Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC's revenue could drop in the near-term due to customers cutting orders, however full year 2023E growth still likely thanks to advanced chips.</li>
<li>Samsung has guided staff internally for a major slump in its semiconductor unit's operating profit.</li>
<li>Apple is pushing for price cuts amongst its suppliers due to weak end demand for its products.</li>
</ul>


TSMC's revenue could drop in the near-term due to customers cutting orders, however full year 2023E growth still likely thanks to advanced chips.
Samsung has guided staff internally for a major slump in its semiconductor unit's operating profit.
Apple is pushing for price cuts amongst its suppliers due to weak end demand for its products.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Signs TSMC Winning the 3-Nm Battle Vs. Samsung, Apple Bargaining Down Suppliers

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Micron's earnings call gives a good advanced warning of similar companies' reports</li>
<li>The company's downturn is the worst in the past 13 years</li>
<li>Not all chip companies will suffer this downturn, and few will do as badly as commodity memory makers.  Tool makers will feel the impact next year.</li>
</ul>


Micron's earnings call gives a good advanced warning of similar companies' reports
The company's downturn is the worst in the past 13 years
Not all chip companies will suffer this downturn, and few will do as badly as commodity memory makers.  Tool makers will feel the impact next year.


Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

<ul>
<li>Although the overall channel and customer inventories have reduced aggressively by the end of 3Q2022, we are only in the middle of the inventory adjustment cycle.</li>
<li>We’ve seen early signs of global inflation peaking, and an initial normalization in US dollar strength, which supports recovery in end consumer demand and channel inventory restocking by mid-2023.</li>
<li>Current dividend yield and PE ratio indicate a meaningful margin of safety in valuation levels, with probabilities skewed towards positive surprise.</li>
</ul>


Although the overall channel and customer inventories have reduced aggressively by the end of 3Q2022, we are only in the middle of the inventory adjustment cycle.
We’ve seen early signs of global inflation peaking, and an initial normalization in US dollar strength, which supports recovery in end consumer demand and channel inventory restocking by mid-2023.
Current dividend yield and PE ratio indicate a meaningful margin of safety in valuation levels, with probabilities skewed towards positive surprise.


MediaTek: Mid (Inventory) Cycle, Long-Term Growth Story Intact, Attractive Yield, and Multiples

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Broadcom FY22 results indicate strength in data centers, telco infrastructure, enterprise IT spending.</li>
<li>Hon Hai's Zhengzhou facility ends closed-loop operations, returning to a more normal state.</li>
<li>U.S. asking Japan to have its firms comply with U.S. chip restrictions on China.</li>
</ul>


Broadcom FY22 results indicate strength in data centers, telco infrastructure, enterprise IT spending.
Hon Hai's Zhengzhou facility ends closed-loop operations, returning to a more normal state.
U.S. asking Japan to have its firms comply with U.S. chip restrictions on China.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Broadcom Results Provide Some Signs of Strength, Hon Hai Facility Ends Lockdown

<ul>
<li>Intel has eked out a small outperformance vs. TSMC most recently, and we believe there is more to come.</li>
<li>Events appear to be in Intel's favor in the near-term.</li>
<li>TSMC has outperformed by a historically extreme amount in just three weeks.</li>
</ul>


Intel has eked out a small outperformance vs. TSMC most recently, and we believe there is more to come.
Events appear to be in Intel's favor in the near-term.
TSMC has outperformed by a historically extreme amount in just three weeks.


Intel Vs. TSMC Monitor: TSMC Outperformed Too Much Too Soon?

United States

QUALCOMM, Inc . manufactures digital wireless communications equipment.  The Company licenses its code division multiple access (CDMA) and orthogonal frequency division multiplexing access intellectual property to other companies, and produces CDMA-based integrated circuits; and produces equipment and software used to track workers and assets; and software for wireless content enablement.

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Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Signs TSMC Winning the 3-Nm Battle Vs. Samsung, Apple Bargaining Down Suppliers

TSMC's revenue could drop in the near-term due to customers cutting orders, however full year 2023E growth still likely thanks to advanced chips.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Micron Earnings Give Semi Market Outlook

Micron's just-announced revenues indicate trouble today for its peers and trouble next year for tool makers, but other sectors should fare much...

Jim Handy

MediaTek: Mid (Inventory) Cycle, Long-Term Growth Story Intact, Attractive Yield, and Multiples

In this insight, we analyse MediaTek, the world’s 4th largest fabless semiconductor company and the largest smartphone System-on-Chip (SoC) maker,...

Wium Malan, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Broadcom Results Provide Some Signs of Strength, Hon Hai Facility Ends Lockdown

Broadcom FY22 results indicate strength in data centers, telco infrastructure, enterprise IT spending. U.S. asks Japan to comply with China chip...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel Vs. TSMC Monitor: TSMC Outperformed Too Much Too Soon?

TSMC has outperformed by a historically extreme amount in just three weeks. Intel may attract value and contrarian buyers through year-end.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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