Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our bullish risk call at SPX 3,500 has panned out nicely while using our short group to sell squeeze rallies. Increasing evidence sides with a more bullish November for risk.</li>
<li>USD and the US 10yr yield face pivot support with a tactical bounce bias. Conviction is to sell the USD and Yield into strength.</li>
<li>RTY long from 1,650 has been the star performer while shorting the NDX on squeeze spiked has worked fairly well. Update SPX, RTY and NDX buy and sell level outlined.</li>
</ul>


Our bullish risk call at SPX 3,500 has panned out nicely while using our short group to sell squeeze rallies. Increasing evidence sides with a more bullish November for risk.
USD and the US 10yr yield face pivot support with a tactical bounce bias. Conviction is to sell the USD and Yield into strength.
RTY long from 1,650 has been the star performer while shorting the NDX on squeeze spiked has worked fairly well. Update SPX, RTY and NDX buy and sell level outlined.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

<ul>
<li>The bear market rally we have been discussing since our Sept. 27 Compass report has begun.</li>
<li>Over half of the Sectors and all the major indexes (S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA, and S&amp;P 600 Small Caps) display bullish 2+ month inflections.</li>
<li>As referenced last week, we expect the aforementioned indexes to rally to their 200-day MAs; longer-term, this is still a bear market until they can break above their 200-day MAs.</li>
</ul>


The bear market rally we have been discussing since our Sept. 27 Compass report has begun.
Over half of the Sectors and all the major indexes (S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA, and S&amp;P 600 Small Caps) display bullish 2+ month inflections.
As referenced last week, we expect the aforementioned indexes to rally to their 200-day MAs; longer-term, this is still a bear market until they can break above their 200-day MAs.


Another Bear Market Rally Begins; Indexes and Sectors With Bullish 2+ Month Inflections

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our call to buy risk Monday for a squeeze rally into Wed rewarded but now we see a compelling NDX short setting up as rising wedge formations mature.</li>
<li>USD buy dips this week for a push to DXY 115.40. 10yr bias to push to 4.19% means equities get that final draw down for the late October low.</li>
<li>Mid October SPX short squeeze rise nearly complete for a decline into our late October cycle low. NDX displays a clear bear pattern with 11,500 resistance.</li>
</ul>


Our call to buy risk Monday for a squeeze rally into Wed rewarded but now we see a compelling NDX short setting up as rising wedge formations mature.
USD buy dips this week for a push to DXY 115.40. 10yr bias to push to 4.19% means equities get that final draw down for the late October low.
Mid October SPX short squeeze rise nearly complete for a decline into our late October cycle low. NDX displays a clear bear pattern with 11,500 resistance.


Senior Equity Derivatives Trader

Simon Harris

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets</li>
<li>Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days</li>
<li>We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces</li>
</ul>


Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets
Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days
We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces


EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades

<ul>
<li>Short basket call on Oct 4/5 and Oct 14. Mid October squeeze rally to recycle shorts unfolded/in line. October 23 and 30 cycle dates linked to a cycle low.</li>
<li>The key moving parts to form a cycle low center around a DXY peak, the US 10yr yield new high/top and long equity basket lows holding on an SPX low.</li>
<li>New yield and USD high to align with an SPX low with lead signals stemming from our long basket holding support zones (lead relative signal). Manage swings into late Oct.</li>
</ul>


Short basket call on Oct 4/5 and Oct 14. Mid October squeeze rally to recycle shorts unfolded/in line. October 23 and 30 cycle dates linked to a cycle low.
The key moving parts to form a cycle low center around a DXY peak, the US 10yr yield new high/top and long equity basket lows holding on an SPX low.
New yield and USD high to align with an SPX low with lead signals stemming from our long basket holding support zones (lead relative signal). Manage swings into late Oct.


United States

The NASDAQ-100 Index is a modified capitalization-weighted index of the 100 largest and most active non-financial domestic and international issues listed on the NASDAQ. No security can have more than a 24% weighting. The index was developed with a base value of 125 as of February 1, 1985. Prior to December 21,1998 the Nasdaq 100 was a cap-weighted index.

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX)

SPX 3,500 Transitioning Higher

Our bullish risk call at SPX 3,500 has panned out nicely while using our short group to sell squeeze rallies. Increasing evidence sides with a more...

Thomas Schroeder

Another Bear Market Rally Begins; Indexes and Sectors With Bullish 2+ Month Inflections

The bear market rally we have been discussing since Sept. 27 has begun, with over half of the Sectors and all the major indexes $SPX $QQQ $NDX...

Vermilion Research

NDX Wedge Short Set Up

Our call to buy risk Monday for a squeeze rally into Wed rewarded but now we see a compelling NDX short setting up as rising wedge formations...

Thomas Schroeder

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades

Weekly update of spot, vol and skew changes across 8 global markets. We analyse the best trades based on the vols surfaces, and update on any...

Simon Harris

Mechanics of a Late October Cycle Low

Short call on Oct 4/5 and Oct 14. Mid October squeeze rally to recycle shorts unfolded/in line. October 23 and 30 cycle dates linked to a cycle...

Thomas Schroeder