Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.</li><li>Roche Holding Ltd. (RHHBY) reported initial Phase 1 data for oral GLP-1R agonist CT-996 in obesity patients, showing a 6.1% placebo-adjusted weight loss (p&lt;0.001) at four weeks.</li><li>While the weight loss compares favorably with approved injectables at four weeks (1-3% adjusted), the lack of details in the CT996 data, like baseline body weight, limits any cross-trial comparison. </li></ul>

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.Roche Holding Ltd. (RHHBY) reported initial Phase 1 data for oral GLP-1R agonist CT-996 in obesity patients, showing a 6.1% placebo-adjusted weight loss (p&lt;0.001) at four weeks.While the weight loss compares favorably with approved injectables at four weeks (1-3% adjusted), the lack of details in the CT996 data, like baseline body weight, limits any cross-trial comparison. 

<ul><li>We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.</li><li>Morphic Holding, Inc. (MORF) agreed to be acquired by Eli Lilly and Co. (LLY) for $3.2 billion or $57/share in cash, with value primarily driven by lead drug MORF-057, an oral α4β7 integrin inhibitor, in Phase 2s for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). MORF-057 looks to compete against injectable biologics in the large UC and Crohn’s markets, aiming for similar efficacy, better safety, and oral convenience.</li><li>Morphic’s novel drug shares the same target as Takeda’s Entyvio, a successful anti-α4β7 antibody. MORF was up 75% last Monday.</li></ul>

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.Morphic Holding, Inc. (MORF) agreed to be acquired by Eli Lilly and Co. (LLY) for $3.2 billion or $57/share in cash, with value primarily driven by lead drug MORF-057, an oral α4β7 integrin inhibitor, in Phase 2s for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). MORF-057 looks to compete against injectable biologics in the large UC and Crohn’s markets, aiming for similar efficacy, better safety, and oral convenience.Morphic’s novel drug shares the same target as Takeda’s Entyvio, a successful anti-α4β7 antibody. MORF was up 75% last Monday.

<ul><li>We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.</li><li>Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) received FDA approval for donanemab (Kisunla) in early Alzheimer’s, which was largely expected following unanimous support from the June AdComm and multiple delays.</li><li>The cost of Kisunla is $32K/year, which is at a premium to Leqembi (Biogen, Inc. [BIIB]/Eisai Co., Ltd. [ESAIY]) at $26.5K/year, but total cost per patient should be lower for Kisunla, as treatment can be stopped with amyloid clearance.</li></ul>

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) received FDA approval for donanemab (Kisunla) in early Alzheimer’s, which was largely expected following unanimous support from the June AdComm and multiple delays.The cost of Kisunla is $32K/year, which is at a premium to Leqembi (Biogen, Inc. [BIIB]/Eisai Co., Ltd. [ESAIY]) at $26.5K/year, but total cost per patient should be lower for Kisunla, as treatment can be stopped with amyloid clearance.

<ul>
<li>We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.</li>
<li>We recapped our IOC of Ainos, Inc. (AIMD) in a FlashCast Podcast. Those interested can listen to the episode on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.</li>
<li>Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ALNY) reported strong vutrisiran Phase 3 HELIOS-B results for ATTR-CM, showing a significant 28% reduction in the primary composite endpoint of mortality and CV events for all patients (HR=0.718, p=0.0118) and a 33% reduction for the mono subset (HR=0.672, p=0.0162) versus placebo. </li>
</ul>


We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.
We recapped our IOC of Ainos, Inc. (AIMD) in a FlashCast Podcast. Those interested can listen to the episode on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ALNY) reported strong vutrisiran Phase 3 HELIOS-B results for ATTR-CM, showing a significant 28% reduction in the primary composite endpoint of mortality and CV events for all patients (HR=0.718, p=0.0118) and a 33% reduction for the mono subset (HR=0.672, p=0.0162) versus placebo. 


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. We continue to recommend buying dips as long as MSCI $ACWI and $EEM remain above important supports at $110 and $41-$42, respectively.</li>
<li>We are reiterating Japan as an Overweight -- Add Exposure; Nikkei 225, TOPIX, TOPIX Small All Breaking Out. And 2+ year RS uptrends remain intact on TOPIX and Nikkei 225</li>
<li>We take a break from recommending Technology (though we are still bullish) and highlight buys within global Energy, Health Care, Telecommunications, and Utilities</li>
</ul>


Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. We continue to recommend buying dips as long as MSCI $ACWI and $EEM remain above important supports at $110 and $41-$42, respectively.
We are reiterating Japan as an Overweight -- Add Exposure; Nikkei 225, TOPIX, TOPIX Small All Breaking Out. And 2+ year RS uptrends remain intact on TOPIX and Nikkei 225
We take a break from recommending Technology (though we are still bullish) and highlight buys within global Energy, Health Care, Telecommunications, and Utilities


Reiterating Japan Overweight -- Add Exposure; Nikkei 225, TOPIX, TOPIX Small All Breaking Out

Denmark

Novo Nordisk A/S develops, produces, and markets pharmaceutical products. The Company focuses on diabetes care and offers insulin delivery systems and other diabetes products. Novo Nordisk also works in areas such as haemostatis management, growth disorders, and hormone replacement therapy. The Company offers educational and training materials. Novo Nordisk markets worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO US)

Biopharma Week in Review - Jul 22, 2024

Roche Holding Ltd. (RHHBY) reported initial Phase 1 data for oral GLP-1R agonist CT-996 in obesity patients, showing a 6.1% placebo-adjusted weight...

Water Tower Research

Biopharma Week in Review - July 15, 2024

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&A.

Water Tower Research

Biopharma Week in Review - Jul 8, 2024

The cost of Kisunla is $32K/year, which is at a premium to Leqembi (Biogen, Inc. [BIIB]/Eisai Co., Ltd. [ESAIY]) at $26.5K/year, but total cost per...

Water Tower Research

Biopharma Week in Review - July 1, 2024

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&A.

Water Tower Research

Reiterating Japan Overweight -- Add Exposure; Nikkei 225, TOPIX, TOPIX Small All Breaking Out

Reiterating Japan Overweight; $Nikkei 225, $TOPIX, TOPIX Small, $DXJ All Breaking Out with 2+ year RS uptrends intact on Nikkei and TOPIX. Still...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)