Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe BABA’s upcoming 4QFY23 results will surprise the market to the upside by a wide margin in terms of recovery in bottomline, catalyzing trading opportunity for short-term investors.</li>
<li>We also expect that the results will usher in a period of sustained re-rating for the stock due to China’s continued yet slow consumption recovery and Alibaba’s well-executed restructuring plan.</li>
<li>Geo-Political risks will not go away, but have been very much reflected in current pricing in our view. Buy ahead of results on Thursday.</li>
</ul>


We believe BABA’s upcoming 4QFY23 results will surprise the market to the upside by a wide margin in terms of recovery in bottomline, catalyzing trading opportunity for short-term investors.
We also expect that the results will usher in a period of sustained re-rating for the stock due to China’s continued yet slow consumption recovery and Alibaba’s well-executed restructuring plan.
Geo-Political risks will not go away, but have been very much reflected in current pricing in our view. Buy ahead of results on Thursday.


Alibaba (BABA US): Buy Ahead of March Quarter Results This Thursday

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Growatt Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/growatt-new-energy-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36103:1" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology (1833969D CH)</a> is looking to raise about US$400m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO, after downsizing from an earlier US$1bn float in Nov 2022.</li>
<li>Growatt Technology is a global distributed energy solution provider, specializing in sustainable energy generation, storage and consumption, as well as energy digitalization. </li>
<li>Previously, we looked at the company’s past performance, peer comparison and shared our earlier thoughts on valuation. In this note, we will provide our latest thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Growatt Technology (1833969D CH) is looking to raise about US$400m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO, after downsizing from an earlier US$1bn float in Nov 2022.
Growatt Technology is a global distributed energy solution provider, specializing in sustainable energy generation, storage and consumption, as well as energy digitalization. 
Previously, we looked at the company’s past performance, peer comparison and shared our earlier thoughts on valuation. In this note, we will provide our latest thoughts on valuation.


Growatt Technology Pre-IPO - Latest Thoughts on Valuation

Horizon Construction Development / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-construction-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35117:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK)</a> is looking to raise US$223m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>HCD is an equipment operation service provider in China. It provides services covering the full cycle of projects.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance and refiled PHIP updates. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK) is looking to raise US$223m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
HCD is an equipment operation service provider in China. It provides services covering the full cycle of projects.
In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance and refiled PHIP updates. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our thoughts on valuation.


Horizon Construction Development IPO - Peer Comparison & Thoughts on Valuation

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Shein/PDD: Our check and local media reports of Shein's newly-launched marketplace, and implication to PDD (-)</li>
<li>PDD/700.HK/BABA/JD: China major Ecommerce platform's low price strategy in 6/18 promotion (-/+/+/+)</li>
<li>ZLAB：ZLAB revenue met our expectation while loss greatly beat our expectation on reduced R&amp;D</li>
</ul>


Shein/PDD: Our check and local media reports of Shein's newly-launched marketplace, and implication to PDD (-)
PDD/700.HK/BABA/JD: China major Ecommerce platform's low price strategy in 6/18 promotion (-/+/+/+)
ZLAB：ZLAB revenue met our expectation while loss greatly beat our expectation on reduced R&amp;D


China TMT Update (May.12) - Shein/PDD/700.HK/BABA/JD/ZLAB:Shein's Newly-Launched Marketplace

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>We consider Chinese TMT a great credit story despite its equity story has been hammered by regulatory uncertainties, sanction risk and slowing growth.</li><li>Most of the TMT issuers are cash-rich with solid liquidity profiles.</li><li>Within the Chinese TMT space, we like XIAOMIs the most for their most favourable risk-return profile. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We consider Chinese TMT a great credit story despite its equity story has been hammered by regulatory uncertainties, sanction risk and slowing growth.Most of the TMT issuers are cash-rich with solid liquidity profiles.Within the Chinese TMT space, we like XIAOMIs the most for their most favourable risk-return profile. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Chinese TMT: Buy XIAOMI 0’27, XIAOMI 30-31s, MEITUA 0’27 and PDD 0’25

China

PDD Holdings Inc. is a multinational commerce group that owns and operates a portfolio of businesses. The Company focuses on digital economy so that local communities and small businesses can benefit from the increased productivity and new opportunities. PDD Holdings has built a network of sourcing, logistics, and fulfillment capabilities for its underlying businesses.

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PDD Holdings (PDD US)

Alibaba (BABA US): Buy Ahead of March Quarter Results This Thursday

We believe BABA's upcoming 4QFY23 results will surprise the market to the upside by a wide margin in terms of recovery in bottomline. Buy ahead of...

Eric Chen

Growatt Technology Pre-IPO - Latest Thoughts on Valuation

Growatt Technology (1833969D CH) is looking to raise about US$400m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will provide our latest thoughts...

Ethan Aw

Horizon Construction Development IPO - Peer Comparison & Thoughts on Valuation

Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK) is looking to raise US$223m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we undertake a quick peer...

Ethan Aw

China TMT Update (May.12) - Shein/PDD/700.HK/BABA/JD/ZLAB:Shein's Newly-Launched Marketplace

Shein's newly-launched marketplace、China major Ecommerce platform's low price strategy in 6/18 promotion，ZLAB revenue met our expectation while...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Chinese TMT: Buy XIAOMI 0’27, XIAOMI 30-31s, MEITUA 0’27 and PDD 0’25

We consider Chinese TMT a great credit story despite its equity story has been hammered by regulatory uncertainties, sanction risk and slowing growth.

CMB International

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