Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mog-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36763:1" rel="noopener">MOG Holdings (1942 HK)</a> has been skyrocketing in price since the start of the year. Remarkably, there is little change in the number of shares that trade daily.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mog-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36763:1" rel="noopener">MOG Holdings (1942 HK)</a> has a market cap of US$6.44bn and trades at a modest Price/Sales ratio of 75x and an equally modest Price to Book Value of 89.5x.</li>
<li>Liquidity has improved to the point where the stock could be added to some indices. However, there is a precedent of stocks not being added following market participant feedback.</li>
</ul>



MOG Holdings (1942 HK) has been skyrocketing in price since the start of the year. Remarkably, there is little change in the number of shares that trade daily.

MOG Holdings (1942 HK) has a market cap of US$6.44bn and trades at a modest Price/Sales ratio of 75x and an equally modest Price to Book Value of 89.5x.
Liquidity has improved to the point where the stock could be added to some indices. However, there is a precedent of stocks not being added following market participant feedback.


MOG Digitech (1942 HK): What the Flow Is Going On?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shougang-fushan-resources-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19494:1" rel="noopener">Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK)</a> shareholders approved the partial offer to acquire a maximum of 125.0 million shares (2.47% of outstanding shares) at HK$2.40 per share and the whitewash waiver.</li>
<li>The partial offer is now unconditional and will close on 12 September. Considering the irrevocables not to tender, a 100% minority participation rate implies a minimum proration of 2.98%.</li>
<li>If the partial offer’s acceptance rate mirrors today’s general meeting minorities participation rate of 63.6%, it would imply a minimum proration of 4.69%. </li>
</ul>



Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK) shareholders approved the partial offer to acquire a maximum of 125.0 million shares (2.47% of outstanding shares) at HK$2.40 per share and the whitewash waiver.
The partial offer is now unconditional and will close on 12 September. Considering the irrevocables not to tender, a 100% minority participation rate implies a minimum proration of 2.98%.
If the partial offer’s acceptance rate mirrors today’s general meeting minorities participation rate of 63.6%, it would imply a minimum proration of 4.69%. 


Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK): Partial Offer Is Unconditional

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Red Star Macalline Group Corp / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website.</li>
<li>Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase - or decrease - in the shareholding by directors. Or pledging. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute.</li>
<li>The key stock mentioned in this regular insight is <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/red-star-macalline-group-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:520:1" rel="noopener">Red Star Macalline Group Corp (1528 HK)</a>.</strong>
</li>
</ul>


The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website.
Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase - or decrease - in the shareholding by directors. Or pledging. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute.
The key stock mentioned in this regular insight is Red Star Macalline Group Corp (1528 HK).



Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings: Red Star's New Controlling Shareholder

<ul>
<li>The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website.</li>
<li>Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase - or decrease - in the shareholding by directors. Or pledging. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute.</li>
<li>The key stock mentioned in this regular insight is <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-feihe-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24413:1" rel="noopener">China Feihe (6186 HK)</a></strong>
</li>
</ul>


The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website.
Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase - or decrease - in the shareholding by directors. Or pledging. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute.
The key stock mentioned in this regular insight is China Feihe (6186 HK)



Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings (21 June): China Feihe's CFO Sells Around All-Time Low

Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Company Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inner-mongolia-yitai-coal-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14904:1" rel="noopener">Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Company Ltd (3948 HK)</a>'s H Share buyback offer at HK$17.50 per H Share is open. The H class meeting is on 30 June.  </li>
<li>The key conditions are approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection). There is a 90% minimum acceptance condition.  </li>
<li>The de-rating of the peers, likely supportive substantial H Shareholders and no major retail opposition should help hit the 90% threshold. At the last close, the gross/annualised spread is 4.7%/23.9%.   </li>
</ul>



Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Company Ltd (3948 HK)'s H Share buyback offer at HK$17.50 per H Share is open. The H class meeting is on 30 June.  
The key conditions are approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection). There is a 90% minimum acceptance condition.  
The de-rating of the peers, likely supportive substantial H Shareholders and no major retail opposition should help hit the 90% threshold. At the last close, the gross/annualised spread is 4.7%/23.9%.   


Yitai Coal (3948 HK): Offer Open with H Share Class Meeting on 30 June

Hong Kong

Perennial Energy Holdings Limited conducts coal businesses. The Company through its subsidiaries, operates coal mine and their related coal preparation plants. Perennial Energy Holdings mainly conducts businesses in China.

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Perennial Energy Holdings Ltd (2798 HK)

MOG Digitech (1942 HK): What the Flow Is Going On?

MIND THE GAP! The stock could open lower today and there will be unwinding of pre-positioning. There could be value in the stock IF there is...

Brian Freitas

Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK): Partial Offer Is Unconditional

If the partial offer’s acceptance rate mirrors today’s general meeting minorities participation rate of 63.6%, it would imply a minimum proration...

Arun George

Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings: Red Star's New Controlling Shareholder

The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website. These insights also flag those companies where...

David Blennerhassett

Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings (21 June): China Feihe's CFO Sells Around All-Time Low

Feihe is cheap. It's not at all clear why Lin Hua would opt to kick out a chunk of his stake at these levels. Valuation-wise, I'd be getting some...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MOG Digitech (1942 HK): What the Flow Is Going On?

MIND THE GAP! The stock could open lower today and there will be unwinding of pre-positioning. There could be value in the stock IF there is...

Brian Freitas

Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK): Partial Offer Is Unconditional

If the partial offer’s acceptance rate mirrors today’s general meeting minorities participation rate of 63.6%, it would imply a minimum proration...

Arun George

Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings: Red Star's New Controlling Shareholder

The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website. These insights also flag those companies where...

David Blennerhassett

Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings (21 June): China Feihe's CFO Sells Around All-Time Low

Feihe is cheap. It's not at all clear why Lin Hua would opt to kick out a chunk of his stake at these levels. Valuation-wise, I'd be getting some...

David Blennerhassett

Yitai Coal (3948 HK): Offer Open with H Share Class Meeting on 30 June

The de-rating of the peers, likely supportive substantial H Shareholders and no major retail opposition should help hit the 90% threshold. At the...

Arun George