Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

Apollo Hospitals Enterprise / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>As expected, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apollo-hospitals-enterprise" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:880:1" rel="noopener">Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APHS IN)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-oil-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7781:1" rel="noopener">Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> after the close of trading on 30 March.</li>
<li>The index methodology has been changed to make new listings eligible for index inclusion if they complete one month by the review cutoff date, down from three months earlier.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 0.63% and will result in a one-way trade of around INR 14bn. Passive trackers will have a lot to trade on the stocks.</li>
</ul>


As expected, Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APHS IN) will replace Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN) in the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) after the close of trading on 30 March.
The index methodology has been changed to make new listings eligible for index inclusion if they complete one month by the review cutoff date, down from three months earlier.
Estimated one-way turnover is 0.63% and will result in a one-way trade of around INR 14bn. Passive trackers will have a lot to trade on the stocks.


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: Apollo Hospitals to Replace IOC

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng announced the results of the March rebalance post market close Friday. Two adds for the HSI, one set of changes for HSCEI, three sets for HSTECH.</li>
<li>An ad hoc rebalance was announced for the KOSDAQ150 following Osstem being designated an 'Administrative Issue'. In IPO world, we have LIC in India and SBI Sumishin NetBank coming up.</li>
<li>Friday was the review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the ASX200 Index. The ATO has provided Aventus with the tax ruling and that creates a timing issue.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng announced the results of the March rebalance post market close Friday. Two adds for the HSI, one set of changes for HSCEI, three sets for HSTECH.
An ad hoc rebalance was announced for the KOSDAQ150 following Osstem being designated an 'Administrative Issue'. In IPO world, we have LIC in India and SBI Sumishin NetBank coming up.
Friday was the review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the ASX200 Index. The ATO has provided Aventus with the tax ruling and that creates a timing issue.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, S&P/ASX, SET50, LIC, SBI Sumishin, Crown

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Thomas Schroeder

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Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>After reducing our long at 17,800 the decline has been more aggressive with downside gaps and a concern going forward for India.</li>
<li>Recent price action is heavy but nearing support to stage a comeback that may fail to impress.</li>
<li>Conviction sides with shorting a rally sequence into late February that sets up a bigger short down to the 16k if not 15,500 targets.</li>
</ul>


After reducing our long at 17,800 the decline has been more aggressive with downside gaps and a concern going forward for India.
Recent price action is heavy but nearing support to stage a comeback that may fail to impress.
Conviction sides with shorting a rally sequence into late February that sets up a bigger short down to the 16k if not 15,500 targets.


<ul>
<li>The review period for the NIFTY 100 Index ended on 31 Jan. The rebalance will be effective after the close on 30 March and the announcement will come end February.</li>
<li>Potential inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-media-pvt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mindtree-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7297:1" rel="noopener">Mindtree Ltd (MTCL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/srf-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3601:1" rel="noopener">SRF Ltd (SRF IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-railway-catering-and-tourism-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33951:1" rel="noopener">Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15618:1" rel="noopener">Tata Power (TPWR IN)</a>. </li>
<li>Potential deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yes-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:767:1" rel="noopener">Yes Bank (YES IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indraprastha-gas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6969:1" rel="noopener">Indraprastha Gas (IGL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jindal-steel-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6614:1" rel="noopener">Jindal Steel &amp; Power (JSP IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aurobindo-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19974:1" rel="noopener">Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-petroleum-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19342:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Petroleum (HPCL IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The review period for the NIFTY 100 Index ended on 31 Jan. The rebalance will be effective after the close on 30 March and the announcement will come end February.
Potential inclusions are Zomato (ZOMATO IN), Mindtree Ltd (MTCL IN), SRF Ltd (SRF IN), Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN) and Tata Power (TPWR IN). 
Potential deletions are Yes Bank (YES IN), Indraprastha Gas (IGL IN), Jindal Steel &amp; Power (JSP IN), Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN) and Hindustan Petroleum (HPCL IN). 


NIFTY100/NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Five Potential Changes in March

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> ends 31 January. We see 2 potential changes at the rebalance which should be announced end February.</li>
<li>There is a high probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apollo-hospitals-enterprise" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:880:1" rel="noopener">Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APHS IN)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-oil-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7781:1" rel="noopener">Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN)</a>, while there is a lower probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/info-edge-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14461:1" rel="noopener">Info Edge India</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coal-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9117:1" rel="noopener">Coal India Ltd</a>.</li>
<li>The impact on the stocks is between 3-9 days of ADV, while the impact increases to between 9-22 days of delivery volume.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) ends 31 January. We see 2 potential changes at the rebalance which should be announced end February.
There is a high probability of Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APHS IN) replacing Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN), while there is a lower probability of Info Edge India replacing Coal India Ltd.
The impact on the stocks is between 3-9 days of ADV, while the impact increases to between 9-22 days of delivery volume.


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Potential Changes in March

India

The NIFTY 50 index is National Stock Exchange of India's benchmark stock market index for Indian equity market. Nifty is owned and managed by India Index Services and Products (IISL), which is a wholly owned subsidiary of the NSE Strategic Investment Corporation Limited.

NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)

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