China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Nayuki/Luckin: Food safety issue happened on one store of Mixue</li>
<li>981.HK/1347.HK/ACMR: Tax authorities increase the tax-deductible amount for R&amp;D (+)</li>
<li>LI: LI's latest weekly sales were unaffected by Wenjie (+)</li>
</ul>


Nayuki/Luckin: Food safety issue happened on one store of Mixue
981.HK/1347.HK/ACMR: Tax authorities increase the tax-deductible amount for R&amp;D (+)
LI: LI's latest weekly sales were unaffected by Wenjie (+)


China TMT Update-Nayuki/Luckin/981.HK/1347.HK/ACMR/LI-Food Safety Issue/Increase the Tax-Deductible

<ul>
<li>Real Estate Industry Update: Zhengzhou fully cancel the home purchase and selling restrictions, an d lower the residential properties’ downpayment ratios（+）</li>
<li>NIO/ 300750CH: Nio Plans to Develop Cylindrical Battery with SVOLT (-)</li>
<li>2150HK: Nayuki co-brand woth Mint App’s new product, tea and coffee houses are becoming new marketing channels（+）</li>
</ul>


Real Estate Industry Update: Zhengzhou fully cancel the home purchase and selling restrictions, an d lower the residential properties’ downpayment ratios（+）
NIO/ 300750CH: Nio Plans to Develop Cylindrical Battery with SVOLT (-)
2150HK: Nayuki co-brand woth Mint App’s new product, tea and coffee houses are becoming new marketing channels（+）


China TMT Update-BEKE/NIO/300750CH/2150HK-Zhengzhou Cancel Restrictions;Nio Cylindrical Battery

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain BUY but trimmed TP to HK$ 7.53, based on 20x FY24E P/E (changed from our DCF model).</li><li>While we are still cautious about the consumer demand in 2H23E, we are also excited about the new franchising programme.</li><li>1H23 result was roughly inline but sales per store was far from exceptional. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Maintain BUY but trimmed TP to HK$ 7.53, based on 20x FY24E P/E (changed from our DCF model).While we are still cautious about the consumer demand in 2H23E, we are also excited about the new franchising programme.1H23 result was roughly inline but sales per store was far from exceptional. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Nayuki Holdings Limited (2150 HK) – Guidance Revised and Franchising Is the Key

<ul>
<li>Real Estate Industry Update: Housing bureaus in China’s first tier cities pledge to draft supportive policy on home purchase（+）</li>
<li>2150HK: Nayuki teahouse average store revenue remains flattish YoY in July 2023（/）</li>
<li>LI/NIO/XPEV: Li Auto, NIO and Xpeng update August vehicle delivery results (+/+//)</li>
</ul>


Real Estate Industry Update: Housing bureaus in China’s first tier cities pledge to draft supportive policy on home purchase（+）
2150HK: Nayuki teahouse average store revenue remains flattish YoY in July 2023（/）
LI/NIO/XPEV: Li Auto, NIO and Xpeng update August vehicle delivery results (+/+//)


China TMT Update-BEKE/2150.HK/LI/NIO/XPEV-Supportive Policy on Home Purchase;August Vehicle Delivery

<ul>
<li>Our 1H23 revenue estimate is 8.7% lower than consensus, and we expect 1H23 NPM at breakeven vs. consensus at 5%。</li>
<li>Mainly because teahouse brands in China had suffered the intensified competition from the price war in Coffee industry.</li>
<li>We maintain the stock as BUY rating as the margin improvement process is gradual showing effect, while we lower TP by US$2 to US$9.3 to reflect the intensified competition pressure.</li>
</ul>


Our 1H23 revenue estimate is 8.7% lower than consensus, and we expect 1H23 NPM at breakeven vs. consensus at 5%。
Mainly because teahouse brands in China had suffered the intensified competition from the price war in Coffee industry.
We maintain the stock as BUY rating as the margin improvement process is gradual showing effect, while we lower TP by US$2 to US$9.3 to reflect the intensified competition pressure.


[Nayuki (2150 HK, BUY, TP HK$9.3) TP Change]: Store Operating Profit Margin Improvement On-Track

Hong Kong

Nayuki Holdings Limited operates as a holding compnay. The Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and retails tea and bakery products. Nayuki serves customers in China.

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Nayuki Holdings (2150 HK)

China TMT Update-Nayuki/Luckin/981.HK/1347.HK/ACMR/LI-Food Safety Issue/Increase the Tax-Deductible

Nayuki/Luckin: Food safety issue happened on one store of Mixue; 981.HK/1347.HK/ACMR: Tax authorities increase the tax-deductible amount/LI: LI's...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China TMT Update-BEKE/NIO/300750CH/2150HK-Zhengzhou Cancel Restrictions;Nio Cylindrical Battery

Zhengzhou fully cancel the home purchase and selling restrictions; NIO/300750CH:Nio Plans to Develop Cylindrical Battery with SVOLT (-); 2150HK:...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Nayuki Holdings Limited (2150 HK) – Guidance Revised and Franchising Is the Key

While we are still cautious about the consumer demand in 2H23E, we are also excited about the new franchising programme.

CMB International

China TMT Update-BEKE/2150.HK/LI/NIO/XPEV-Supportive Policy on Home Purchase;August Vehicle Delivery

China’s first tier cities draft supportive policy on home purchase;Nayuki teahouse average store revenue remains flattish YoY;LI/NIO/XPEV: Li Auto,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Nayuki (2150 HK, BUY, TP HK$9.3) TP Change]: Store Operating Profit Margin Improvement On-Track

We maintain the stock as BUY rating as the margin improvement process is gradual showing effect, while we lower TP by US$2 to US$9.3 to reflect the...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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