Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Today's key points:<ul>
<li>Property &amp; Casualty Insurance names are staging price and RS reversal and/or breakouts.</li>
<li>Airlines are staging price and SR reversals to the upside and/or are breaking out.</li>
<li>Railroad related names are breaking out.</li>
<li>We have been bearish on the Semiconductor and Suppliers industry since February; however we are seeing some near term reversals at support levels.</li>
</ul>Highlighted charts: SUP, CMG, LOCO, MCS, EXPE, AMZN, WBA, K, NR, NOV, SLCA, BHGE, OIS, HLX, JPM, WFC, KEY, AXP, AFL, TMK, HSIC, ZBH, OMCL, ANTM, LLY, PFE, AGN, B, WM, ESND, ECHO, and SKYW.

Today's key points:
Property &amp; Casualty Insurance names are staging price and RS reversal and/or breakouts.
Airlines are staging price and SR reversals to the upside and/or are breaking out.
Railroad related names are breaking out.
We have been bearish on the Semiconductor and Suppliers industry since February; however we are seeing some near term reversals at support levels.
Highlighted charts: SUP, CMG, LOCO, MCS, EXPE, AMZN, WBA, K, NR, NOV, SLCA, BHGE, OIS, HLX, JPM, WFC, KEY, AXP, AFL, TMK, HSIC, ZBH, OMCL, ANTM, LLY, PFE, AGN, B, WM, ESND, ECHO, and SKYW.

U.S. Vital Signs - Actionable Charts of the Day

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index / Technical Analysis

The tech and biotech-heavy Nasdaq continues to lead the market higher. Remain overweight. On the back of rising interest rates and a recently steepening yield curve, the XLF is on the cusp of a breakout from a descending triangle/falling wedge pattern. Given this move has been accompanied by improving relative strength, we view it as a bullish sign for both Financials and the broad market.  In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within the Consumer Discretionary, Transportation, and Manufacturing sectos.

 The tech and biotech-heavy Nasdaq continues to lead the market higher. Remain overweight. On the back of rising interest rates and a recently steepening yield curve, the XLF is on the cusp of a breakout from a descending triangle/falling wedge pattern. Given this move has been accompanied by improving relative strength, we view it as a bullish sign for both Financials and the broad market.  In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within the Consumer Discretionary, Transportation, and Manufacturing sectos.

Remain Overweight Tech; Large-Cap Financials on the Cusp of a Breakout

The last several months have been that of digestion and consolidation. While Sector and group leadership have taken a back seat to stock selection, rotations still seem to be the norm.  We have suggested that the current sector rotations are reminiscent of 1994. If conditions in the current market are indeed mimicking those of 1994, we would expect that sectors that are oversold are likely to bounce, and sectors that are overbought are likely to suffer pullbacks, which makes technical tools such as relative strength less viable.In our July Strategy we outline this thesis and highlight opportunities within the Technology, Health Care, Financial and Energy Sectors.

The last several months have been that of digestion and consolidation. While Sector and group leadership have taken a back seat to stock selection, rotations still seem to be the norm.  We have suggested that the current sector rotations are reminiscent of 1994. If conditions in the current market are indeed mimicking those of 1994, we would expect that sectors that are oversold are likely to bounce, and sectors that are overbought are likely to suffer pullbacks, which makes technical tools such as relative strength less viable.In our July Strategy we outline this thesis and highlight opportunities within the Technology, Health Care, Financial and Energy Sectors.

The S&amp;P 500 is poised to retest the 2,790-2,800 horizontal resistance level that we have highlighted in previous reports. A bullish short-term reversal in the XLF has helped bolster optimism in U.S. equities.  We continue to expect the broad YTD consolidation to continue, especially given heightened trade tariff tensions. In today’s report we highlight attractive opportunities within Consumer Staples, Technology, and Health Care.

The S&amp;P 500 is poised to retest the 2,790-2,800 horizontal resistance level that we have highlighted in previous reports. A bullish short-term reversal in the XLF has helped bolster optimism in U.S. equities.  We continue to expect the broad YTD consolidation to continue, especially given heightened trade tariff tensions. In today’s report we highlight attractive opportunities within Consumer Staples, Technology, and Health Care.

U.S. Equity Strategy: XLF Support Holding; Large-Cap Health Care Perks Up

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Source Financial S&P Us Sect / Technical Analysis

We take a look back on our work in the summer of 2007 that pinpointed breadth deterioration, the carry trade unwind, credit tightening, sub prime problems and the lead signal in banks underperforming within a consensus bullish environment. We will attempt to draw parallels  to the current market posture (banks underperforming) and risk of a hard downturn leg by breadth signals.August 20 2007 - Financials are still a leading indicator (led the decline and the snap back rally). August 20 2007 -…

We take a look back on our work in the summer of 2007 that pinpointed breadth deterioration, the carry trade unwind, credit tightening, sub prime problems and the lead signal in banks underperforming within a consensus bullish environment. We will attempt to draw parallels  to the current market posture (banks underperforming) and risk of a hard downturn leg by breadth signals.August 20 2007 - Financials are still a leading indicator (led the decline and the snap back rally). August 20 2007 -…

Summer 2007 Equity Peak Call - Banks and Breadth and Where We Stand Today

United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

U.S. Vital Signs - Actionable Charts of the Day

Today's key points: Property & Casualty Insurance names are staging price and RS reversal and/or breakouts. Airlines are staging price and SR...

Vermilion Research

Remain Overweight Tech; Large-Cap Financials on the Cusp of a Breakout

The tech and biotech-heavy Nasdaq continues to lead the market higher. Remain overweight. On the back of rising interest rates and a recently...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy:

The last several months have been that of digestion and consolidation. While Sector and group leadership have taken a back seat to stock selection,...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: XLF Support Holding; Large-Cap Health Care Perks Up

The S&P 500 is poised to retest the 2,790-2,800 horizontal resistance level that we have highlighted in previous reports. A bullish short-term...

Vermilion Research

Summer 2007 Equity Peak Call - Banks and Breadth and Where We Stand Today

We take a look back on our work in the summer of 2007 that pinpointed breadth deterioration, the carry trade unwind, credit tightening, sub prime...

Thomas Schroeder