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Articles from Caixin Global

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<ul><li>Retail lending / In Depth: Consumers, entrepreneurs give banks’ retail lending a much-needed boost</li><li>Attack /: Japanese mother and boy injured in Suzhou knife attack</li><li>Summer Davos /: China must seek growth by exporting its manufacturing expertise, says TCL founder</li></ul>

Retail lending / In Depth: Consumers, entrepreneurs give banks’ retail lending a much-needed boostAttack /: Japanese mother and boy injured in Suzhou knife attackSummer Davos /: China must seek growth by exporting its manufacturing expertise, says TCL founder

CX Daily: Consumers, Entrepreneurs Give Banks’ Retail Lending a Much-Needed Boost 

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Cancellation Price of HK$24.60 per share is about 50% lower than the IPO price of HK$49.6 per share in 2019. So, those long-term investors would suffer big losses.</li>
<li>Henlius' share price has outperformed the index. If it remains listed, it’s able to continue to grow and provide long-term returns for shareholders. Reasonable Cancellation Price should be above HK$30/share.</li>
<li>As usual, Fosun doesn't consider the interests of long-term investors and shareholders. There would be some investors/shareholders vote against the privatization, but the returns for arbitrageurs is not bad.</li>
</ul>


The Cancellation Price of HK$24.60 per share is about 50% lower than the IPO price of HK$49.6 per share in 2019. So, those long-term investors would suffer big losses.
Henlius' share price has outperformed the index. If it remains listed, it’s able to continue to grow and provide long-term returns for shareholders. Reasonable Cancellation Price should be above HK$30/share.
As usual, Fosun doesn't consider the interests of long-term investors and shareholders. There would be some investors/shareholders vote against the privatization, but the returns for arbitrageurs is not bad.


Shanghai Henlius Biotech Privatization (2696.HK) - The Offer Price Is Disappointing

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-fosun-pharmaceutical-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8045:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (2196 HK)</a> has made a<a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0624/2024062401217.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> HK$24.60/share Offer</a> (best &amp; final), in cash, for H-shares not held in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-henlius-biotech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27888:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)</a>. A scrip alternative may be afforded. </li>
<li>As Henlius is PRC-incorporated, this Offer is structured as a Merger by Absorption, involving a Scheme-like vote for independent H-shareholders. There is no tendering condition.
</li>
<li>Pre-Conditions include NDRC, MoC, and SAFE. The Long Stop date to secure these conditions is 30th April 2025. That's way too conservative. This should be wrapped up around mid 4Q24.</li>
</ul>



Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (2196 HK) has made a HK$24.60/share Offer (best &amp; final), in cash, for H-shares not held in Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK). A scrip alternative may be afforded. 
As Henlius is PRC-incorporated, this Offer is structured as a Merger by Absorption, involving a Scheme-like vote for independent H-shareholders. There is no tendering condition.

Pre-Conditions include NDRC, MoC, and SAFE. The Long Stop date to secure these conditions is 30th April 2025. That's way too conservative. This should be wrapped up around mid 4Q24.


Henlius Biotech (2696 HK): Fosun Pharma's "Fair" Offer

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-henlius-biotech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27888:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)</a> disclosed a pre-conditional privatisation offer by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-fosun-pharmaceutical-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8045:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) (2196 HK)</a> at HK$24.60, a 36.7% premium to the undisturbed price. The offer price is final. </li>
<li>The key condition is approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection). There is no minimum acceptance condition. </li>
<li>Long term investors will be unimpressed as the offer is half the HK$49.60 IPO price. However, shareholders with blocking stakes should be supportive partly because of the share alternative option.</li>
</ul>



Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) disclosed a pre-conditional privatisation offer by Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) (2196 HK) at HK$24.60, a 36.7% premium to the undisturbed price. The offer price is final. 
The key condition is approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection). There is no minimum acceptance condition. 
Long term investors will be unimpressed as the offer is half the HK$49.60 IPO price. However, shareholders with blocking stakes should be supportive partly because of the share alternative option.


Henlius (2696 HK): Fosun Pharma’s HK$24.60 Offer at Around Half the IPO Price

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Andy Fu

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>As Chinese population ages, healthcare is a major source of consumption. Yet we are the most pessimistic for it to become a pillar of consumption;</li>
<li>Low healthcare spending in China is achieved by underpaying doctors and nurses. Enhancing life quality, instead of only curing disease, can meaningfully improve consumption; </li>
<li>However, consumer healthcare begets a larger and more common economic phenomenon, which is underpricing. The issue of underpricing stems from low compliance cost, in our opinion.</li>
</ul>


As Chinese population ages, healthcare is a major source of consumption. Yet we are the most pessimistic for it to become a pillar of consumption;
Low healthcare spending in China is achieved by underpaying doctors and nurses. Enhancing life quality, instead of only curing disease, can meaningfully improve consumption; 
However, consumer healthcare begets a larger and more common economic phenomenon, which is underpricing. The issue of underpricing stems from low compliance cost, in our opinion.


How to Stimulate China's Consumption, Part III

China

Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) Co., Ltd. is a pharmaceutical company. Through its subsidiaries, the Company manufactures genetic medicines, Chinese traditional medicines, diagnostic products, and medical instruments, provides technology, marketing, and advertising services, as well as invests in import and export trading.

Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) (600196 CH)

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Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) (600196 CH)

CX Daily: Consumers, Entrepreneurs Give Banks’ Retail Lending a Much-Needed Boost

Retail lending / In Depth: Consumers, entrepreneurs give banks’ retail lending a much-needed boost Despite market saturation stunting the credit...

Caixin Global

Shanghai Henlius Biotech Privatization (2696.HK) - The Offer Price Is Disappointing

The Cancellation Price is 50% lower than Henlius's IPO price, causing losses for long-term players. Remaining public will provide good returns....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Henlius Biotech (2696 HK): Fosun Pharma's "Fair" Offer

I'd be buying Henlius up to around $23.30 or a gross/annualised spread of 5%/15%, assuming early mid-November completion.

David Blennerhassett

Henlius (2696 HK): Fosun Pharma’s HK$24.60 Offer at Around Half the IPO Price

Long-term investors will be unimpressed as the offer is half the HK$49.60 IPO price. However, shareholders with blocking stakes should be...

Arun George

How to Stimulate China's Consumption, Part III

China's healthcare system is supply efficient, which leads to underpaying the healthcare professionals' service but overmedicates. To change,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CX Daily: Consumers, Entrepreneurs Give Banks’ Retail Lending a Much-Needed Boost

Retail lending / In Depth: Consumers, entrepreneurs give banks’ retail lending a much-needed boost Despite market saturation stunting the credit...

Caixin Global

Shanghai Henlius Biotech Privatization (2696.HK) - The Offer Price Is Disappointing

The ​Cancellation Price is 50% lower than Henlius's IPO price, causing losses for long-term players. Remaining public will provide good returns....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Henlius Biotech (2696 HK): Fosun Pharma's "Fair" Offer

I'd be buying Henlius up to around $23.30 or a gross/annualised spread of 5%/15%, assuming early mid-November completion.

David Blennerhassett

Henlius (2696 HK): Fosun Pharma’s HK$24.60 Offer at Around Half the IPO Price

Long-term investors will be unimpressed as the offer is half the HK$49.60 IPO price. However, shareholders with blocking stakes should be...

Arun George

How to Stimulate China's Consumption, Part III

China's healthcare system is supply efficient, which leads to underpaying the healthcare professionals' service but overmedicates. To change,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

The Cancellation Price is 50% lower than Henlius's IPO price, causing losses for long-term players. Remaining public will provide good returns....