HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Anhui’s new VBP included OTC TCM for the first time, which poses a big challenge to the pricing autonomy of CR Sanjiu. This makes Sanjiu's acquisition of Tasly more important/urgent. </li>
<li>Novo Nordisk's performance has raised concerns. The capacity bottleneck for weight-loss drugs seems resolved. Could this signal that the market for weight-loss drugs is reaching its peak?</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keymed-biosciences-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33011:1" rel="noopener">Keymed Biosciences (2162 HK)</a>’s CM310 will miss this year’s NRDL negotiations, putting the company at a disadvantage. Considering the competitive landscape, we are concerned about Keymed’s performance.</li>
</ul>


Anhui’s new VBP included OTC TCM for the first time, which poses a big challenge to the pricing autonomy of CR Sanjiu. This makes Sanjiu's acquisition of Tasly more important/urgent. 
Novo Nordisk's performance has raised concerns. The capacity bottleneck for weight-loss drugs seems resolved. Could this signal that the market for weight-loss drugs is reaching its peak?

Keymed Biosciences (2162 HK)’s CM310 will miss this year’s NRDL negotiations, putting the company at a disadvantage. Considering the competitive landscape, we are concerned about Keymed’s performance.


China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.22) - CR Sanjiu's Trouble, Weight-Loss Drug Market Saturation, Keymed

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>BioAge Labs, a clinical-stage biopharma company backed by a leading syndicate of biotech investors, filed to go public in the United States.</li>
<li>Anti aging and obesity biopharma startup is purely focused on chronic metabolic diseases and established partner agreements with Amgen and Eli Lilly.</li>
<li>I have a positive view of upcoming BioAge Labs IPO and expect a strong first-day return above the IPO offer price.</li>
</ul>


BioAge Labs, a clinical-stage biopharma company backed by a leading syndicate of biotech investors, filed to go public in the United States.
Anti aging and obesity biopharma startup is purely focused on chronic metabolic diseases and established partner agreements with Amgen and Eli Lilly.
I have a positive view of upcoming BioAge Labs IPO and expect a strong first-day return above the IPO offer price.


BioAge Labs IPO Preview: Investor Focus Has Turned To Azelaprag, A Huge Market Potential

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.</li><li>Last week started a busy season of medical and healthcare conferences, with obesity and cancer as major themes. SMMT led with Keytruda-beating (MRK) data in lung cancer, lifting TIL and BNTX with similar drugs.</li><li>NVO boosted amylin class of obesity drugs with positive early data, including ZLDPF, GPCR, and VKTX. </li></ul>

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.Last week started a busy season of medical and healthcare conferences, with obesity and cancer as major themes. SMMT led with Keytruda-beating (MRK) data in lung cancer, lifting TIL and BNTX with similar drugs.NVO boosted amylin class of obesity drugs with positive early data, including ZLDPF, GPCR, and VKTX. 

Biopharma Week in Review - September 16, 2024

<ul><li>We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.</li><li>Last week, ALDX completed the additional study needed to resubmit dry eye NDA.</li><li>Kidney disease drugs continue to benefit from regulatory tailwinds, as NVS gained IgAN approval and APLS succeeded in a pivotal biomarker study in C3G/IC- MPGN.</li></ul>

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.Last week, ALDX completed the additional study needed to resubmit dry eye NDA.Kidney disease drugs continue to benefit from regulatory tailwinds, as NVS gained IgAN approval and APLS succeeded in a pivotal biomarker study in C3G/IC- MPGN.

Biopharma Week in Review - August 12, 2024

<ul><li>Last week, IONS matched Ultragenyx’s Angelman benefit, with maybe better safety.</li><li>PFE and SGMO had approvable gene therapy results in hemophilia A, but durability remains a question.</li><li>BIIB had a bad week, as SAGE-partnered essential tumor trial failed and ESAIY-partnered lecanemab in Alzheimer’s hit an EU regulatory wall. </li></ul>

Last week, IONS matched Ultragenyx’s Angelman benefit, with maybe better safety.PFE and SGMO had approvable gene therapy results in hemophilia A, but durability remains a question.BIIB had a bad week, as SAGE-partnered essential tumor trial failed and ESAIY-partnered lecanemab in Alzheimer’s hit an EU regulatory wall. 

Denmark

Novo Nordisk A/S develops, produces, and markets pharmaceutical products. The Company focuses on diabetes care and offers insulin delivery systems and other diabetes products. Novo Nordisk also works in areas such as haemostatis management, growth disorders, and hormone replacement therapy. The Company offers educational and training materials. Novo Nordisk markets worldwide.

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Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO US)

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.22) - CR Sanjiu's Trouble, Weight-Loss Drug Market Saturation, Keymed

Anhui's VBP includes OTC TCM, challenging CR Sanjiu's pricing autonomy. There are concerns about weight-loss drug market saturation. CM310 missing...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

BioAge Labs IPO Preview: Investor Focus Has Turned To Azelaprag, A Huge Market Potential

California-based BioAge Labs files for an IPO and plans to raise capital for clinical trials of their lead compound, Azelaprag, in combination with...

Andrei Zakharov

Biopharma Week in Review - September 16, 2024

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&A.

Water Tower Research

Biopharma Week in Review - August 12, 2024

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&A.

Water Tower Research

Biopharma Week in Review - Jul 29, 2024

Last week, IONS matched Ultragenyx’s Angelman benefit, with maybe better safety. PFE and SGMO had approvable gene therapy results in hemophilia A,...

Water Tower Research

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.22) - CR Sanjiu's Trouble, Weight-Loss Drug Market Saturation, Keymed

​Anhui's VBP includes OTC TCM, challenging CR Sanjiu's pricing autonomy. There are concerns about weight-loss drug market saturation. CM310 missing...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

BioAge Labs IPO Preview: Investor Focus Has Turned To Azelaprag, A Huge Market Potential

California-based BioAge Labs files for an IPO and plans to raise capital for clinical trials of their lead compound, Azelaprag, in combination with...

Andrei Zakharov

Biopharma Week in Review - September 16, 2024

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&A.

Water Tower Research

Biopharma Week in Review - August 12, 2024

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&A.

Water Tower Research

Biopharma Week in Review - Jul 29, 2024

Last week, IONS matched Ultragenyx’s Angelman benefit, with maybe better safety. PFE and SGMO had approvable gene therapy results in hemophilia A,...

Water Tower Research

Anhui's VBP includes OTC TCM, challenging CR Sanjiu's pricing autonomy. There are concerns about weight-loss drug market saturation. CM310 missing...