Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 10th December 2024, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fosun-tourism-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27439:1" rel="noopener">Fosun Tourism (1992 HK)</a> announced a <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/1210/2024121000882.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">rare Scheme buyback</a>, with a Cancellation Price of $7.80/share (not declared final), a punchy 95% premium to undisturbed. </li>
<li>A successful Scheme would result in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fosun-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:433:1" rel="noopener">Fosun International (656 HK)</a> and concert parties holding 100% in Fosun Tourism - without having to outlay a cent. </li>
<li>A scrip alternative was afforded IF expressions of interests from 1% of shares out occurred. That didn't happen. Still a clean deal. Scheme Doc dispatch is the 14th Feb.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 10th December 2024, Fosun Tourism (1992 HK) announced a rare Scheme buyback, with a Cancellation Price of $7.80/share (not declared final), a punchy 95% premium to undisturbed. 
A successful Scheme would result in Fosun International (656 HK) and concert parties holding 100% in Fosun Tourism - without having to outlay a cent. 
A scrip alternative was afforded IF expressions of interests from 1% of shares out occurred. That didn't happen. Still a clean deal. Scheme Doc dispatch is the 14th Feb.


Fosun Tourism (1992 HK): No Love For The Scrip Alternative

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chuoh-pack-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1360:1" rel="noopener">Chuoh Pack Industry (3952 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giga-prize-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6115:1" rel="noopener">Giga Prize (3830 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanyo-special-steel-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15900:1" rel="noopener">Sanyo Special Steel (5481 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ascot-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9576:1" rel="noopener">Ascot Corp (3264 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>. 
</li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makino-milling-machine-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5200:1" rel="noopener">Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avjennings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12578:1" rel="noopener">Avjennings Ltd (AVJ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-soft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17504:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/macromill-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24026:1" rel="noopener">Macromill, Inc (3978 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/millennium-copthorne-hotels-nz-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5040:1" rel="noopener">Millennium &amp; Copthorne Hotels Nz (MCK NZ)</a>. 
</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: Chuoh Pack Industry (3952 JP), Giga Prize (3830 JP), Sanyo Special Steel (5481 JP), Ascot Corp (3264 JP), Lifestyle China (2136 HK), Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP). 

Lowest spreads: Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP), Avjennings Ltd (AVJ AU), Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP), Macromill, Inc (3978 JP), Millennium &amp; Copthorne Hotels Nz (MCK NZ). 



Merger Arb Mondays (03 Feb) - ESR, LifeStyle China, Vesync, Giga Prize, Sanyo, Ascot, Seven & I

Shinko Electric Industries / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For the month of January 2025, 14 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$6bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in January was ~57%, excluding <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-art-retail-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:401:1" rel="noopener">Sun Art Retail (6808 HK)</a>'s massive takeunder.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% .</li>
</ul>


For the month of January 2025, 14 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$6bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in January was ~57%, excluding Sun Art Retail (6808 HK)'s massive takeunder.
The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% .


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Jan 2025: Sun Art, Sanyo Special Steel, Jamco, Ascot, Dropsuite, Smart Share

<ul>
<li>It was confirmed on Friday afternoon <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> was a single cap move, NOT a double-capping in a single Review. That limits the sell down.</li>
<li>Chemist Warehouse's reverse buyout of pharmacy wholesaler <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a> is now all-but complete.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/takeda-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11747:1" rel="noopener">Takeda Pharmaceutical (4502 JP)</a> announced decent results, decently upgraded guidance in both IFRS/GAAP terms and in Core/Adjusted terms (less impressive uplift in Adjusted/Analysed terms). They also announced a ¥100bn buyback.</li>
</ul>


It was confirmed on Friday afternoon Fast Retailing (9983 JP) was a single cap move, NOT a double-capping in a single Review. That limits the sell down.
Chemist Warehouse's reverse buyout of pharmacy wholesaler Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU) is now all-but complete.

Takeda Pharmaceutical (4502 JP) announced decent results, decently upgraded guidance in both IFRS/GAAP terms and in Core/Adjusted terms (less impressive uplift in Adjusted/Analysed terms). They also announced a ¥100bn buyback.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Fast Retailing, Sigma, Takeda Pharmaceutical, WH Group

<ul>
<li>I tally 58 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Ten new deals discussed this week! Australia's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/excalibur-mining-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3088:1" rel="noopener">Dropsuite</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/red-hawk-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15387:1" rel="noopener">Red Hawk</a>,; Singapore's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japfa-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15597:1" rel="noopener">Japfa</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/slb-development-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26989:1" rel="noopener">SLB</a>; Japan's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-food-creators-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20883:1" rel="noopener">Global Food</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ascot-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9576:1" rel="noopener">Ascot Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chuoh-pack-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1360:1" rel="noopener">Chuoh Pack Industry</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giga-prize-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6115:1" rel="noopener">Giga Prize</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanyo-special-steel-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15900:1" rel="noopener">Sanyo Special Steel</a>; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dada-nexus-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28961:1" rel="noopener">Dada Nexus</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-hi-speed-new-energy-g" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6927:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy (1250 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-building-ma-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1" rel="noopener">China National Building Material (3323 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-art-retail-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:401:1" rel="noopener">Sun Art (6808 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 58 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Ten new deals discussed this week! Australia's Dropsuite, Red Hawk,; Singapore's Japfa, SLB; Japan's Global Food, Ascot Corp, Chuoh Pack Industry, Giga Prize, Sanyo Special Steel; and Dada Nexus.
Key updates/news took place on: Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU), Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy (1250 HK), China National Building Material (3323 HK), Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK), and Sun Art (6808 HK).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Sigma Healthcare Dropsuite, Japfa, Dada Nexus, Malaysia Airports, Sanyo Steel

Malaysia

Malaysia Airports Holdings Berhad is an investment holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides management, maintenance, and operation of designated airports.  Malaysia Airports also operates duty-free and non-duty free stores as well as provides food and beverage outlets at the airports.

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Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK)

Fosun Tourism (1992 HK): No Love For The Scrip Alternative

This transaction is done. No competing Offer will emerge. IF payment early April, I'd pay up to HK$7.62/share for a gross/annualised return of 2%/15%.

David Blennerhassett

Merger Arb Mondays (03 Feb) - ESR, LifeStyle China, Vesync, Giga Prize, Sanyo, Ascot, Seven & I

This week, the highest gross spreads are Chuoh Pack Industry (273%), Giga Prize (48.5%), Sanyo Special Steel (37.4%), Ascot Corp (20.4%), Lifestyle...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Fast Retailing, Sigma, Takeda Pharmaceutical, WH Group

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Sigma Healthcare Dropsuite, Japfa, Dada Nexus, Malaysia Airports, Sanyo Steel

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

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Fosun Tourism (1992 HK): No Love For The Scrip Alternative

This transaction is done. No competing Offer will emerge. IF payment early April, I'd pay up to HK$7.62/share for a gross/annualised return of 2%/15%.

David Blennerhassett

Merger Arb Mondays (03 Feb) - ESR, LifeStyle China, Vesync, Giga Prize, Sanyo, Ascot, Seven & I

This week, the highest gross spreads are Chuoh Pack Industry (273%), Giga Prize (48.5%), Sanyo Special Steel (37.4%), Ascot Corp (20.4%), Lifestyle...

Arun George

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Jan 2025: Sun Art, Sanyo Special Steel, Jamco, Ascot, Dropsuite, Smart Share

For the month of January, 14 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of just ~US$6bn. The average premium for the new...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Fast Retailing, Sigma, Takeda Pharmaceutical, WH Group

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Sigma Healthcare Dropsuite, Japfa, Dada Nexus, Malaysia Airports, Sanyo Steel

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett