External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Prabhudas Lilladhar

Prabhudas Lilladhar

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Prabhudas Lilladher is one of India's leading research based financial services organisation.

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We attended the annual analyst meet of M&amp;M where the company gave a detailed overview of its Automotive and Farm business verticals as well as its subsidiary.</li><li>M&amp;M outlined a strong outlook for the Automotive and Farm divisions led by new launches.</li><li>With its new launches receiving healthy response, we believe it will deliver mid-high teens growth in the UVs in FY25. The launch of OJA series tractors has been well received in the domestic as well as international markets.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We attended the annual analyst meet of M&amp;M where the company gave a detailed overview of its Automotive and Farm business verticals as well as its subsidiary.M&amp;M outlined a strong outlook for the Automotive and Farm divisions led by new launches.With its new launches receiving healthy response, we believe it will deliver mid-high teens growth in the UVs in FY25. The launch of OJA series tractors has been well received in the domestic as well as international markets.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Mahindra & Mahindra - Robust Auto & Farm Portfolios to Drive Growth

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Jun’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic PV sales (Exhibit-2) grew by 5% YoY (down 3% MoM), largely led by strong domestic SUV volumes across Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) , which were partly offset by weakness in entry-level cars.</li><li>The domestic 2W industry (excl HMSI) witnessed volume growth of ~11% YoY (down 3% MoM) led by rural recovery; however exports declined 4% YoY (down 9% MoM) respectively.</li><li>The domestic CV industry sales degrew by ~4% YoY (up 6% MoM) mainly due to lower LCV and MHCV goods carrier volumes being partly set off by high industry volume for buses. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Jun’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic PV sales (Exhibit-2) grew by 5% YoY (down 3% MoM), largely led by strong domestic SUV volumes across Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) , which were partly offset by weakness in entry-level cars.The domestic 2W industry (excl HMSI) witnessed volume growth of ~11% YoY (down 3% MoM) led by rural recovery; however exports declined 4% YoY (down 9% MoM) respectively.The domestic CV industry sales degrew by ~4% YoY (up 6% MoM) mainly due to lower LCV and MHCV goods carrier volumes being partly set off by high industry volume for buses. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Government Hikes Windfall Tax on Crude Oil to Rs.6,000 per Tonne from Rs.3,250</li>
<li>Larsen &amp; Turbo Secures Significant Offshore Order worth Rs. 2,500 crores from ONGC</li>
<li>Mahindra &amp; Mahindra Total volume Rise 11% YoY to 69,397 Units in June 2024</li>
</ul>


Government Hikes Windfall Tax on Crude Oil to Rs.6,000 per Tonne from Rs.3,250
Larsen &amp; Turbo Secures Significant Offshore Order worth Rs. 2,500 crores from ONGC
Mahindra &amp; Mahindra Total volume Rise 11% YoY to 69,397 Units in June 2024


#22 India Insight: Increase in Windfall Tax on Crude Oil, L&T Offshore Order, M&M Volume Rise

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>We challenge <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mahindra-mahindra-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16441:1" rel="noopener">Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN)</a> 's narrative of strong demand and booking pipeline (140k+ open bookings, excl Scorpio N as of Q1 FY23) </li>
<li>There is a possibility of a monthly booking rate of 10.3k for XUV700 and 5K per month for Thar being overstated. </li>
<li>With increasing competition (MSIL + Toyota), cancellations will increase leading to even lower waiting periods and a reduced booking pipeline. </li>
</ul>


We challenge Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN) 's narrative of strong demand and booking pipeline (140k+ open bookings, excl Scorpio N as of Q1 FY23) 
There is a possibility of a monthly booking rate of 10.3k for XUV700 and 5K per month for Thar being overstated. 
With increasing competition (MSIL + Toyota), cancellations will increase leading to even lower waiting periods and a reduced booking pipeline. 


Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN) | The Bookings Fallacy

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a> has announced a Scheme of Arrangement where all the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd-a-dvr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:349:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors DVR (TTMT/A IN)</a> shares will be cancelled.</li>
<li>For every 10 shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd-a-dvr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:349:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors DVR (TTMT/A IN)</a> held, shareholders will receive 7 shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a>. </li>
<li>The process is expected to take 12-15 months to complete and there will be passive buying in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a> at the end of it.</li>
</ul>



Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) has announced a Scheme of Arrangement where all the Tata Motors DVR (TTMT/A IN) shares will be cancelled.
For every 10 shares of Tata Motors DVR (TTMT/A IN) held, shareholders will receive 7 shares of Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN). 
The process is expected to take 12-15 months to complete and there will be passive buying in Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) at the end of it.


Tata Motors (TTMT IN) - Goodbye to the DVR Arb

India

Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. manufactures automobiles, farm equipment and automotive components. The Company's automobile products include light, medium and heavy commercial vehicles, jeep type vehicles and passenger cars. Mahindra & Mahindra also manufactures agricultural tractors, agricultural implements, internal combustion engines, industrial petrol engines, spare parts and machine tools.

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Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN)

Mahindra & Mahindra - Robust Auto & Farm Portfolios to Drive Growth

We attended the annual analyst meet of M&M where the company gave a detailed overview of its Automotive and Farm business verticals as well as its...

Prabhudas Lilladhar

Auto Monthly Volume - June 2024

The domestic PV sales (Exhibit-2) grew by 5% YoY (down 3% MoM), largely led by strong domestic SUV volumes across Original Equipment Manufacturers...

Axis Direct

#22 India Insight: Increase in Windfall Tax on Crude Oil, L&T Offshore Order, M&M Volume Rise

Government increases windfall tax on crude oil, Larsen & Turbo wins Rs. 2,500 crore offshore order from ONGC, Mahindra & Mahindra sees 11% YoY...

Sudarshan Bhandari