IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and the US (Chinese ADRs only).</li>
<li>This week, the highest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal Group (PDL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sezzle-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30969:1" rel="noopener">Sezzle Inc (SZL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU)</a>.   </li>
<li>The lowest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uniti-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29042:1" rel="noopener">Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/51-job-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:532:1" rel="noopener">51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-logistics-property-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22799:1" rel="noopener">China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irongate-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30897:1" rel="noopener">Irongate Group (IAP AU)</a>, Jin Jiang Capital.    </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and the US (Chinese ADRs only).
This week, the highest gross spreads are Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK), Pendal Group (PDL AU), Sezzle Inc (SZL AU), Razer Inc (1337 HK), Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU).   
The lowest gross spreads are Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU), 51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US), China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK), Irongate Group (IAP AU), Jin Jiang Capital.    


Merger Arb Mondays - Yashili, Pendal, Sezzle, Razer, Link Admin, Uniti, AKM, Guodian, Crown Resorts

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>#2 shareholder and erstwhile activist 3D Investment Partners writes a letter to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>'s Board demanding 3 measures before the AGM. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal Group (PDL AU)</a> is assessing Perpetual's cash/scrip Offer provides an indicative price of $6.23/share; however, the wording in the announcement suggests the bid is opportunistic and will be rejected. </li>
<li>Because of rising regulatory requirements for NBFCs, a <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> /<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited (HDFC IN)</a> was to be expected at some point.</li>
</ul>


#2 shareholder and erstwhile activist 3D Investment Partners writes a letter to Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)'s Board demanding 3 measures before the AGM. 

Pendal Group (PDL AU) is assessing Perpetual's cash/scrip Offer provides an indicative price of $6.23/share; however, the wording in the announcement suggests the bid is opportunistic and will be rejected. 
Because of rising regulatory requirements for NBFCs, a HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) /HDFC Limited (HDFC IN) was to be expected at some point.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Pendal, HDFC Bank, YZJ Shipbuilding, BHP, Virtus

<ul>
<li>There are 34 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. </li>
<li>Two new deals were discussed on Smartkarma: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited (HDFC IN)</a>. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perpetual-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:599:1" rel="noopener">Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal (PDL AU)</a>; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold-road-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6698:1" rel="noopener">Gold Road (GOR AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dgo-gold-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8312:1" rel="noopener">DGO Gold (DGO AU)</a> 
</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus Health (VRT AU)</a>,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-jin-jiang-capital-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15781:1" rel="noopener">Jin Jiang Capital Company Limited (2006 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/western-areas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15497:1" rel="noopener">Western Areas (WSA AU)</a>
</li>
</ul>


There are 34 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. 
Two new deals were discussed on Smartkarma: HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) / HDFC Limited (HDFC IN). Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU) and Pendal (PDL AU); Gold Road (GOR AU) and DGO Gold (DGO AU) 

Key updates took place for: Virtus Health (VRT AU),  Jin Jiang Capital Company Limited (2006 HK) and Western Areas (WSA AU)



Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: HDFC Bank/Limited Merger, Pendal, Jin Jiang Capital, Western Areas

<ul>
<li>The scrip-heavy bid values <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal Group (PDL AU)</a> at A$6.23 based on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perpetual-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:599:1" rel="noopener">Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU)</a> price on 1 April, a 39.2% premium to the unaffected price of A$4.48.  </li>
<li>The Pendal Board hints at opportunism. We agree as the Perpetual offer is unattractive in the context of historical multiples and share prices. </li>
<li>The bid lays a marker of Pendal’s inherent value, and we think another bidding round is possible. The gross spread to the offer at the last close prices is 12.1%.  </li>
</ul>


The scrip-heavy bid values Pendal Group (PDL AU) at A$6.23 based on the Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU) price on 1 April, a 39.2% premium to the unaffected price of A$4.48.  
The Pendal Board hints at opportunism. We agree as the Perpetual offer is unattractive in the context of historical multiples and share prices. 
The bid lays a marker of Pendal’s inherent value, and we think another bidding round is possible. The gross spread to the offer at the last close prices is 12.1%.  


Pendal’s Indicative Bid from Perpetual Is Underwhelming

<ul>
<li>Asset manager <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal Group (PDL AU)</a> has announced a non-binding proposal from investment firm <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perpetual-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:599:1" rel="noopener">Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Perpetual's cash/scrip Offer provides an indicative price of $6.23/share. The proposal would see Pendal’s shareholders owning 48% of the merged entity and Perpetual the remainder.</li>
<li>Pendal is assessing the proposal; however, the wording in the announcement suggests the bid is opportunistic and will be rejected. </li>
</ul>


Asset manager Pendal Group (PDL AU) has announced a non-binding proposal from investment firm Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU).
Perpetual's cash/scrip Offer provides an indicative price of $6.23/share. The proposal would see Pendal’s shareholders owning 48% of the merged entity and Perpetual the remainder.
Pendal is assessing the proposal; however, the wording in the announcement suggests the bid is opportunistic and will be rejected. 


Expect Pendal To Reject Perpetual's Offer

Australia

Perpetual Limited is a financial services company that has two primary activities, wealth management services and corporate trust services. The Company provides funds management, responsible entity services, trustee services, executor services, financial planning, investment administration, superannuation, custody and registry services.

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Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU)

Merger Arb Mondays - Yashili, Pendal, Sezzle, Razer, Link Admin, Uniti, AKM, Guodian, Crown Resorts

This week, the highest gross spreads are Yashili (33.3%), Pendal (13.5%), Sezzle (8.7%), Razer (8.0%), Link (7.8%), Uniti Group (7.3%), AKM (3.1%),...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Pendal, HDFC Bank, YZJ Shipbuilding, BHP, Virtus

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: HDFC Bank/Limited Merger, Pendal, Jin Jiang Capital, Western Areas

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Pendal’s Indicative Bid from Perpetual Is Underwhelming

The offer consists of a scrip component (1 Perpetual share for every 7.5 Pendal share) and a cash component (A$1.67). The Pendal Board hints at...

Arun George

Expect Pendal To Reject Perpetual's Offer

Though still indicative, I see this approach as just the opening salvo from Perpetual. I'd be looking to go long Pendal, and short Perpetual here.

David Blennerhassett

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