Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Seven &amp; I has finally sold Sogo Seibu to Fortress Investments.</li>
<li>It will be pleased to have offloaded a loss-making format it never really understood but at a cost – it will write off more than ¥90 billion in loans.</li>
<li>Fortress will immediately sell the land under Seibu Ikebukuro and some other assets to Yodobashi with suggestions of major redevelopment of both Ikebukuro and Shibuya.</li>
</ul>


Seven &amp; I has finally sold Sogo Seibu to Fortress Investments.
It will be pleased to have offloaded a loss-making format it never really understood but at a cost – it will write off more than ¥90 billion in loans.
Fortress will immediately sell the land under Seibu Ikebukuro and some other assets to Yodobashi with suggestions of major redevelopment of both Ikebukuro and Shibuya.


Bargain Sale at Sogo Seibu as Seven & I Finally Capitulates

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS: US Stock Cap strong week with positive gains; Payrolls jumped, but so did Unemployment rate=past peak rates ?  China slowdown fueling worries about Contagion. </li>
<li>JAPAN: NKY Futures +0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 146.2; Japan Govt to Shorten Assessment Period for Off-Shore Wind; Japan-UK to cooperate in next Gen nuclear plants; ARM Pricing ~50 billion USD. </li>
<li>JAPAN X: Daikin and Mitsubishi Electric Poised to Benefit from US Heat Pump Growth. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS: US Stock Cap strong week with positive gains; Payrolls jumped, but so did Unemployment rate=past peak rates ?  China slowdown fueling worries about Contagion. 
JAPAN: NKY Futures +0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 146.2; Japan Govt to Shorten Assessment Period for Off-Shore Wind; Japan-UK to cooperate in next Gen nuclear plants; ARM Pricing ~50 billion USD. 
JAPAN X: Daikin and Mitsubishi Electric Poised to Benefit from US Heat Pump Growth. 


Ohayo Japan|US Stocks Cap Strong Week; JAPAN X: Daikin, Melco to Benefit from US Heat Pump Growth

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. Past Peak Rates - Equities continue upward trajectory;  9/11 SPX sectors  up as Tech leads; Yields down post weaker than expected ADP Employment; More China Measures for Economy </li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futures +0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 146.3; MOF FY24 Budget ~30trillion, +10.7%YoY; BOJ Board Member: BOJ May normalize in 2024; Govt Extends Gasoline Subsidy Program</li>
<li>JAPAN X: Tokyo's Condo Prices Break Decades-Old Records, being fueled foreign buying spurred by weaker yen. Potential Boon for Tokyo Focused Developers-IF they can secure labor and keep GPM </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. Past Peak Rates - Equities continue upward trajectory;  9/11 SPX sectors  up as Tech leads; Yields down post weaker than expected ADP Employment; More China Measures for Economy 
JAPAN. NKY Futures +0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 146.3; MOF FY24 Budget ~30trillion, +10.7%YoY; BOJ Board Member: BOJ May normalize in 2024; Govt Extends Gasoline Subsidy Program
JAPAN X: Tokyo's Condo Prices Break Decades-Old Records, being fueled foreign buying spurred by weaker yen. Potential Boon for Tokyo Focused Developers-IF they can secure labor and keep GPM 


Ohayo Japan|"Past Peak Rate" View Spur Equity Bid; JAPAN X: Tokyo's Condo Prices Reach Record High

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS: US Equities start on a postive note with SPX, NDX, SOX all gaining; 10/11 SPX sectors rose; Tech lead as US Yields Fell; China Stocks Surged on Govt Measures</li>
<li>JAPAN: NKY Futures +0.4% vs Cash; USDJPY 146.5; NKY records strongest day in Aug; JP Retail turn net buyers; Companies Make promises to boost share px; H2A Rocket Launch Delayed</li>
<li>JAPAN X:  Idemitsu Kosan Prepares for All-Solid-State Battery Era with Production Boost. All is is being driven by Toyota-which is leading to way to commercialization of solid state batteries. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS: US Equities start on a postive note with SPX, NDX, SOX all gaining; 10/11 SPX sectors rose; Tech lead as US Yields Fell; China Stocks Surged on Govt Measures
JAPAN: NKY Futures +0.4% vs Cash; USDJPY 146.5; NKY records strongest day in Aug; JP Retail turn net buyers; Companies Make promises to boost share px; H2A Rocket Launch Delayed
JAPAN X:  Idemitsu Kosan Prepares for All-Solid-State Battery Era with Production Boost. All is is being driven by Toyota-which is leading to way to commercialization of solid state batteries. 


Ohayo Japan| Equities Start on a Positive Note; JAPAN X: Idemitsu Ramps Up for Solid State Batteries

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Sogo &amp; Seibu’s labor union threatens strike if job protection talks stall. This emphasizes the number of considerations <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a> had to consider during changes.</li>
<li>Had ValueAct shown more patience, they might have worked with Seven &amp; I to improve the struggling Eto Yokado supermarkets business.</li>
<li>Thus, ValueAct's investor activism campaign seem unlikely to achieve a full restructuring of underperforming businesses at Seven &amp; I.</li>
</ul>


Sogo &amp; Seibu’s labor union threatens strike if job protection talks stall. This emphasizes the number of considerations Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP) had to consider during changes.
Had ValueAct shown more patience, they might have worked with Seven &amp; I to improve the struggling Eto Yokado supermarkets business.
Thus, ValueAct's investor activism campaign seem unlikely to achieve a full restructuring of underperforming businesses at Seven &amp; I.


Seven & I: An Update on Investor Activism

Japan

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. is a holding company which was established through the merger of Ito-Yokado Co., Seven Eleven Japan Co., and Denny's Japan. The Company plans, manages, and operates mainly convenience stores, supermarkets, and department stores.

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Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP)

Bargain Sale at Sogo Seibu as Seven & I Finally Capitulates

Seven & I sells Sogo Seibu to Fortress Investments, but has to forgive ¥90 billion in debt. Fortress plans to sell the Ikebukuro land and other...

Michael Causton

Ohayo Japan|US Stocks Cap Strong Week; JAPAN X: Daikin, Melco to Benefit from US Heat Pump Growth

Mixed US Payrolls; US Equities close with gains; NKY Futures +0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 146.2; Japan Govt to Shorten Assessment Period for Off-Shore...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan|"Past Peak Rate" View Spur Equity Bid; JAPAN X: Tokyo's Condo Prices Reach Record High

Weaker ADP Employment drives Past Peak Rate Bid; NKY Futures +0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 146.3; MOF FY24 Budget ~30trillion, +10.7%YoY; BOJ Board Member:...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan| Equities Start on a Positive Note; JAPAN X: Idemitsu Ramps Up for Solid State Batteries

US Equities start on postiive note; NKY Futures +0.4% vs Cash; USDJPY 146.5; NKY records strongest day in Aug; JP Retail turn net buyers; JP...

Mark Chadwick

Seven & I: An Update on Investor Activism

Sogo & Seibu's labor union threatens strike if job protection talks stall, highlighting considerations for Seven & I Holdings during changes.

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Bargain Sale at Sogo Seibu as Seven & I Finally Capitulates

​Seven & I sells Sogo Seibu to Fortress Investments, but has to forgive ¥90 billion in debt. Fortress plans to sell the Ikebukuro land and other...

Michael Causton

Ohayo Japan|US Stocks Cap Strong Week; JAPAN X: Daikin, Melco to Benefit from US Heat Pump Growth

Mixed US Payrolls; US Equities close with gains; NKY Futures +0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 146.2; Japan Govt to Shorten Assessment Period for Off-Shore...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan|"Past Peak Rate" View Spur Equity Bid; JAPAN X: Tokyo's Condo Prices Reach Record High

Weaker ADP Employment drives Past Peak Rate Bid; NKY Futures +0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 146.3; MOF FY24 Budget ~30trillion, +10.7%YoY; BOJ Board Member:...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan| Equities Start on a Positive Note; JAPAN X: Idemitsu Ramps Up for Solid State Batteries

US Equities start on postiive note; NKY Futures +0.4% vs Cash; USDJPY 146.5; NKY records strongest day in Aug; JP Retail turn net buyers; JP...

Mark Chadwick

Seven & I: An Update on Investor Activism

​Sogo & Seibu's labor union threatens strike if job protection talks stall, highlighting considerations for Seven & I Holdings during changes.

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Seven & I sells Sogo Seibu to Fortress Investments, but has to forgive ¥90 billion in debt. Fortress plans to sell the Ikebukuro land and other...

Sogo & Seibu's labor union threatens strike if job protection talks stall, highlighting considerations for Seven & I Holdings during changes.