VIX 50 Peak Has Marked Key Equity Lows - S&P Swing Pivots and Where We Added Risk in Asia

S&P Support Signals and the Path into March

Economist (US Macro), RDQ Economics

Conrad DeQuadros

Economist (US Macro)

RDQ Economics

RDQ Economics provides global macroeconomic consulting services with an emphasis on U.S. economic fundamentals and monetary policy.  
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Our views are driven by consistent application of classical economic and monetary principles and has generated superior anticipation of changes in the stance of monetary policy and of movements in economic growth and inflation.
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The founders of RDQ Economics—John Ryding and Conrad DeQuadros—worked together on Wall Street for a decade, in the independent research space for nine years, and have experience in central banking at the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England.  John and Conrad have worked closely with fixed income, foreign exchange, and equity traders and portfolio managers, which has enabled their analysis and advice to be tailored to a clientele that is focused on trading and investment decisions.

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<p>U.S. equity prices are in the midst of their sharpest correction since the swoon in early 2016 that followed the Fed’s first rate hike in the current cycle.  We do not make explicit forecasts for equity index levels.  However, we have argued that though equities are not overvalued, we have some concerns about the outlook for pre-tax corporate profits and have suggested that low volatility has helped feed a degree of complacency in the outlook for stocks.  The equity market went into a brief but…</p>

U.S. equity prices are in the midst of their sharpest correction since the swoon in early 2016 that followed the Fed’s first rate hike in the current cycle.  We do not make explicit forecasts for equity index levels.  However, we have argued that though equities are not overvalued, we have some concerns about the outlook for pre-tax corporate profits and have suggested that low volatility has helped feed a degree of complacency in the outlook for stocks.  The equity market went into a brief but…

A Near-Term Opportunity Amid Medium-Term Challenges to U.S. Equities

S&P 500 INDEX

A Near-Term Opportunity Amid Medium-Term Challenges to U.S. Equities