Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The market seems to be expecting quite a bit from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pinduoduo-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27250:1" rel="noopener">Pinduoduo (PDD US)</a> in upcoming earnings with consensus expecting the company to make around RMB 11.4bn OP in 4Q22.</li>
<li>With CCP’s anti-monopoly drive on hold, Pinduoduo may need to persuade customers and merchants a bit more than usual via sales and marketing to further improve its market position.</li>
<li>TEMU was anyway going to be a significant burden on profitability. With aggressive discounting and coupons, we think that burden has gotten significantly heavier.</li>
</ul>


The market seems to be expecting quite a bit from Pinduoduo (PDD US) in upcoming earnings with consensus expecting the company to make around RMB 11.4bn OP in 4Q22.
With CCP’s anti-monopoly drive on hold, Pinduoduo may need to persuade customers and merchants a bit more than usual via sales and marketing to further improve its market position.
TEMU was anyway going to be a significant burden on profitability. With aggressive discounting and coupons, we think that burden has gotten significantly heavier.


Pinduoduo: Untaming TEMU Through $100 Coupons

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The MSCI EM vs.EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the DXY peaked in November 2022, and also shows signs of reversing the 2-year downtrend.</li>
<li>As long as the DXY remains below $103.50-$106, we expect outperformance from EM to continue.</li>
<li>China/Hong Kong, Greece, South Africa, and Mexico stand out as attractive countries. Our top actionable Sectors include Communications, Consumer Discretionary, and Technology. We highlight 76 attractive EM stocks.</li>
</ul>


The MSCI EM vs.EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the DXY peaked in November 2022, and also shows signs of reversing the 2-year downtrend.
As long as the DXY remains below $103.50-$106, we expect outperformance from EM to continue.
China/Hong Kong, Greece, South Africa, and Mexico stand out as attractive countries. Our top actionable Sectors include Communications, Consumer Discretionary, and Technology. We highlight 76 attractive EM stocks.


EM Outperformance to Continue (Vs. EAFE) -- Add on a Pullback; DXY Needs to Hold Below $106

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hesai-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36743:1" rel="noopener">Hesai Group (HSAI US)</a> is looking to raise around US$170m in its upcoming US IPO.</li>
<li>HSAI is a manufacturer of three-dimensional light detection and ranging (Lidar) solutions. It has shipped over 103,000 Lidar units from 2017 to the end of 2022.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Hesai Group (HSAI US) is looking to raise around US$170m in its upcoming US IPO.
HSAI is a manufacturer of three-dimensional light detection and ranging (Lidar) solutions. It has shipped over 103,000 Lidar units from 2017 to the end of 2022.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about valuations.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hesai-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36743:1" rel="noopener">Hesai Group (HSAI US)</a> is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming US IPO.</li>
<li>HSAI is a manufacturer of three-dimensional light detection and ranging (Lidar) solutions. It has shipped over 103,000 Lidar units from 2017 to the end of 2022.</li>
<li>In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison with domestic and US-listed peers.</li>
</ul>



Hesai Group (HSAI US) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming US IPO.
HSAI is a manufacturer of three-dimensional light detection and ranging (Lidar) solutions. It has shipped over 103,000 Lidar units from 2017 to the end of 2022.
In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison with domestic and US-listed peers.


Hesai Group Pre-IPO -  Peer Comparison - Not Really the Largest, Globally or Locally

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this note, we will take a look at the performance of bookrunners for Korean placements from 2019-2022. </li>
<li>The following dataset includes all Korean placements above US$100m for the period of Calendar Years 2019-2022, which amounted to a total of <strong>29 deals</strong>.</li>
<li>The deals you see in this note are based on our historical placements tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on any of these placements.</li>
</ul>


In this note, we will take a look at the performance of bookrunners for Korean placements from 2019-2022. 
The following dataset includes all Korean placements above US$100m for the period of Calendar Years 2019-2022, which amounted to a total of 29 deals.
The deals you see in this note are based on our historical placements tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on any of these placements.


Aequitas Korea Placements Bookrunner Performance (2019-2022)

China

PDD Holdings Inc. is a multinational commerce group that owns and operates a portfolio of businesses. The Company focuses on digital economy so that local communities and small businesses can benefit from the increased productivity and new opportunities. PDD Holdings has built a network of sourcing, logistics, and fulfillment capabilities for its underlying businesses.

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PDD Holdings (PDD US)

Pinduoduo: Untaming TEMU Through $100 Coupons

TEMU was anyway going to be a significant burden on profitability. With aggressive discounting and coupons, we think that burden has gotten...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

EM Outperformance to Continue (Vs. EAFE) -- Add on a Pullback; DXY Needs to Hold Below $106

EM vs. EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the $DXY peaked in November 2022. If the DXY remains below...

Vermilion Research

Hesai Group IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Hesai Group (HSAI US) is looking to raise around US$170m in its upcoming US IPO. In this note, we till talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Hesai Group Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Not Really the Largest, Globally or Locally

Hesai Group (HSAI US) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming US IPO. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.

Sumeet Singh

Aequitas Korea Placements Bookrunner Performance (2019-2022)

In this note, we will take a look at the performance of bookrunners for Korean placements from 2019-2022, which includes all Korean placements...

Ethan Aw

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