Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>1347 HK/ACMR US: Hua Hong Wuxi Fab Phase II begins tool move-in (+/+)</li>
<li>1810 HK/BIDU US/0175 HK: “Xiaomi criticized for selling cars at a loss” goes viral (+/-/-)</li>
<li>2150 HK:Nayuki's First Overseas Flagship Store Opens in Thailand (+)</li>
</ul>


1347 HK/ACMR US: Hua Hong Wuxi Fab Phase II begins tool move-in (+/+)
1810 HK/BIDU US/0175 HK: “Xiaomi criticized for selling cars at a loss” goes viral (+/-/-)
2150 HK:Nayuki's First Overseas Flagship Store Opens in Thailand (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1347HK/ACMR/1810HK/BIDU/175HK/1211HK/NIO/XPEV/TSLA/LI/2150HK/1519HK/ZTO/1810HK

Andy Fu

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On August 7th, Meituan's on-demand order volume reached a historical high of 98mn on surging orders from street drinks. Meituan has connected to the backend systems of street drink vendors;</li>
<li>Delivery order is a double-edged sword. It boosts volume at the expense of margin. Further, the ownership of the volume is questionable;</li>
<li>With Pin-hao-fan, Meituan already atomized the small restaurants. Now Meituan is playing the same trick with street drinks. The result will be more dramatic to the benefit of Meituan.</li>
</ul>


On August 7th, Meituan's on-demand order volume reached a historical high of 98mn on surging orders from street drinks. Meituan has connected to the backend systems of street drink vendors;
Delivery order is a double-edged sword. It boosts volume at the expense of margin. Further, the ownership of the volume is questionable;
With Pin-hao-fan, Meituan already atomized the small restaurants. Now Meituan is playing the same trick with street drinks. The result will be more dramatic to the benefit of Meituan.


O2O Playing a More Prominent Role in China Street Drinks

<ul>
<li>1211 HK: BYD and Uber reach agreement to launch 100,000 vehicles globally (/)</li>
<li>AAPL US: Huawei double-hinge folding device has begun production (-)</li>
<li>Macro News Update: The State Council Releases the "Opinions on Promoting High-Quality Development of Service Consumption," Primarily Focusing on Supply-Side Improvement.(+)</li>
</ul>


1211 HK: BYD and Uber reach agreement to launch 100,000 vehicles globally (/)
AAPL US: Huawei double-hinge folding device has begun production (-)
Macro News Update: The State Council Releases the "Opinions on Promoting High-Quality Development of Service Consumption," Primarily Focusing on Supply-Side Improvement.(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/AAPL US/2150 HK/Macro News Update/Consumer Industry Update

<ul>
<li>1211 HK/LI US /1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US: In the 26th week of 2024 (6/24-6/30), new energy vehicles strengthened across the board, mainly due to consumption subsidies（/////////）</li>
<li>MNSO US: Indonesia Plans to Impose 100%-200% Tariffs on Chinese Imports (-)</li>
<li>Macro News Update: Expectations Rise for Consumption Tax Reform (+)</li>
</ul>


1211 HK/LI US /1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US: In the 26th week of 2024 (6/24-6/30), new energy vehicles strengthened across the board, mainly due to consumption subsidies（/////////）
MNSO US: Indonesia Plans to Impose 100%-200% Tariffs on Chinese Imports (-)
Macro News Update: Expectations Rise for Consumption Tax Reform (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/LI US /1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US/MNSO US/981 HK/BEKE US/2150 HK

<ul>
<li>Luckin launched lemonade drinks with raging success of 5.08 mn cups sold for the first week, ~10% of store sales. Market cheered to send the stock higher;  </li>
<li>We view it with mixed feelings. While it is margin accretive and sales enhancing,  is not conducive to improving coffee penetration and cultivating consumers' habit for drinking coffee;</li>
<li>We see Luckin as increasingly one of, instead of the, street drink company, because lemonade is actually the top selling SKU of all milk tea vendors in China. </li>
</ul>


Luckin launched lemonade drinks with raging success of 5.08 mn cups sold for the first week, ~10% of store sales. Market cheered to send the stock higher;  
We view it with mixed feelings. While it is margin accretive and sales enhancing,  is not conducive to improving coffee penetration and cultivating consumers' habit for drinking coffee;
We see Luckin as increasingly one of, instead of the, street drink company, because lemonade is actually the top selling SKU of all milk tea vendors in China. 


Luckin's Small Step into Non-Coffee Drinks Is a Big Step of Its Future Directions

Hong Kong

Nayuki Holdings Limited operates as a holding compnay. The Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and retails tea and bakery products. Nayuki serves customers in China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Nayuki Holdings (2150 HK)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1347HK/ACMR/1810HK/BIDU/175HK/1211HK/NIO/XPEV/TSLA/LI/2150HK/1519HK/ZTO/1810HK

Hua Hong Wuxi Fab Phase II starts tool move-in, Xiaomi faces backlash for selling cars at a loss, Nayuki opens first overseas store in Thailand.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

O2O Playing a More Prominent Role in China Street Drinks

Meituan benefits from surge in delivery orders for street drinks, reaching record high order volume on August 7. Street drink brands are more rely...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/AAPL US/2150 HK/Macro News Update/Consumer Industry Update

BYD and Uber partner to deploy 100,000 vehicles worldwide, Huawei starts production on double-hinge folding device, China's State Council...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/LI US /1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US/MNSO US/981 HK/BEKE US/2150 HK

New energy vehicles see growth in 26th week of 2024 due to consumption subsidies; Indonesia plans high tariffs on Chinese imports; expectations...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Luckin's Small Step into Non-Coffee Drinks Is a Big Step of Its Future Directions

Luckin's Lemonade drinks are a short-term profit boost, but may not sustain due to lower quality. Luckin's pursuit of me-too SKU is worrisome to us.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1347HK/ACMR/1810HK/BIDU/175HK/1211HK/NIO/XPEV/TSLA/LI/2150HK/1519HK/ZTO/1810HK

​Hua Hong Wuxi Fab Phase II starts tool move-in, Xiaomi faces backlash for selling cars at a loss, Nayuki opens first overseas store in Thailand.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

O2O Playing a More Prominent Role in China Street Drinks

​Meituan benefits from surge in delivery orders for street drinks, reaching record high order volume on August 7. Street drink brands are more rely...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/AAPL US/2150 HK/Macro News Update/Consumer Industry Update

​BYD and Uber partner to deploy 100,000 vehicles worldwide, Huawei starts production on double-hinge folding device, China's State Council...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/LI US /1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US/MNSO US/981 HK/BEKE US/2150 HK

​New energy vehicles see growth in 26th week of 2024 due to consumption subsidies; Indonesia plans high tariffs on Chinese imports; expectations...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Luckin's Small Step into Non-Coffee Drinks Is a Big Step of Its Future Directions

​Luckin's Lemonade drinks are a short-term profit boost, but may not sustain due to lower quality. Luckin's pursuit of me-too SKU is worrisome to us.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Hua Hong Wuxi Fab Phase II starts tool move-in, Xiaomi faces backlash for selling cars at a loss, Nayuki opens first overseas store in Thailand.

Meituan benefits from surge in delivery orders for street drinks, reaching record high order volume on August 7. Street drink brands are more rely...

BYD and Uber partner to deploy 100,000 vehicles worldwide, Huawei starts production on double-hinge folding device, China's State Council...

New energy vehicles see growth in 26th week of 2024 due to consumption subsidies; Indonesia plans high tariffs on Chinese imports; expectations...

Luckin's Lemonade drinks are a short-term profit boost, but may not sustain due to lower quality. Luckin's pursuit of me-too SKU is worrisome to us.