Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technologie" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Leapmotor (9863 HK)</a> (LM) raised around US$800m in its Hong Kong IPO. The stock was listed in Sep 2022, its lockup on pre-IPO investors will expire on 29th Sep 2023.</li>
<li>LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Leapmotor (9863 HK) (LM) raised around US$800m in its Hong Kong IPO. The stock was listed in Sep 2022, its lockup on pre-IPO investors will expire on 29th Sep 2023.
LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Leapmotor IPO Lock-Up - US$3.3bn Lockup Expiry, Everyone in the Money, CCASS Movement to Boot

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>NBS reported an in-line property investment at -11% YoY in Aug (vs. -12% in Jul) and slight beat on property sales at +5%/-16% MoM/YoY (vs. -45%/-19% in Jul).</li><li>We expect sales growth to perform better in Sep-Oct given 1) relaxation in 12 tier-2 cities (more to come) combined with new policy in tier-1 cities (report) would release certain demand to support sales in ST, 2) developers are speeding up project launch to benefit from sentiment tailwind and 3) our Leading Indicator suggests good sales performance in Oct.</li><li>While the sustainability of recovery is uncertain as 1) our channel check in tier-1 cities shows both the project visitor flow/house transaction have signs of retreat during the 2nd week compared to the 1 st week after new policy, 2) continuous fall on home price arouses more watchand-see sentiment of home buyers, 3) concern on future income expectation still exists which suppresses a chunk of demands. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NBS reported an in-line property investment at -11% YoY in Aug (vs. -12% in Jul) and slight beat on property sales at +5%/-16% MoM/YoY (vs. -45%/-19% in Jul).We expect sales growth to perform better in Sep-Oct given 1) relaxation in 12 tier-2 cities (more to come) combined with new policy in tier-1 cities (report) would release certain demand to support sales in ST, 2) developers are speeding up project launch to benefit from sentiment tailwind and 3) our Leading Indicator suggests good sales performance in Oct.While the sustainability of recovery is uncertain as 1) our channel check in tier-1 cities shows both the project visitor flow/house transaction have signs of retreat during the 2nd week compared to the 1 st week after new policy, 2) continuous fall on home price arouses more watchand-see sentiment of home buyers, 3) concern on future income expectation still exists which suppresses a chunk of demands. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – NBS Aug Data In-Line

<ul><li>Both primary and secondary market reacted strongly to the new policy (认房不 认贷) during the weekend.</li><li>Project visitors and transactions for new home in BJ &amp; SH showed a rally, and 2 nd -hand house listing volume was boosted by cashout demand and sell-to-buy demand.</li><li>We think it is hard for newly-released demand to hold on and it might be able to support the new home recovery for 1-3 months in our view as part of the demand is relying on the transaction of existing market and is likely to be curbed by 2nd -hand housing price which will keep under pressure in our view due to the reason we illustrated below. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Both primary and secondary market reacted strongly to the new policy (认房不 认贷) during the weekend.Project visitors and transactions for new home in BJ &amp; SH showed a rally, and 2 nd -hand house listing volume was boosted by cashout demand and sell-to-buy demand.We think it is hard for newly-released demand to hold on and it might be able to support the new home recovery for 1-3 months in our view as part of the demand is relying on the transaction of existing market and is likely to be curbed by 2nd -hand housing price which will keep under pressure in our view due to the reason we illustrated below. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – Will the newly-released demand hold on?

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Onewo’s 1H23 results missed the market expectation but declared an interim dividend for the first time after IPO.</li><li>The Company’s Onewo Town strategy is becoming more convincing evidenced by better margin.</li><li>We think the controversial topic of bidding contract with capital investment is actually a good strategy given the reasons explained below. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Onewo’s 1H23 results missed the market expectation but declared an interim dividend for the first time after IPO.The Company’s Onewo Town strategy is becoming more convincing evidenced by better margin.We think the controversial topic of bidding contract with capital investment is actually a good strategy given the reasons explained below. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Onewo (2602 HK) – 1H23 Earnings Missed.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK)</a> priced its IPO at HK$10.82 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$5.0 billion (US$636 million). The shares will start trading tomorrow.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:99438" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:99455" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:100252" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>We expect a muted debut as A Share baijiu peers have derated since the release of the prospectus. The shares remain attractive at the IPO price. </li>
</ul>



ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK) priced its IPO at HK$10.82 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$5.0 billion (US$636 million). The shares will start trading tomorrow.
We previously discussed the IPO in ZJLD Group IPO: The Bull Case, ZJLD Group IPO: The Bear Case and ZJLD Group IPO: Valuation Insights. 
We expect a muted debut as A Share baijiu peers have derated since the release of the prospectus. The shares remain attractive at the IPO price. 


China

Onewo Inc. operates as a property management service provider. The Company operates and manages residential communities, workspaces, public premises, and others. Onewo provides its services throughout Hong Kong.

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Onewo (2602 HK)

Leapmotor IPO Lock-Up - US$3.3bn Lockup Expiry, Everyone in the Money, CCASS Movement to Boot

Leapmotor (9863 HK) (LM) raised around US$800m in its Hong Kong IPO. The stock was listed in Sep 2022, its lockup on pre-IPO investors will expire...

Sumeet Singh

China Property Sector – NBS Aug Data In-Line

NBS reported an in-line property investment at -11% YoY in Aug (vs. -12% in Jul) and slight beat on property sales at +5%/-16% MoM/YoY (vs. -45%/...

CMB International

China Property Sector – Will the newly-released demand hold on?

Project visitors and transactions for new home in BJ & SH showed a rally, and 2 nd -hand house listing volume was boosted by cashout demand and...

CMB International

Onewo (2602 HK) – 1H23 Earnings Missed.

We think the controversial topic of bidding contract with capital investment is actually a good strategy given the reasons explained below.

CMB International

ZJLD Group IPO: Trading Debut

We expect a muted debut as A Share baijiu peers have derated since the release of the prospectus. The shares remain attractive at the IPO price.

Arun George

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