External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We upgrade SANY Heavy to BUY after keeping our HOLD rating for &gt;30 months.</li><li>We are turning positive as we expect an earnings up-cycle in 2025E26E, driven by: (1) a speed-up of overseas growth across all types of machinery driven by emerging markets such as the Middle East and Africa (for details, please see our report “2025 Outlook: Emerging markets the key growth driver; China market to be stabilized” published on 9 Dec), (2) further improvement of domestic excavator demand on the back of the Chinese government’s steppedup policies and the replacement cycle, (3) effective cost control and capex discipline.</li><li>We revise up our earnings forecast by 14-21% in 2024E-26E, after incorporating our new industry assumptions. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We upgrade SANY Heavy to BUY after keeping our HOLD rating for &gt;30 months.We are turning positive as we expect an earnings up-cycle in 2025E26E, driven by: (1) a speed-up of overseas growth across all types of machinery driven by emerging markets such as the Middle East and Africa (for details, please see our report “2025 Outlook: Emerging markets the key growth driver; China market to be stabilized” published on 9 Dec), (2) further improvement of domestic excavator demand on the back of the Chinese government’s steppedup policies and the replacement cycle, (3) effective cost control and capex discipline.We revise up our earnings forecast by 14-21% in 2024E-26E, after incorporating our new industry assumptions. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SANY Heavy (600031 CH) - Riding on the Up-Cycle of Excavator + Overseas Expansion

<ul><li>During the post-results call, SANY Heavy (SANY) remained positive on the overseas outlook despite the recent weakness of excavators in Europe and the US.</li><li>SANY expects the sales in the US to see potential stabilisation in 2025E, while the growth in emerging countries will continue to be strong.</li><li>For 2H24E, SANY expects China’s sales to stabilize (-12% in 1H24) while overseas sales growth will accelerate (+4.8% in 1H24). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

During the post-results call, SANY Heavy (SANY) remained positive on the overseas outlook despite the recent weakness of excavators in Europe and the US.SANY expects the sales in the US to see potential stabilisation in 2025E, while the growth in emerging countries will continue to be strong.For 2H24E, SANY expects China’s sales to stabilize (-12% in 1H24) while overseas sales growth will accelerate (+4.8% in 1H24). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SANY Heavy (600031 CH) - Expect a Better 2H24E but Consensus Remains High

<ul>
<li>SANY Heavy (SANY)’s net profit in 2023 came in at RMB4.53bn (+6% YoY), which is 12% below both our and consensus estimates.</li>
<li>In addition, net profit in 1Q24 only grew 5% YoY to RMB1.58bn due to a lack of revenue growth (-1% YoY).</li>
<li>We are still concerned about further slowdown of export this year, given the weakness in the overseas demand (in particular in Europe). </li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


SANY Heavy (SANY)’s net profit in 2023 came in at RMB4.53bn (+6% YoY), which is 12% below both our and consensus estimates.
In addition, net profit in 1Q24 only grew 5% YoY to RMB1.58bn due to a lack of revenue growth (-1% YoY).
We are still concerned about further slowdown of export this year, given the weakness in the overseas demand (in particular in Europe). 

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SANY Heavy (600031 CH) - 2023 Net Profit a Miss; 1Q24 Still Weak; Stay on the Sidelines

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The €500bn infrastructure plan proposed by Friedrich Merz, German Chancellor-in-waiting, is scheduled for parliament approval on 18 Mar.</li><li>The approval of the plan has become likely (2/3 is needed) after winning support from the Greens last week.</li><li>In HK &amp; A share market, Weichai Power (2338 HK / 000338 CH, BUY), being the controlling shareholder of KION Group (KGX GR, NR) which is the major industrial truck manufacturer in Europe, will likely become a beneficiary. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The €500bn infrastructure plan proposed by Friedrich Merz, German Chancellor-in-waiting, is scheduled for parliament approval on 18 Mar.The approval of the plan has become likely (2/3 is needed) after winning support from the Greens last week.In HK &amp; A share market, Weichai Power (2338 HK / 000338 CH, BUY), being the controlling shareholder of KION Group (KGX GR, NR) which is the major industrial truck manufacturer in Europe, will likely become a beneficiary. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Who Are the Potential Beneficiaries of Germany’s Mega Infrastructure Investment Plan?

<ul><li>China Construction Machinery Association (CCMA) released a full set of construction machinery sales data for Feb.</li><li>Unlike the stronger-than-expected earth-moving machinery (excavator and wheel loader) data that released last week (CMBI report: link), the picture for other machinery was unclear.</li><li>Forklifts and truck cranes saw growth in both domestic and overseas markets, while tower cranes (highly related to property) / aerial work platforms (AWPs) saw 33%/24% decline in China market despite a low base. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery Association (CCMA) released a full set of construction machinery sales data for Feb.Unlike the stronger-than-expected earth-moving machinery (excavator and wheel loader) data that released last week (CMBI report: link), the picture for other machinery was unclear.Forklifts and truck cranes saw growth in both domestic and overseas markets, while tower cranes (highly related to property) / aerial work platforms (AWPs) saw 33%/24% decline in China market despite a low base. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Capital Goods - Non-earth-moving machinery sales data mixed in Feb

China

SANY Heavy Industry Co., Ltd manufactures and markets construction and engineering machinery and related parts. The Company produces and sells concrete pumps, concrete pump vehicles, road rollers, pavers, and other related products. Sany Heavy Industry markets its products worldwide.

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Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH)

SANY Heavy (600031 CH) - Riding on the Up-Cycle of Excavator + Overseas Expansion

We upgrade SANY Heavy to BUY after keeping our HOLD rating for >30 months. We are turning positive as we expect an earnings up-cycle in 2025E26E

CMB International

SANY Heavy (600031 CH) - Expect a Better 2H24E but Consensus Remains High

During the post-results call, SANY Heavy (SANY) remained positive on the overseas outlook despite the recent weakness of excavators in Europe and...

CMB International

SANY Heavy (600031 CH) - 2023 Net Profit a Miss; 1Q24 Still Weak; Stay on the Sidelines

SANY Heavy (SANY)’s net profit in 2023 came in at RMB4.53bn (+6% YoY), which is 12% below both our and consensus estimates.

CMB International

Who Are the Potential Beneficiaries of Germany’s Mega Infrastructure Investment Plan?

The €500bn infrastructure plan proposed by Friedrich Merz, German Chancellor-in-waiting, is scheduled for parliament approval on 18 Mar.

CMB International

Capital Goods - Non-earth-moving machinery sales data mixed in Feb

We continue to favour earth-moving machinery which is the first to recover in both the project-level cycle and replacement cycle.

CMB International

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