Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Improved sentiment in Asia Ex-Japan Autos sector as sustained increases in positioning continue through 2023.</li>
<li>BYD Company most widely held but stabilizing; Li Auto sees increased buying. Sector 7th most owned, underweight by -0.85%.</li>
<li>Rising Allocations, Low Historical Positioning and Net Underweight Suggest Potential Continued Demand for Auto Stocks</li>
</ul>


Improved sentiment in Asia Ex-Japan Autos sector as sustained increases in positioning continue through 2023.
BYD Company most widely held but stabilizing; Li Auto sees increased buying. Sector 7th most owned, underweight by -0.85%.
Rising Allocations, Low Historical Positioning and Net Underweight Suggest Potential Continued Demand for Auto Stocks


Asian Autos: Increasing Exposure Reflects Rising Market Confidence

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We recently visited a <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a>  showroom in Ahmedabad, with the objective of understanding the preference for Electric Vehicles in India.</li>
<li>Pitched as the "Tata" of China, BYD offers 2 models ATTO 3 and e6 in India. </li>
<li>Considering <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla Motors (TSLA US)</a> India interest, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mahindra-mahindra-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16441:1" rel="noopener">Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN)</a> big bet on EV, BYD's current operations in India seem to be minuscule and may find little success.</li>
</ul>


We recently visited a BYD (1211 HK)  showroom in Ahmedabad, with the objective of understanding the preference for Electric Vehicles in India.
Pitched as the "Tata" of China, BYD offers 2 models ATTO 3 and e6 in India. 
Considering Tesla Motors (TSLA US) India interest, and Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN) big bet on EV, BYD's current operations in India seem to be minuscule and may find little success.


BYD (1211 HK) | Takeaways from India Showroom Visit | "Tata" Of China

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-vehicles-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28012:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK)</a> possible H Share buyback offer, excluding <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-international-marine-cntnrs-gp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11752:1" rel="noopener">China International Marine Cntnrs Gp (2039 HK)</a>’s shares, is HK$7.00, an 8.7% premium to the undisturbed price. </li>
<li>The key condition is approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection). There could also be a 90% minimum acceptance condition.</li>
<li>The offer is light, but independent H shareholders holding blocking stakes will likely be supportive. The final offer will be made on “same or better terms”, suggesting a potential bump.</li>
</ul>



CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK) possible H Share buyback offer, excluding China International Marine Cntnrs Gp (2039 HK)’s shares, is HK$7.00, an 8.7% premium to the undisturbed price. 
The key condition is approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection). There could also be a 90% minimum acceptance condition.
The offer is light, but independent H shareholders holding blocking stakes will likely be supportive. The final offer will be made on “same or better terms”, suggesting a potential bump.


CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): Possible H Share Buyback Offer

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Mahindra &amp; Mahindra: M&amp;M Q2FY24 PAT at INR 34.5bn was ahead of our estimate of INR 26.9bn due to higher than expected other income even as the operating performance was in line with our estimates</li><li>While auto segment margins were ahead of our estimates, tractor margins lagged behind estimates due to new launch costs</li><li>On the back of strong demand for its models, M&amp;M has gained 110bps share in UVs to 18.1% in H1FY24</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Mahindra &amp; Mahindra: M&amp;M Q2FY24 PAT at INR 34.5bn was ahead of our estimate of INR 26.9bn due to higher than expected other income even as the operating performance was in line with our estimatesWhile auto segment margins were ahead of our estimates, tractor margins lagged behind estimates due to new launch costsOn the back of strong demand for its models, M&amp;M has gained 110bps share in UVs to 18.1% in H1FY24Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Mahindra & Mahindra, Ashok Leyland, Vinati Organics, NCC, Repco Home Finance

<ul><li>Given that the festive season this time has been pushed by a month into November, Q2 volume growth appears lower YoY.</li><li>In PVs, while UV demand has held up extremely well, car demand has further decelerated, driving a rich mix for most OEMs.</li><li>CV demand momentum continues to be healthy in Q2. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Given that the festive season this time has been pushed by a month into November, Q2 volume growth appears lower YoY.In PVs, while UV demand has held up extremely well, car demand has further decelerated, driving a rich mix for most OEMs.CV demand momentum continues to be healthy in Q2. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Autos (Q2FY24 Results Preview) - 4Ws to See Margin Boost QoQ

India

Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. manufactures automobiles, farm equipment and automotive components. The Company's automobile products include light, medium and heavy commercial vehicles, jeep type vehicles and passenger cars. Mahindra & Mahindra also manufactures agricultural tractors, agricultural implements, internal combustion engines, industrial petrol engines, spare parts and machine tools.

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Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN)

Asian Autos: Increasing Exposure Reflects Rising Market Confidence

Improved sentiment in Asia Ex-Japan Autos sector as sustained increases in positioning from active funds continue through 2023.

Steven Holden

BYD (1211 HK) | Takeaways from India Showroom Visit | "Tata" Of China

BYD's presence in India's electric vehicle market may struggle to gain traction compared to Tesla and Mahindra & Mahindra due to its limited...

Pranav Bhavsar

HSIE Results Daily: Mahindra & Mahindra, Ashok Leyland, Vinati Organics, NCC, Repco Home Finance

M&M Q2FY24 PAT at INR 34.5bn was ahead of our estimate of INR 26.9bn due to higher than expected other income even as the operating performance was...

HDFC Securities

Autos (Q2FY24 Results Preview) - 4Ws to See Margin Boost QoQ

In PVs, while UV demand has held up extremely well, car demand has further decelerated, driving a rich mix for most OEMs. CV demand momentum...

HDFC Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asian Autos: Increasing Exposure Reflects Rising Market Confidence

Improved sentiment in Asia Ex-Japan Autos sector as sustained increases in positioning from active funds continue through 2023.

Steven Holden

BYD (1211 HK) | Takeaways from India Showroom Visit | "Tata" Of China

​BYD's presence in India's electric vehicle market may struggle to gain traction compared to Tesla and Mahindra & Mahindra due to its limited...

Pranav Bhavsar

CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): Possible H Share Buyback Offer

The offer is light, but independent H shareholders holding blocking stakes will likely be supportive. The final offer will be made on “same or...

Arun George

HSIE Results Daily: Mahindra & Mahindra, Ashok Leyland, Vinati Organics, NCC, Repco Home Finance

M&M Q2FY24 PAT at INR 34.5bn was ahead of our estimate of INR 26.9bn due to higher than expected other income even as the operating performance was...

HDFC Securities

Autos (Q2FY24 Results Preview) - 4Ws to See Margin Boost QoQ

In PVs, while UV demand has held up extremely well, car demand has further decelerated, driving a rich mix for most OEMs. CV demand momentum...

HDFC Securities

BYD's presence in India's electric vehicle market may struggle to gain traction compared to Tesla and Mahindra & Mahindra due to its limited...