Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 INDEX</a> is initiating a pullback that should be a buy-the-dip opportunity. </li>
<li>The first buyable area for a LONG trade, this week, is 39600 and 39300 (this week) and down to 38100 (next week).</li>
<li>The index should restart its rally after the pullback, and there is a good chance the pullback won't last for more than 1-2 weeks.</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei 225 INDEX is initiating a pullback that should be a buy-the-dip opportunity. 
The first buyable area for a LONG trade, this week, is 39600 and 39300 (this week) and down to 38100 (next week).
The index should restart its rally after the pullback, and there is a good chance the pullback won't last for more than 1-2 weeks.


EQD | Nikkei 225 Pullback: Buy-The-Dip Opportunity

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> has been rising for 2 weeks and it is starting to be overbought.</li>
<li>The index may rise for another week (this week) according to our models, then the chances for a WEEKLY pullback will become substantial.</li>
<li>Look at resistance targets in the 37200-37900 price area to place SHORT trades, target 1 week, then close the trade.</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) has been rising for 2 weeks and it is starting to be overbought.
The index may rise for another week (this week) according to our models, then the chances for a WEEKLY pullback will become substantial.
Look at resistance targets in the 37200-37900 price area to place SHORT trades, target 1 week, then close the trade.


EQD | The Nikkei 225 Rally Can Continue But Resistance Is Near...

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

<ul>
<li>We introduce a new section this month showing implied vol vs average absolute December price movement. A good way to screen for straddle candidates for the month ahead.</li>
<li>Implied vols came in hard in November with the US election and the FOMC in the rear-view mirror.</li>
<li>Price performance across markets especially strong in the final week of the month with SP500, Nifty and SPASX200 postive on the month ~ 70% of the time. </li>
</ul>


We introduce a new section this month showing implied vol vs average absolute December price movement. A good way to screen for straddle candidates for the month ahead.
Implied vols came in hard in November with the US election and the FOMC in the rear-view mirror.
Price performance across markets especially strong in the final week of the month with SP500, Nifty and SPASX200 postive on the month ~ 70% of the time. 


EQD | Asia December Vol Roadmap - The Big Exhale

<ul>
<li>The seasonal matrix indicates a possibility for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> to continue its current rally into April and that rally should end in May. </li>
<li>The index at the moment is very overbought, we expect some form of WEEKLY pullback soon, please consult <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/eqd-nikkei-225-weekly-lift-off-can-it-go-higher" target="_blank" rel="noopener">our previous insight</a> to find the WEEKLY resistance levels.</li>
<li>The pullback should be seen as a WEEKLY pullback within a larger, longer MONTHLY (multi-month) uptrend, i.e. an opportunity to buy and/or add positions at better prices. </li>
</ul>


The seasonal matrix indicates a possibility for the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) to continue its current rally into April and that rally should end in May. 
The index at the moment is very overbought, we expect some form of WEEKLY pullback soon, please consult our previous insight to find the WEEKLY resistance levels.
The pullback should be seen as a WEEKLY pullback within a larger, longer MONTHLY (multi-month) uptrend, i.e. an opportunity to buy and/or add positions at better prices. 


EQD | Nikkei 225 - MONTHLY Rally Trajectory Analysis + Resistance Targets

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 INDEX</a> experienced a 1-week explosive rally, last week, reaching nearly +6.6% higher than the previous week's Close.</li>
<li>The index is now very overbought, can it continue to rise next week? and and how much higher can it go?</li>
<li>Go SHORT in the 36000-38350 price area, but the trade is not without risk.</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei 225 INDEX experienced a 1-week explosive rally, last week, reaching nearly +6.6% higher than the previous week's Close.
The index is now very overbought, can it continue to rise next week? and and how much higher can it go?
Go SHORT in the 36000-38350 price area, but the trade is not without risk.


EQD | Nikkei 225 WEEKLY Lift Off: Can It Go Higher?

Japan

The Nikkei-225 Stock Average is a price-weighted average of 225 top-rated Japanese companies listed in the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The Nikkei Stock Average was first published on May 16, 1949, where the average price was ¥176.21 with a divisor of 225. 

Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)

EQD | Nikkei 225 Pullback: Buy-The-Dip Opportunity

The Nikkei 225 INDEX is experiencing a pullback, presenting a potential buy-the-dip opportunity. The pullback is expected to be short-lived, with...

Nico Rosti

EQD | The Nikkei 225 Rally Can Continue But Resistance Is Near...

The Nikkei 225 has been rising for 2 weeks and is becoming overbought. It may continue to rise for another week before a potential pullback....

Nico Rosti

EQD | Asia December Vol Roadmap - The Big Exhale

New section introduced to compare implied volatility with average price movement in December, useful for identifying straddle candidates. Implied...

John Ley

EQD | Nikkei 225 - MONTHLY Rally Trajectory Analysis + Resistance Targets

Based on our seasonal patterns models the Nikkei 225 could continue rallying into May, but a WEEKLY pullback is due soon. This is an opportunity...

Nico Rosti

EQD | Nikkei 225 WEEKLY Lift Off: Can It Go Higher?

The Nikkei 225 INDEX had a strong rally last week, but it is now overbought and there are doubts about its ability to continue rising. A short...

Nico Rosti

EQD | Nikkei 225 Pullback: Buy-The-Dip Opportunity

​The Nikkei 225 INDEX is experiencing a pullback, presenting a potential buy-the-dip opportunity. The pullback is expected to be short-lived, with...

Nico Rosti

EQD | The Nikkei 225 Rally Can Continue But Resistance Is Near...

​The Nikkei 225 has been rising for 2 weeks and is becoming overbought. It may continue to rise for another week before a potential pullback....

Nico Rosti

EQD | Asia December Vol Roadmap - The Big Exhale

​New section introduced to compare implied volatility with average price movement in December, useful for identifying straddle candidates. Implied...

John Ley

EQD | Nikkei 225 - MONTHLY Rally Trajectory Analysis + Resistance Targets

​Based on our seasonal patterns models the Nikkei 225 could continue rallying into May, but a WEEKLY pullback is due soon. This is an opportunity...

Nico Rosti

EQD | Nikkei 225 WEEKLY Lift Off: Can It Go Higher?

​The Nikkei 225 INDEX had a strong rally last week, but it is now overbought and there are doubts about its ability to continue rising. A short...

Nico Rosti

The Nikkei 225 INDEX is experiencing a pullback, presenting a potential buy-the-dip opportunity. The pullback is expected to be short-lived, with...

The Nikkei 225 has been rising for 2 weeks and is becoming overbought. It may continue to rise for another week before a potential pullback....

New section introduced to compare implied volatility with average price movement in December, useful for identifying straddle candidates. Implied...

Based on our seasonal patterns models the Nikkei 225 could continue rallying into May, but a WEEKLY pullback is due soon. This is an opportunity...

The Nikkei 225 INDEX had a strong rally last week, but it is now overbought and there are doubts about its ability to continue rising. A short...