External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The insurer announced the issuance of US$3.5bn convertible bonds (CB) to offshore professional investors outside the US on 15 Jul 2024, at 0.0875% par per annum due in Jul 2029.</li><li>The proposed principal amount is within the range of an estimated US2bn-5bn, according to the Bloomberg news.</li><li>Against the closing price on 15 Jul of HK$36.05, the initial conversion price of HK$43.71 implies a premium rate of 21.2%. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The insurer announced the issuance of US$3.5bn convertible bonds (CB) to offshore professional investors outside the US on 15 Jul 2024, at 0.0875% par per annum due in Jul 2029.The proposed principal amount is within the range of an estimated US2bn-5bn, according to the Bloomberg news.Against the closing price on 15 Jul of HK$36.05, the initial conversion price of HK$43.71 implies a premium rate of 21.2%. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Ping An (2318 HK) - Expect $3.5bn CB Dilutive Effect to Be Short-Term

<ul><li>Ping An’s first-quarter results show resilience in core lines, with Life VNB +20.7% YoY to RMB12.9bn under new EV assumptions, beating market consensus and our estimate of mid-teens growth.</li><li>We see the uptick driven by a promising rise of VNB margin (+6.5 pct YoY) to 22.8% despite sluggish 2024 jumpstart sales.</li><li>Group OPAT was down by 3.0% YoY to RMB38.7bn, significantly narrowing from -19.7% YoY by end-23. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Ping An’s first-quarter results show resilience in core lines, with Life VNB +20.7% YoY to RMB12.9bn under new EV assumptions, beating market consensus and our estimate of mid-teens growth.We see the uptick driven by a promising rise of VNB margin (+6.5 pct YoY) to 22.8% despite sluggish 2024 jumpstart sales.Group OPAT was down by 3.0% YoY to RMB38.7bn, significantly narrowing from -19.7% YoY by end-23. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Ping An (2318 HK) - 1Q24 NBV Beat; Life OPAT Y/Y Turned Positive

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-group-co-of-c2975d60-47cd-4246-a7a6-25297586242b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24682:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (601318 CH)</a> trades at a 40% premium to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (2318 HK)</a>. The premium has blown out the last week and there could be a reversal.</li>
<li>The difference in Ping An's AH premium versus the HSAHP Index has shrunk to its narrowest level in the last 10 years.</li>
<li>Shareholding in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-group-co-of-c2975d60-47cd-4246-a7a6-25297586242b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24682:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance Group of (601318 CH)</a> via Northbound Connect has dropped and shareholding in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a> via Southbound Connect has increased steadily.</li>
</ul>



Ping An Insurance (601318 CH) trades at a 40% premium to Ping An Insurance (2318 HK). The premium has blown out the last week and there could be a reversal.
The difference in Ping An's AH premium versus the HSAHP Index has shrunk to its narrowest level in the last 10 years.
Shareholding in Ping An Insurance Group of (601318 CH) via Northbound Connect has dropped and shareholding in Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK) via Southbound Connect has increased steadily.


Ping An A/​H Premium: Blow Out Could Lead to Sharp Reversal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 19th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,388.5 million, led by consumer discretionary, industrials, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Midea (000333 CH), Zhongji Innolight (300308 CH), Mindray (300760 CH).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 19th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,388.5 million, led by consumer discretionary, industrials, financials.
We highlight flows for Midea (000333 CH), Zhongji Innolight (300308 CH), Mindray (300760 CH).


Northbound Flows (Jul 19th): Midea, Zhongji Innolight, Mindray

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 19th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for ICBC (1398 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 19th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for ICBC (1398 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK).


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 19th): ICBC, China Hongqiao

China

China Life Insurance Company Ltd. offers a wide range of life, accident, and health insurance products and services.

Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China Limited provides a variety of insurance service in China.  The Company writes property, casualty, and life insurance.  Ping An Insurance also offers financial services.

PICC Property and Casualty Company Limited provides insurance services. The Company provides property loss insurances, liability insurances, credit insurances, accidental injury insurances, short term health insurances, guarantee insurances, and other insurance products. PICC Property and Casualty also operates investment businesses.

China Pacific Insurance (Group) Company, Ltd. is an integrated insurance services provider. The Company offers life and property insurance products through its subsidiaries.

Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China Limited provides products and services through its five ecosystems in financial services, healthcare, auto services, real estate services and Smart City solutions. The Group's insurance business writes property, casualty, and life insurance products.

New China Life Insurance Company Limited provides life insurance in local and foreign currencies, acts as an insurance agent, provides checks, claims and insurance consulting. The Company's main products include life insurance, accident insurance, health insurance products and services.

The People's Insurance Company (Group) of China Limited, through its subsidiaries, offers a range of property and casualty insurance products. The Company also offers asset management services for a variety of customers throughout China.

China Reinsurance (Group) Corporation is a reinsurance company. The company operates four principal business segments, consisting of P&C reinsurance, life and health reinsurance, primary P&C insurance and asset management businesses.

ZhongAn Online P & C Insurance Co., Ltd. operates as an insurance company. The Company develops and sells health, airline, and automotive insurance, and other products. ZhongAn Online P & C Insurance also offers online consumer finance services.

Agricultural Bank of China Limited provides a full range of commercial banking services. The Banks services includes RMB and foreign currency deposit, loan, international and domestic settlement, bill discount, currency trading, bank guarantee, and treasury bill underwriting.

American International Group, Inc. is an international insurance organization serving commercial, institutional and individual customers. AIG provides property-casualty insurance, life insurance and retirement services.

MetLife, Inc. provides individual insurance, employee benefits and financial services with operations throughout the United States and the regions of Latin America, Europe, and Asia Pacific. The Company's products include life insurance, annuities, automobile and homeowners insurance, retail banking and other financial services to individuals as well as group insurance.

The Progressive Corporation is an insurance holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provide personal and commercial automobile insurance and other specialty property-casualty insurance and related services throughout the United States.

Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc., through subsidiaries, offers property, casualty and life insurance, and asset management services.

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. and its subsidiaries provide insurance brokerage, risk management, employee benefit, and other related services to clients in the United States and abroad. The Company's principal activity is the negotiation and placement of insurance for its clients. Gallagher also specializes in furnishing risk management services.

Aon PLC is a professional services provider. The Company is comprised of risk and insurance brokerage consulting. Aon's services include helping manage risk for clients, negotiating and placing insurance risk with other carriers, and advising clients related to health and benefits, retirement, compensation, strategic human capital, and human resource outsourcing.

Chubb Limited operates as a property and casualty insurance company. The Company provides commercial and personal property, casualty, and personal accident and supplemental health insurance, reinsurance, and life insurance to a diverse group of clients.

Aflac, Inc. is a general business holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides supplemental insurance to individuals in the United States and Japan.  Aflac's products include accident/disability plans, cancer expense plans, short-term disability plans, sickness and hospital indemnity plans, hospital intensive care plans, and fixed-benefit dental plans.

AIA Group Limited offers insurance and financial services. The Company writes life insurance for individuals, businesses, accident, and health insurance, as well as retirement planning and wealth management services.

Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. is a professional services firm providing advice and solutions in the areas of risk, strategy, and human capital. Marsh & McLennan offers analysis, advice, and transactional capabilities to clients worldwide.

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Ping An Insurance Group of (601318 CH)

Ping An (2318 HK) - Expect $3.5bn CB Dilutive Effect to Be Short-Term

The insurer announced the issuance of US$3.5bn convertible bonds (CB) to offshore professional investors outside the US on 15 Jul 2024, at 0.0875%...

CMB International

Ping An (2318 HK) - 1Q24 NBV Beat; Life OPAT Y/Y Turned Positive

Ping An’s first-quarter results show resilience in core lines, with Life VNB +20.7% YoY to RMB12.9bn under new EV assumptions, beating market...

CMB International

Ping An A/H Premium: Blow Out Could Lead to Sharp Reversal

The Ping An AH premium has dropped from the highs of 40% mid last week. There should be a further drop in the AH premium, but it could be a bumpy...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (Jul 19th): Midea, Zhongji Innolight, Mindray

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Midea, Zhongji Innolight, Mindray.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 19th): ICBC, China Hongqiao

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for ICBC (1398 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Ping An (2318 HK) - Expect $3.5bn CB Dilutive Effect to Be Short-Term

The insurer announced the issuance of US$3.5bn convertible bonds (CB) to offshore professional investors outside the US on 15 Jul 2024, at 0.0875%...

CMB International

Ping An (2318 HK) - 1Q24 NBV Beat; Life OPAT Y/Y Turned Positive

Ping An’s first-quarter results show resilience in core lines, with Life VNB +20.7% YoY to RMB12.9bn under new EV assumptions, beating market...

CMB International

Ping An A/​H Premium: Blow Out Could Lead to Sharp Reversal

The Ping An AH premium has dropped from the highs of 40% mid last week. There should be a further drop in the AH premium, but it could be a bumpy...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (Jul 19th): Midea, Zhongji Innolight, Mindray

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Midea, Zhongji Innolight, Mindray.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 19th): ICBC, China Hongqiao

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for ICBC (1398 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Ping An A/H Premium: Blow Out Could Lead to Sharp Reversal