Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The ACCC has approved <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a>'s transformational merger with Chemist Warehouse. There are still other regulatory approvals pending.</li>
<li>The surge in the stock price could lead to the inclusion of MergeCo in one more index, further increasing the flow in the stock and the impact of passive buying.</li>
<li>Passive trackers are now estimated to buy a total of 938m shares (A$2.25bn; 103x ADV) in MergeCo. The buy flow could take place between January and March.</li>
</ul>


The ACCC has approved Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)'s transformational merger with Chemist Warehouse. There are still other regulatory approvals pending.
The surge in the stock price could lead to the inclusion of MergeCo in one more index, further increasing the flow in the stock and the impact of passive buying.
Passive trackers are now estimated to buy a total of 938m shares (A$2.25bn; 103x ADV) in MergeCo. The buy flow could take place between January and March.


Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)/ Chemist Warehouse Merger: Updated Flow; ACCC Approval; Stock Surge

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a>'s transformational merger with Chemist Warehouse is pending ACCC approval. ACCC is expected to announce its findings on 7 November.</li>
<li>If approvals from ACCC, NZ OIO and others are obtained, the merger could complete early 2025 and the MergeCo will have a market cap of around A$21.7bn.</li>
<li>That means upward migrations for MergoCo in the S&amp;P/ASX indices and as well as global indices. There will be significant impact on MergeCo from passive tracker buying.</li>
</ul>



Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)'s transformational merger with Chemist Warehouse is pending ACCC approval. ACCC is expected to announce its findings on 7 November.
If approvals from ACCC, NZ OIO and others are obtained, the merger could complete early 2025 and the MergeCo will have a market cap of around A$21.7bn.
That means upward migrations for MergoCo in the S&amp;P/ASX indices and as well as global indices. There will be significant impact on MergeCo from passive tracker buying.


Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)/ Chemist Warehouse Merger: Over US$1bn to Buy; Timing Is Important

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a> has offered a court-enforceable undertaking to alleviate preliminary anti-competition concerns raised by ACCC in relation to its proposed merger with CWG.</li>
<li>Sigma will let its franchisees who entered their franchising arrangements prior to January 1, 2024 to terminate their franchise agreements with Sigma without any penalty, for the next three years.</li>
<li>The company will also limit the usage of confidential information from its wholesale customers and franchisees for the next three years. Final decision of ACCC is expected on November 7.</li>
</ul>



Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU) has offered a court-enforceable undertaking to alleviate preliminary anti-competition concerns raised by ACCC in relation to its proposed merger with CWG.
Sigma will let its franchisees who entered their franchising arrangements prior to January 1, 2024 to terminate their franchise agreements with Sigma without any penalty, for the next three years.
The company will also limit the usage of confidential information from its wholesale customers and franchisees for the next three years. Final decision of ACCC is expected on November 7.


Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU): Possibility of Merger with CWG Is Still Alive

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The ACCC has approved a merger deal between pharmacy wholesaler <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a> and pharmacy franchiser Chemist Warehouse, saying the transaction won't substantially lessen competition in Australia's pharmaceutical industry.</li>
<li>The merger still requires the approval of Chemist Warehouse and Sigma's shareholders, both of which should be a formality.  Plus New Zealand's OIO. This could potentially wrap up late-Dec/early-Jan.</li>
<li>Sigma is up bigly as I type as investors get exposure to Chemist Warehouse's hybrid IPO. However, implied MergeCo pricing appears elevated.</li>
</ul>


The ACCC has approved a merger deal between pharmacy wholesaler Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU) and pharmacy franchiser Chemist Warehouse, saying the transaction won't substantially lessen competition in Australia's pharmaceutical industry.
The merger still requires the approval of Chemist Warehouse and Sigma's shareholders, both of which should be a formality.  Plus New Zealand's OIO. This could potentially wrap up late-Dec/early-Jan.
Sigma is up bigly as I type as investors get exposure to Chemist Warehouse's hybrid IPO. However, implied MergeCo pricing appears elevated.


ACCC Greenlights Sigma/Chemist Warehouse Merger

<ul>
<li>Back on the 11th December 2023, pharmacy distributor <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a> announced a "transformational merger" - in effect a reverse takeover - with mega chain Chemist Warehouse (CWG).</li>
<li>In <a href="https://skr.ma/qWWUZ," target="_blank" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU): Chemist Warehouse's Reverse Takeover</a> I flagged pushback from ACCC; but on balance thought the merger should still get up.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/travis-lundy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:25" rel="noopener">Travis Lundy</a> struck a more tentative tone in <a href="https://skr.ma/Q9Kv1," target="_blank" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare: ASX200 Inclusion Now, MUCH More Squeezy Fun Later. Maybe... </a>Rightfully so it seems. The ACCC has now raised competition concerns. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 11th December 2023, pharmacy distributor Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU) announced a "transformational merger" - in effect a reverse takeover - with mega chain Chemist Warehouse (CWG).
In Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU): Chemist Warehouse's Reverse Takeover I flagged pushback from ACCC; but on balance thought the merger should still get up.

Travis Lundy struck a more tentative tone in Sigma Healthcare: ASX200 Inclusion Now, MUCH More Squeezy Fun Later. Maybe... Rightfully so it seems. The ACCC has now raised competition concerns. 


Sigma/Chemist Warehouse Merger: ACCC Has (Many) Issues

Australia

Sigma Healthcare Limited wholesales and distributes pharmaceutical products. The Company offers prescription, over-the-counter, and generic drugs. Sigma Healthcare serves customers in Australia.

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Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)