Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

I have been working for +17 years as a quantitative researcher, offering my investment research insights to investors through two private companies I have founded (Retracement Levels Ltd. and QUANTRADING AG); more recently I worked as a Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC, a CTA based in Austin, Texas (USA), where I developed and ran automated algorithmic trading strategies for the US Futures and Options markets. 

My research work is focused on the statistical study of the "persistence of trends" and "mean reversion" effects in global Equities, Futures, Indexes, Bonds and FX Spot markets. I have created an original proprietary process (called the "Market Reversal Matrix" or "MRM") that makes extensive use of probabilistic Bayesian models to predict short-term (1 day to few weeks) trend reversals.

I do not use any AI/machine learning processes in my work: all models and algorithms are built and supervised by humans. This approach is very labour-intensive but produces forecasts that have a clearly understandable/explainable rationale (no black-boxes).

Quantitative Researcher

EQD | Nikkei 225 Pullback: Buy-The-Dip Opportunity

EQD | Nikkei 225 - MONTHLY Rally Trajectory Analysis + Resistance Targets

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> has been rising for 2 weeks and it is starting to be overbought.</li>
<li>The index may rise for another week (this week) according to our models, then the chances for a WEEKLY pullback will become substantial.</li>
<li>Look at resistance targets in the 37200-37900 price area to place SHORT trades, target 1 week, then close the trade.</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) has been rising for 2 weeks and it is starting to be overbought.
The index may rise for another week (this week) according to our models, then the chances for a WEEKLY pullback will become substantial.
Look at resistance targets in the 37200-37900 price area to place SHORT trades, target 1 week, then close the trade.


EQD | The Nikkei 225 Rally Can Continue But Resistance Is Near...