Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The fabled  PBoC Put is finally out in the open</li>
<li>Is there a floor under the stock market, if not the property market?</li>
<li>Has the asymetric opportunity now gone with this recent rally?</li>
</ul>


The fabled  PBoC Put is finally out in the open
Is there a floor under the stock market, if not the property market?
Has the asymetric opportunity now gone with this recent rally?


After the Rally. What Next for the Hong Kong Market?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Chinese life insurers saw strong monthly premium growth in Aug on top of low bases, since the print of six H-share listed life peers rallied by 50% YoY to RMB 139bn in Aug, +41.2pct from last month, lifting the cumulative amount to RMB1,430bn, up 6.3% YoY in 8M24.</li><li>New China Life/Sunshine Life/PICC Life doubled the premium by +122%/104%/95% YoY in August (Fig.1), driven in part by the low base effect of PIR cut to 3.0% beginning in Aug 23, and the “stop-sale” impact of PIR cut for traditional life policies to 2.5% since Sep 24, in our view.</li><li>China Life/Ping An Life/CPIC Life grew premium income by 29%/38%/53% YoY in August, indicating respective highest monthly YoY growth year-to-date as well. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Chinese life insurers saw strong monthly premium growth in Aug on top of low bases, since the print of six H-share listed life peers rallied by 50% YoY to RMB 139bn in Aug, +41.2pct from last month, lifting the cumulative amount to RMB1,430bn, up 6.3% YoY in 8M24.New China Life/Sunshine Life/PICC Life doubled the premium by +122%/104%/95% YoY in August (Fig.1), driven in part by the low base effect of PIR cut to 3.0% beginning in Aug 23, and the “stop-sale” impact of PIR cut for traditional life policies to 2.5% since Sep 24, in our view.China Life/Ping An Life/CPIC Life grew premium income by 29%/38%/53% YoY in August, indicating respective highest monthly YoY growth year-to-date as well. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Insurance - 8M24 Monthly: Life Jumped on Top of Low Base

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 20th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba (9988 HK), Meituan (3690 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 20th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba (9988 HK), Meituan (3690 HK).


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 20th): Alibaba, Meituan

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 6th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Meituan, Hscei Etf, CCB, Zto Express, Xiaomi, AIA.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 6th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Meituan, Hscei Etf, CCB, Zto Express, Xiaomi, AIA.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Hscei Etf, CCB, Zto Express, Xiaomi, AIA

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Agricultural Bank Of China / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was a net buyer this week. Over five days, it was +HK$12.5bn on high gross volume, but all of that net buying was on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> became SOUTHBOUND-eligible on Tuesday, and mainland buyers bought US$2.1bn of BABA shares, more than total SOUTHBOUND net buys.</li>
<li>Gross volumes were highest in months. This was a big week. Even bigger than just BABA. After BABA the story was banks buying. </li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND was a net buyer this week. Over five days, it was +HK$12.5bn on high gross volume, but all of that net buying was on Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK). 

Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) became SOUTHBOUND-eligible on Tuesday, and mainland buyers bought US$2.1bn of BABA shares, more than total SOUTHBOUND net buys.
Gross volumes were highest in months. This was a big week. Even bigger than just BABA. After BABA the story was banks buying. 


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 13 Sep 2024); Weak Data, Weak Markets, but BABA and Banks!

China

Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China Limited provides products and services through its five ecosystems in financial services, healthcare, auto services, real estate services and Smart City solutions. The Group's insurance business writes property, casualty, and life insurance products.

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Ping An Insurance Group of (601318 CH)

After the Rally. What Next for the Hong Kong Market?

The emergence of the PBoC Put and what to do now that the Hang Seng Index has rallied so fast and hard. Has the boat been missed?

Rikki Malik

China Insurance - 8M24 Monthly: Life Jumped on Top of Low Base

Chinese life insurers saw strong monthly premium growth in Aug on top of low bases, since the print of six H-share listed life peers rallied by 50%...

CMB International

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 20th): Alibaba, Meituan

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba (9988 HK), Meituan (3690 HK).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Hscei Etf, CCB, Zto Express, Xiaomi, AIA

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 6th and highlight short interest changes in Meituan, Hscei Etf, CCB,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 13 Sep 2024); Weak Data, Weak Markets, but BABA and Banks!

The biggest week for SOUTHBOUND gross volumes in many months. It would have been the biggest week even without the launch of Alibaba Southbound...

Travis Lundy

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