Head of Trading/ Partner, AceGama Advisors

Sankalp Singh

Head of Trading/ Partner

Proprietary Trading Desk

AceGama Advisors

Trading desk specializing in the Listed & OTC options strategies for risk management & investment purposes.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>IVs have moved to new lows for the summer, breaking below the floor set through June &amp; July. Nifty50 IVs now trading at 11.0% levels.</li>
<li>Spectacular turnaround in IVs since early-August vol-spike. In spite of this, Vol Regime remains steady in its "High &amp; Down" vol-state.  </li>
<li>Nifty50 Vol surface characteristics have compressed for Monthly-expiry contracts. Smile &amp; Skew for Quarterly contracts remain unchanged.</li>
</ul>


IVs have moved to new lows for the summer, breaking below the floor set through June &amp; July. Nifty50 IVs now trading at 11.0% levels.
Spectacular turnaround in IVs since early-August vol-spike. In spite of this, Vol Regime remains steady in its "High &amp; Down" vol-state.  
Nifty50 Vol surface characteristics have compressed for Monthly-expiry contracts. Smile &amp; Skew for Quarterly contracts remain unchanged.


EQD / NSE Vol Update / Smile & Skew Compress as Vols Trade to New Summer Lows

<ul>
<li>IVs Spike with Election Results release on 04-June-2024. Post event there's a risk of large IV-crush regardless of the result.</li>
<li>Current Vol-state is "High &amp; Up". Wait for the switch to "High &amp; Down" before initiating new risk-premia harvesting strategies</li>
<li>Weekly IVs have received large markups due to elections. Entire Vol Curve is now in Backwardation -  curve inversion at extreme levels</li>
</ul>


IVs Spike with Election Results release on 04-June-2024. Post event there's a risk of large IV-crush regardless of the result.
Current Vol-state is "High &amp; Up". Wait for the switch to "High &amp; Down" before initiating new risk-premia harvesting strategies
Weekly IVs have received large markups due to elections. Entire Vol Curve is now in Backwardation -  curve inversion at extreme levels


EQD / Weekly Vol Update / IVs Spike with Election Results Round the Corner

<ul>
<li>Risk premia higher early in the week as Local Markets are disappointed with MSCI decision regarding HDFC Bank. IVs get marked up across the board.</li>
<li>Positive Global Macro data bolsters Equity Markets later in the week. IVs trade lower. Smile &amp; Skew characteristics compress as well and Vol Term-structure flattened out.    </li>
<li>Vol Regime Model retains "High &amp; Down" state. Short Iron Condor/ Short Iron Butterfly type structures recommended to align with the current volatility environment.</li>
</ul>


Risk premia higher early in the week as Local Markets are disappointed with MSCI decision regarding HDFC Bank. IVs get marked up across the board.
Positive Global Macro data bolsters Equity Markets later in the week. IVs trade lower. Smile &amp; Skew characteristics compress as well and Vol Term-structure flattened out.    
Vol Regime Model retains "High &amp; Down" state. Short Iron Condor/ Short Iron Butterfly type structures recommended to align with the current volatility environment.


EQD / NSE Vol Update / IVs Oscillate  - Reacting First To MSCI-HDFC News & Later to U.S. Inflation

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsw-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18561:1" rel="noopener">JSW Steel Ltd (JSTL IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX)</a> at the close on 20 December.</li>
<li>This is the first of many potential inclusions for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato</a> in local indices over the next few months and is due to inclusion of the stock in the F&amp;O segment.</li>
<li>Futures and options in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a> start trading from the open on 29 November. Expect increased volatility in the short-term and an increase in traded volumes.</li>
</ul>



Zomato (ZOMATO IN) will replace JSW Steel Ltd (JSTL IN) in the S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX) at the close on 20 December.
This is the first of many potential inclusions for Zomato in local indices over the next few months and is due to inclusion of the stock in the F&amp;O segment.
Futures and options in Zomato (ZOMATO IN) start trading from the open on 29 November. Expect increased volatility in the short-term and an increase in traded volumes.


SENSEX Index Rebalance: F&O Inclusion Brings First of Many Index Inclusions for Zomato

<ul>
<li>IVs move higher in a controlled manner relative to U.S. markets. Combination of technical factors put a dampener on the Options Markets &amp; IV turn lower by Week's end.</li>
<li>Many determining factors underwent changes in Vol-Regime Model  - but threshold to switch out of "High &amp; Down" state not achieved.</li>
<li>Smile &amp; Skew characteristics blow out significantly on the open but settle at lower levels by week's close.</li>
</ul>


IVs move higher in a controlled manner relative to U.S. markets. Combination of technical factors put a dampener on the Options Markets &amp; IV turn lower by Week's end.
Many determining factors underwent changes in Vol-Regime Model  - but threshold to switch out of "High &amp; Down" state not achieved.
Smile &amp; Skew characteristics blow out significantly on the open but settle at lower levels by week's close.


EQD / NSE Vol Update / Controlled Detonation in Vols - Initial Jump Followed by Calmer Levels

India

The NIFTY 50 index is National Stock Exchange of India's benchmark stock market index for Indian equity market. Nifty is owned and managed by India Index Services and Products (IISL), which is a wholly owned subsidiary of the NSE Strategic Investment Corporation Limited.

NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)

EQD / NSE Vol Update / Smile & Skew Compress as Vols Trade to New Summer Lows

Nifty50 IVs hit new summer lows at 11.0%, despite early-August spike. Volatility regime remains steady in "High & Down" state. Smile/ Skew...

AceGama Advisors

EQD / Weekly Vol Update / IVs Spike with Election Results Round the Corner

Vols spiking! Risk of IV-crush post elections. Wait for Vol regime switch to "High & Down" to initiate new short Gamma positions. Vol Curve...

AceGama Advisors

EQD / NSE Vol Update / IVs Oscillate - Reacting First To MSCI-HDFC News & Later to U.S. Inflation

IVs react to negative news w.r.t. MSCI-HDFC decision & later to positive Global Macro data. Eventually IVs close lower on Weekly basis. Volatility...

AceGama Advisors

SENSEX Index Rebalance: F&O Inclusion Brings First of Many Index Inclusions for Zomato

Zomato will replace JSW Steel in the Sensex after close on 20 Dec. Zomato is also expected to be added to other indices over the next few months....

Brian Freitas

EQD / NSE Vol Update / Controlled Detonation in Vols - Initial Jump Followed by Calmer Levels

MSCI's decides to split HDFC Bank's re-weighting between August & November 2024. HDFC Bank down -3.5% as a result, dragging BankNifty & Nifty50...

AceGama Advisors

EQD / NSE Vol Update / Smile & Skew Compress as Vols Trade to New Summer Lows

​Nifty50 IVs hit new summer lows at 11.0%, despite early-August spike. Volatility regime remains steady in "High & Down" state. Smile/ Skew...

AceGama Advisors

EQD / Weekly Vol Update / IVs Spike with Election Results Round the Corner

​Vols spiking! Risk of IV-crush post elections. Wait for Vol regime switch to "High & Down" to initiate new short Gamma positions. Vol Curve...

AceGama Advisors

EQD / NSE Vol Update / IVs Oscillate - Reacting First To MSCI-HDFC News & Later to U.S. Inflation

​IVs react to negative news w.r.t. MSCI-HDFC decision & later to positive Global Macro data. Eventually IVs close lower on Weekly basis. Volatility...

AceGama Advisors

SENSEX Index Rebalance: F&O Inclusion Brings First of Many Index Inclusions for Zomato

Zomato will replace JSW Steel in the Sensex after close on 20 Dec. Zomato is also expected to be added to other indices over the next few months....

Brian Freitas

EQD / NSE Vol Update / Controlled Detonation in Vols - Initial Jump Followed by Calmer Levels

MSCI's decides to split HDFC Bank's re-weighting between August & November 2024. HDFC Bank down -3.5% as a result, dragging BankNifty & Nifty50...

AceGama Advisors

Nifty50 IVs hit new summer lows at 11.0%, despite early-August spike. Volatility regime remains steady in "High & Down" state. Smile/ Skew...

Vols spiking! Risk of IV-crush post elections. Wait for Vol regime switch to "High & Down" to initiate new short Gamma positions. Vol Curve...

IVs react to negative news w.r.t. MSCI-HDFC decision & later to positive Global Macro data. Eventually IVs close lower on Weekly basis. Volatility...