Founder, Market Thinker

Mark Tinker

Founder

Market Thinker

Mark Tinker has over 35 years experience as an investor, market strategist and economist. Having spent more than 20 years as a sell side strategist and being top rated on numerous occasions and surveys he moved to investment management in 2006 to run global equity portfolios in London and subsequently moved to Hong Kong in 2013 to help establish an Investment Management business for a top 20 international asset manager. He first started writing investment weeklies for his employers in 1989, developing a style characterised under the title Market Thinking and has been a regular commentator and presenter on CNBC, Bloomberg and other business channels, where his approach of rationalising market behaviour rather than making short term predictions on high frequency market data provides a welcome balance to his client audience.

Making Sense of the Narrative

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Our confidence indicators are showing some small positives again. This is not of course the first time this year, we have had previous tentative steps to move our model portfolios away from their dominant cash position, but they have proved to be merely bear squeezes, false signals only to be met with selling into the rally.</li><li>Our indicators are multi facetted, but one short-cut way to express this market behaviour visually is to look at the Bloomberg Fear and Greed Index for the S&amp;P 500.</li><li>This is a technical index known as an oscillator and is designed to try and capture which directional movement is more ‘powerful’ at any point.</li></ul>

Our confidence indicators are showing some small positives again. This is not of course the first time this year, we have had previous tentative steps to move our model portfolios away from their dominant cash position, but they have proved to be merely bear squeezes, false signals only to be met with selling into the rally.Our indicators are multi facetted, but one short-cut way to express this market behaviour visually is to look at the Bloomberg Fear and Greed Index for the S&amp;P 500.This is a technical index known as an oscillator and is designed to try and capture which directional movement is more ‘powerful’ at any point.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Mirae Asset Securities

Mirae Asset Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Leading full-service brokerage firm in Vietnam. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>As bearishness prevailed, VNIndex experienced a severe decline after instantly reaching the highest daily level of 996.1 pts (-0.1% DoD) following the ATO session.</li>
<li>Considerable losses extended when selling pressure spread from Real Estates sector to other sectors.</li>
<li>After lunch, the index dropped to the lowest daily level of 969.7 pts (-2.8% DoD) at 13:05 and recovered to close at 975.2 pts (-2.2% DoD).</li>
</ul>
<div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>


As bearishness prevailed, VNIndex experienced a severe decline after instantly reaching the highest daily level of 996.1 pts (-0.1% DoD) following the ATO session.
Considerable losses extended when selling pressure spread from Real Estates sector to other sectors.
After lunch, the index dropped to the lowest daily level of 969.7 pts (-2.8% DoD) at 13:05 and recovered to close at 975.2 pts (-2.2% DoD).

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Data-Driven Commodity Research, The Commodity Report

The Commodity Report

Data-Driven Commodity Research

A unique newsletter about commodities and macro analysis in a weekly format.

Commodities

<ul><li>Manufacturing Sentiment in the US continues to decline. US manufacturing neared stagnation in October as orders contracted for the fourth time in five months, while an index of prices paid fell to a more than two-year low.</li><li>As most commodity groups are heavily correlated with the ISM data, this will provide significant headwinds over the next six months or so, according to our leading indicators.</li><li>By now, there is quite a divergence in industrial production in general. We expect industrial production to crash over the next few months, which will continue to be a nasty factor for commodity demand.</li></ul>

Manufacturing Sentiment in the US continues to decline. US manufacturing neared stagnation in October as orders contracted for the fourth time in five months, while an index of prices paid fell to a more than two-year low.As most commodity groups are heavily correlated with the ISM data, this will provide significant headwinds over the next six months or so, according to our leading indicators.By now, there is quite a divergence in industrial production in general. We expect industrial production to crash over the next few months, which will continue to be a nasty factor for commodity demand.

Senior Equity Derivatives Trader

Simon Harris

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets</li>
<li>Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days</li>
<li>We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces</li>
</ul>


Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets
Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days
We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces


EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>SPX dual top at 3,928 rolled just under the 3,950 top target. Break of wedge support was the touted trigger to add to our short group. 10yr 4.20% PT met.</li>
<li>SPX 3,700/650 is our pullback target add to risk but we must get past the NFP report first. RTY is our top long pick in the US at trendline.</li>
<li>Asia shorts (HSI and Taiwan) and Asia longs to layer into (NKY and ASX). Levels to coordinate with SPX 3,660 support.</li>
</ul>


SPX dual top at 3,928 rolled just under the 3,950 top target. Break of wedge support was the touted trigger to add to our short group. 10yr 4.20% PT met.
SPX 3,700/650 is our pullback target add to risk but we must get past the NFP report first. RTY is our top long pick in the US at trendline.
Asia shorts (HSI and Taiwan) and Asia longs to layer into (NKY and ASX). Levels to coordinate with SPX 3,660 support.


United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

November Market Thinking

Our indicators are multi facetted, but one short-cut way to express this market behaviour visually is to look at the Bloomberg Fear and Greed Index...

Mark Tinker

Vietnam Stock Market - A Market Sell-Off

As bearishness prevailed, VNIndex experienced a severe decline after instantly reaching the highest daily level of 996.1 pts (-0.1% DoD) following...

Mirae Asset Securities

The Commodity Report #76

As most commodity groups are heavily correlated with the ISM data, this will provide significant headwinds over the next six months or so,...

The Commodity Report

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades

Weekly look at volatility changes across 8 global indices. We look to identify the best trades based on spot and vol surface.

Simon Harris

SPX Pullback near Target with RTY Buy In

SPX dual top at 3,928 rolled just under the 3,950 top target. Break of wedge support was the touted trigger to add to our short group. 10yr 4.20%...

Thomas Schroeder