Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Jehoshaphat Research (JR) argues the case that <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techtronic-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4561:1" rel="noopener">Techtronic Industries (669 HK)</a></strong> has been engaged in “snowballing” to maintain margin growth.</li>
<li>JR flags TTI is the only public company in the world (with over $1bn in revenues) exhibiting positive sequential gross margin change in every semi-annual period over ten years.</li>
<li>Short interest had been picking up ahead of the short sell report. Shares fell 19% before being suspended in the afternoon session.  </li>
</ul>


Jehoshaphat Research (JR) argues the case that Techtronic Industries (669 HK) has been engaged in “snowballing” to maintain margin growth.
JR flags TTI is the only public company in the world (with over $1bn in revenues) exhibiting positive sequential gross margin change in every semi-annual period over ten years.
Short interest had been picking up ahead of the short sell report. Shares fell 19% before being suspended in the afternoon session.  


Techtronic Industries (669 HK): JR Puts Down That Tool

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to ride this trend higher and buy dips as long as ACWI-US and EEM-US remain above supports at $110 and $41-$42.</li>
<li>In our previous Int'l Compass (June 27) we discussed the rotation that we believed was starting, whereby global Technology (IXN-US) would consolidate as investors rotate to laggard areas.</li>
<li>This rotation has continued while Technology goes through a healthy consolidation. Continue to focus on other more value-oriented Sectors while Technology/growth consolidates</li>
</ul>


Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to ride this trend higher and buy dips as long as ACWI-US and EEM-US remain above supports at $110 and $41-$42.
In our previous Int'l Compass (June 27) we discussed the rotation that we believed was starting, whereby global Technology (IXN-US) would consolidate as investors rotate to laggard areas.
This rotation has continued while Technology goes through a healthy consolidation. Continue to focus on other more value-oriented Sectors while Technology/growth consolidates


Rotation Continues; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in Global Financials, Industrials, Discretionary

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Forensic Accounting

Techtronic Industries / Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>Following Jehoshaphat’s allegations that profits are inflated dramatically over a decade with manipulative accounting, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techtronic-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4561:1" rel="noopener">Techtronic Industries (669 HK)</a> has issued a rebuttal clarifying that the accusations are without any merit.</li>
<li>TTI's beyond comparison performance is due to world class brands such as Milwaukee, Ryobi and Hoover which have helped top line grow at 13% CAGR over the past 13 years.</li>
<li>Nevertheless, we have assessed some of the company’s clarifications here which seemed too good to be true.</li>
</ul>


Following Jehoshaphat’s allegations that profits are inflated dramatically over a decade with manipulative accounting, Techtronic Industries (669 HK) has issued a rebuttal clarifying that the accusations are without any merit.
TTI's beyond comparison performance is due to world class brands such as Milwaukee, Ryobi and Hoover which have helped top line grow at 13% CAGR over the past 13 years.
Nevertheless, we have assessed some of the company’s clarifications here which seemed too good to be true.


Techtronic’s Rebuttal: Some Clarifications Are Too Good to Be True

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://jehoshaphatresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/669HK-Short-Report-Feb-2023-Jehoshaphat-Research.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Jehoshaphat's short report</a> has alleged that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techtronic-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4561:1" rel="noopener">Techtronic Industries (669 HK)</a>/TTI has been inflating its profits dramatically for over a decade with manipulative accounting.</li>
<li>Our forensic analysis of the allegations suggests that some are credible red flags while others are essentially an exaggeration.</li>
<li>TTI’s response to Jehoshaphat is pitiful. Valuation is meaningless until management adopts more conservative accounting or compelling disprove the allegations.</li>
</ul>



Jehoshaphat's short report has alleged that Techtronic Industries (669 HK)/TTI has been inflating its profits dramatically for over a decade with manipulative accounting.
Our forensic analysis of the allegations suggests that some are credible red flags while others are essentially an exaggeration.
TTI’s response to Jehoshaphat is pitiful. Valuation is meaningless until management adopts more conservative accounting or compelling disprove the allegations.


Techtronic Industries (669 HK): Forensic Analysis Viewpoint

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techtronic-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4561:1" rel="noopener">Techtronic Industries (669 HK)</a> was targeted by Jehoshaphat Research (JR) accusing that the company’s profits are inflated dramatically over a decade with manipulative accounting.</li>
<li>As per the report, routine expenses incurred have been booked under various asset accounts such as deferred development costs thereby showing ever increasing margins for a cyclical business.</li>
<li>We have assessed the merits of some of these claims using our forensic accounting framework and it appears that most of the claims are very difficult to refute.</li>
</ul>



Techtronic Industries (669 HK) was targeted by Jehoshaphat Research (JR) accusing that the company’s profits are inflated dramatically over a decade with manipulative accounting.
As per the report, routine expenses incurred have been booked under various asset accounts such as deferred development costs thereby showing ever increasing margins for a cyclical business.
We have assessed the merits of some of these claims using our forensic accounting framework and it appears that most of the claims are very difficult to refute.


Techtronic Industries: Jehoshaphat Research’s Allegations and Our Assessment

Japan

Makita Corporation manufactures electric power tools, including battery-operated power tools, stationary wood working machines, pneumatic devices, and gardening tools.  The Company also produces power tool attachments and accessories and provides parts replacement and repair services.

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Makita Corp (6586 JP)

Techtronic Industries (669 HK): JR Puts Down That Tool

Someone had an ax to grind with management. This type of research dost not just appear out of thin air. The static gross margin figures are...

David Blennerhassett

Rotation Continues; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in Global Financials, Industrials, Discretionary

Rotation Continues; Bullish Outlook Intact as $ACWI and $EEM hold above $110 and $41-42; Buys in global Financials, Industrials, and Consumer...

Vermilion Research

Techtronic’s Rebuttal: Some Clarifications Are Too Good to Be True

Following Jehoshaphat’s allegations, TTI has issued a rebuttal clarifying that the accusations are without any merit. we have assessed some of the...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Techtronic Industries (669 HK): Forensic Analysis Viewpoint

Our forensic analysis of the allegations suggests that some are credible red flags while others are essentially an exaggeration. A weak Board...

Arun George

Techtronic Industries: Jehoshaphat Research’s Allegations and Our Assessment

Little known short-seller Jehoshaphat Research has targeted TTI. Most allegations are difficult to refute. Our analysis reveals there is...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

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