Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Industrials ($2,588 million worth of outflows), Financials ($1,109 million worth of outflows) led the outflows. </li>
<li>We highlight outflows from Moutai, CATL, Longi, Focus Media, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Industrials ($2,588 million worth of outflows), Financials ($1,109 million worth of outflows) led the outflows. 
We highlight outflows from Moutai, CATL, Longi, Focus Media, Ping An Insurance.


Northbound Flows Monthly (October): Three Months of Outflows

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Four companies reported their 3Q23 results last night. Weichai Power and Zoomlion reported better-than-expected results, while SANY Heavy and Jiangsu Hengli are below expectations.</li><li>All of them reported gross margin expansion but very different revenue growth trends due to different product mixes and geographic focuses.</li><li>All of them reported declines in net finance income due to the volatility of FX rates. Weichai Power and Zhejiang Dingli (reported over the weekend) remain our sector key picks.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Four companies reported their 3Q23 results last night. Weichai Power and Zoomlion reported better-than-expected results, while SANY Heavy and Jiangsu Hengli are below expectations.All of them reported gross margin expansion but very different revenue growth trends due to different product mixes and geographic focuses.All of them reported declines in net finance income due to the volatility of FX rates. Weichai Power and Zhejiang Dingli (reported over the weekend) remain our sector key picks.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery & HDT – 3Q23 Earnings Review

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We estimate the outflows to be $5.3bn in September and consumer discretionary, and health care sectors led the inflows.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into BYD, Bank Of Jiangsu, Wuxi Apptec and outflows from CATL, Moutai, Wuliangye.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
We estimate the outflows to be $5.3bn in September and consumer discretionary, and health care sectors led the inflows.
We highlight inflows into BYD, Bank Of Jiangsu, Wuxi Apptec and outflows from CATL, Moutai, Wuliangye.


Northbound Flows Monthly (September): $5.3bn of Outflows

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This is the brand spanking new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-a-h-premium-weekly-sep-8-icbc-abc-ccb-boc-vanke-ncl-rails" target="_blank" rel="noopener">A/H Premium Monitor</a> and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>The data on liquid names is presented for 5 days and four weeks and anything seen can be ranked in tables or selected and charted (names, sectors, outperformance, etc).</li>
<li>We like the nifty interactive tables and charts. We welcome feedback on how to make it more useful going forward.</li>
</ul>


This is the brand spanking new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.
The data on liquid names is presented for 5 days and four weeks and anything seen can be ranked in tables or selected and charted (names, sectors, outperformance, etc).
We like the nifty interactive tables and charts. We welcome feedback on how to make it more useful going forward.


Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (Week to 8Sep23) : BYD, ZTE, Zhongji Innolight, Amperex

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>SANY’s net profit in 2Q23 surged 81% YoY to RMB1.9bn but largely helped by a low base effect as well as an increase in FX gain of RMB487mn.</li><li>While export growth of 36% is impressive and took the overseas revenue ratio to 58% in 1H23, we are concerned about a peak of export, given the weak industry excavator export volume in Jun/Jul (-1%/-14% YoY, according to CCMA).</li><li>We revise down our 2023E/24E earnings forecast by 9%/3% after resetting our volume and expense assumptions. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SANY’s net profit in 2Q23 surged 81% YoY to RMB1.9bn but largely helped by a low base effect as well as an increase in FX gain of RMB487mn.While export growth of 36% is impressive and took the overseas revenue ratio to 58% in 1H23, we are concerned about a peak of export, given the weak industry excavator export volume in Jun/Jul (-1%/-14% YoY, according to CCMA).We revise down our 2023E/24E earnings forecast by 9%/3% after resetting our volume and expense assumptions. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SANY Heavy Industry (600031 CH) – 2Q23 Net Profit +81% but Largely Due to Low Base & FX Gain

China

SANY Heavy Industry Co., Ltd manufactures and markets construction and engineering machinery and related parts. The Company produces and sells concrete pumps, concrete pump vehicles, road rollers, pavers, and other related products. Sany Heavy Industry markets its products worldwide.

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Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH)

Northbound Flows Monthly (October): Three Months of Outflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for October and highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, Longi, Focus Media, Ping An Insurance.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Construction Machinery & HDT – 3Q23 Earnings Review

Four companies reported their 3Q23 results last night. Weichai Power and Zoomlion reported better-than-expected results, while SANY Heavy and...

CMB International

Northbound Flows Monthly (September): $5.3bn of Outflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for September and highlight flows for BYD, Bank Of Jiangsu, Wuxi Apptec, CATL, Moutai and Wuliangye.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (Week to 8Sep23) : BYD, ZTE, Zhongji Innolight, Amperex

The Brand-Spanking New Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows Monitor. Tables and Charts of Top 10-30 names/flows, flows and position by...

Travis Lundy

SANY Heavy Industry (600031 CH) – 2Q23 Net Profit +81% but Largely Due to Low Base & FX Gain

SANY’s net profit in 2Q23 surged 81% YoY to RMB1.9bn but largely helped by a low base effect as well as an increase in FX gain of RMB487mn.

CMB International

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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