon Technologies  Lt / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB +19.3bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND sold everything. Consumer, Finance, and Energy hit hardest.</li>
<li>Net flows as a percentage of value traded are clearly "short gamma", but the net buys this week were of stocks previously a net sell. </li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB +19.3bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND sold everything. Consumer, Finance, and Energy hit hardest.
Net flows as a percentage of value traded are clearly "short gamma", but the net buys this week were of stocks previously a net sell. 


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 19 July 2024): A Big Broad Sell in Third Plenum Week

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 19th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,388.5 million, led by consumer discretionary, industrials, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Midea (000333 CH), Zhongji Innolight (300308 CH), Mindray (300760 CH).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 19th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,388.5 million, led by consumer discretionary, industrials, financials.
We highlight flows for Midea (000333 CH), Zhongji Innolight (300308 CH), Mindray (300760 CH).


Northbound Flows (Jul 19th): Midea, Zhongji Innolight, Mindray

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Mindray has encountered bottleneck in performance growth. So, it urgently hopes to bring "new growth stories". APT Medical’s current growth momentum is commendable, and could also complement Mindray's product line.</li>
<li>We saw poor stock price performance of both after the announcement. High acquisition premium and the possibility that APT Medical’s future performance fall short of expectations are among the reasons. </li>
<li>In fact, both sides got what they wanted. We advise investors to be patient.Perhaps, Mindray would indeed make a breakthrough from this acquisition, which is also a blow to Microport.  </li>
</ul>


Mindray has encountered bottleneck in performance growth. So, it urgently hopes to bring "new growth stories". APT Medical’s current growth momentum is commendable, and could also complement Mindray's product line.
We saw poor stock price performance of both after the announcement. High acquisition premium and the possibility that APT Medical’s future performance fall short of expectations are among the reasons. 
In fact, both sides got what they wanted. We advise investors to be patient.Perhaps, Mindray would indeed make a breakthrough from this acquisition, which is also a blow to Microport.  


Mindray to Acquire $927 Million Stake in APT Medical – the Logic and Concerns Behind

China

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes medical equipment. The Company produces life information supporting, in vitro diagnostic, and medical imaging equipment equipment. Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics also produces supporting reagents.

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH)

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Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH)