Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Loads of stuff are going on in Global Macro, with global equities on the rise yet again, the JPY struggling a bit after unsuccessful attempts from policymakers, including the verbal FX intervention from MoF and BoJ today, and the Spanish HICP numbers, which we hit right on the mark! The benign base effects and dovish outlook has potentially paved the way for a cut in June, but what should you look out for in the meantime?</li><li>We give you 5 topics from our watchlist.</li><li>This week we are watching out for the following 5 topics within global macro.</li></ul>

Loads of stuff are going on in Global Macro, with global equities on the rise yet again, the JPY struggling a bit after unsuccessful attempts from policymakers, including the verbal FX intervention from MoF and BoJ today, and the Spanish HICP numbers, which we hit right on the mark! The benign base effects and dovish outlook has potentially paved the way for a cut in June, but what should you look out for in the meantime?We give you 5 topics from our watchlist.This week we are watching out for the following 5 topics within global macro.

5 Things We Watch – Cyclicals, Baltimore Bridge, ECB, USDJPY & Sentiment

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The WTR Sustainable Index was down by 1.1% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (up 2.3%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 1.6%), and the Nasdaq Index (up 3.0%).</li><li>Energy Technology (12.5% of the index) was up by 1.5%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (55.5% of the index) was up by 1.4%, ClimateTech Mining was down 3.0% and Advanced Transportation Solutions (24.2% of index) was down 8.1%.</li><li>Top 10 Performers: GOEV, AMTX, ZEV, LICY, LIDR, EVTV, FFIE, <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">KULR, MVST, NEOV</span></li></ul>

The WTR Sustainable Index was down by 1.1% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (up 2.3%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 1.6%), and the Nasdaq Index (up 3.0%).Energy Technology (12.5% of the index) was up by 1.5%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (55.5% of the index) was up by 1.4%, ClimateTech Mining was down 3.0% and Advanced Transportation Solutions (24.2% of index) was down 8.1%.Top 10 Performers: GOEV, AMTX, ZEV, LICY, LIDR, EVTV, FFIE, KULR, MVST, NEOV

Weekly Sustainable Investing Surveyor - NWeek Ended March 22, 2024

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist, True Insights

Jeroen Blokland

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist

Build Well-Diversified Multi-Asset Portfolios

True Insights

Our research helps investors build well-diversified multi-asset portfolios and profit from market developments. In addition, our unique and proven Macro – Sentiment – Valuation (MSV) investment framework ensures a consistent flow of new investment opportunities. Together with our market views, these opportunities will be reflected in our live ETF-based Global Multi-Asset Portfolios.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Switzerland sparks the start of a global wave of monetary policy easing. And it’s only March!</li>
<li>Why are central banks already contemplating rate cuts when inflation levels are significantly above target, and the global economy is at full employment?</li>
<li>I explain why investors should pay more attention to the MOVE Index and less to the VIX Index. It comes down to the answer to the question above.</li>
</ul>


Switzerland sparks the start of a global wave of monetary policy easing. And it’s only March!
Why are central banks already contemplating rate cuts when inflation levels are significantly above target, and the global economy is at full employment?
I explain why investors should pay more attention to the MOVE Index and less to the VIX Index. It comes down to the answer to the question above.


The Weekly Market Monitor – Global Monetary Policy Easing Has Begun!

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>The exceptional Covid-induced monetary and fiscal stimulus is being wound down, but not fast enough. Fiscal deficits averaged 10% of GDP for 4 years, far larger and longer than 2009-11.  </li>
<li>QT was abandoned in Jul'23, and M2 has contracted at a modest pace. Upside growth surprises are thus likely to continue, and will require Q2CY24 M2 to decline more sharply. </li>
<li>Once core CPE inflation abates below 2.5%YoY (likely Jun'24) the first 25bp rate cut will occur at the Jul'24 FOMC, then similar cuts in Sep'24 and Dec'24. Benign for markets. </li>
</ul>


The exceptional Covid-induced monetary and fiscal stimulus is being wound down, but not fast enough. Fiscal deficits averaged 10% of GDP for 4 years, far larger and longer than 2009-11.  
QT was abandoned in Jul'23, and M2 has contracted at a modest pace. Upside growth surprises are thus likely to continue, and will require Q2CY24 M2 to decline more sharply. 
Once core CPE inflation abates below 2.5%YoY (likely Jun'24) the first 25bp rate cut will occur at the Jul'24 FOMC, then similar cuts in Sep'24 and Dec'24. Benign for markets. 


Rate-Cutting Agenda Stays, Growth Buoyed by Massive Fiscal Stimulus

<ul><li>The WTR Sustainable Index was down by 1.9% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (down 0.1%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 2.1%), and the Nasdaq Index (down 1.2%).</li><li>Energy Technology (12.5% of the index) was down by 6.2%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (55.5% of the index) was down by 1.2%, ClimateTech Mining was down 3.7% and Advanced Transportation Solutions (26% of index) was down 1.8%.</li><li>Top 10 Performers<span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">: LICY, ADES, ARVL, SMR, EH, EGT, RIDE, FF, CVW, LIS</span></li></ul>

The WTR Sustainable Index was down by 1.9% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (down 0.1%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 2.1%), and the Nasdaq Index (down 1.2%).Energy Technology (12.5% of the index) was down by 6.2%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (55.5% of the index) was down by 1.2%, ClimateTech Mining was down 3.7% and Advanced Transportation Solutions (26% of index) was down 1.8%.Top 10 Performers: LICY, ADES, ARVL, SMR, EH, EGT, RIDE, FF, CVW, LIS

Weekly Sustainable Investing Surveyor - Week Ended March 15, 2024

United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

5 Things We Watch – Cyclicals, Baltimore Bridge, ECB, USDJPY & Sentiment

Loads of stuff are going on in Global Macro, with global equities on the rise yet again, the JPY struggling a bit after unsuccessful attempts from...

Steno Research

Weekly Sustainable Investing Surveyor - NWeek Ended March 22, 2024

The WTR Sustainable Index was down by 1.1% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (up 2.3%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 1.6%), and the Nasdaq Index (up 3.0%).

Water Tower Research

The Weekly Market Monitor – Global Monetary Policy Easing Has Begun!

Start your week in financial markets with last week's biggest charts and stories! Start ahead and read the Weekly Market Monitor!

Jeroen Blokland

Rate-Cutting Agenda Stays, Growth Buoyed by Massive Fiscal Stimulus

Fiscal deficits averaged 9.95% of GDP in 2020-2023, M2 growth 18.2%YoY in Mar'20-Feb'22. Latter needs to decline faster in Q2CY24 to offset the...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Weekly Sustainable Investing Surveyor - Week Ended March 15, 2024

The WTR Sustainable Index was down by 1.9% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (down 0.1%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 2.1%), and the Nasdaq Index (down...

Water Tower Research

5 Things We Watch – Cyclicals, Baltimore Bridge, ECB, USDJPY & Sentiment

Loads of stuff are going on in Global Macro, with global equities on the rise yet again, the JPY struggling a bit after unsuccessful attempts from...

Steno Research

Weekly Sustainable Investing Surveyor - NWeek Ended March 22, 2024

The WTR Sustainable Index was down by 1.1% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (up 2.3%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 1.6%), and the Nasdaq Index (up 3.0%).

Water Tower Research

The Weekly Market Monitor – Global Monetary Policy Easing Has Begun!

Start your week in financial markets with last week's biggest charts and stories! Start ahead and read the Weekly Market Monitor!

Jeroen Blokland

Rate-Cutting Agenda Stays, Growth Buoyed by Massive Fiscal Stimulus

​Fiscal deficits averaged 9.95% of GDP in 2020-2023, M2 growth 18.2%YoY in Mar'20-Feb'22. Latter needs to decline faster in Q2CY24 to offset the...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Weekly Sustainable Investing Surveyor - Week Ended March 15, 2024

The WTR Sustainable Index was down by 1.9% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (down 0.1%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 2.1%), and the Nasdaq Index (down...

Water Tower Research

Fiscal deficits averaged 9.95% of GDP in 2020-2023, M2 growth 18.2%YoY in Mar'20-Feb'22. Latter needs to decline faster in Q2CY24 to offset the...