Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-December in January. There are companies with significant float changes from end-September and/or end-December.</li>
<li>The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.</li>
<li>There are 15 stocks that could have passive inflows from global trackers while 9 could see passive outflows in February.</li>
</ul>


Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-December in January. There are companies with significant float changes from end-September and/or end-December.
The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.
There are 15 stocks that could have passive inflows from global trackers while 9 could see passive outflows in February.


India: Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Utkarsh Small Finance Bank / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With the "Postcard" series, our objective is to bring to our readers on-ground insights based on interactions across key channels located in tier 2 and tier 3 locations.</li>
<li>For this Postcard, we travel to the east to the city of Ranchi, located in the heart of Jharkhand. </li>
<li>Stocks in focus include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/utkarsh-small-finance-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39909:1" rel="noopener">Utkarsh Small Finance Bank (1639303D IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aditya-vision-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40299:1" rel="noopener">Aditya Vision (AVL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mahindra-mahindra-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16441:1" rel="noopener">Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedant-fashions-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34260:1" rel="noopener">Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


With the "Postcard" series, our objective is to bring to our readers on-ground insights based on interactions across key channels located in tier 2 and tier 3 locations.
For this Postcard, we travel to the east to the city of Ranchi, located in the heart of Jharkhand. 
Stocks in focus include Utkarsh Small Finance Bank (1639303D IN), Aditya Vision (AVL IN), Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN), Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN). 


Postcard from Ranchi | The Wild Wild East

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brainbees-solutions" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36115:1" rel="noopener">FirstCry (0172540D IN)</a>, India’s largest multi-channel retailing platform for mothers’, babies’ and kids’ products, has filed for a US$700 million IPO. </li>
<li>The substantial shareholders are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> Vision Fund (25.55% of shares), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mahindra-mahindra-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16441:1" rel="noopener">Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN)</a> (10.98%), Premji Invest (10.36%) and Supam Maheshwari - founder and CEO (5.95%).</li>
<li>The bull case rests on growing addressable markets, strong market positioning, robust GMV growth and strong organic growth.   </li>
</ul>



FirstCry (0172540D IN), India’s largest multi-channel retailing platform for mothers’, babies’ and kids’ products, has filed for a US$700 million IPO. 
The substantial shareholders are Softbank Group (9984 JP) Vision Fund (25.55% of shares), Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN) (10.98%), Premji Invest (10.36%) and Supam Maheshwari - founder and CEO (5.95%).
The bull case rests on growing addressable markets, strong market positioning, robust GMV growth and strong organic growth.   


Brainbees Solutions (FirstCry) IPO: The Bull Case

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>During 4Q2023, the 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +10.1%y/y, significantly up from the +3.5% reported during 3Q2023.</li>
<li>63% of companies delivered positive EPS surprises, and only 55% delivered positive Sales surprises, continuing the reacceleration trend witnessed during 2023.</li>
<li>Historically, there has been a significant difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.</li>
</ul>


During 4Q2023, the 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +10.1%y/y, significantly up from the +3.5% reported during 3Q2023.
63% of companies delivered positive EPS surprises, and only 55% delivered positive Sales surprises, continuing the reacceleration trend witnessed during 2023.
Historically, there has been a significant difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.


Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 4Q2023

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (1700674D IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners are Kotak, Citigroup, BofA, Goldman Sachs, Axis, ICICI Sec, SBI Caps, BoB Caps.</li>
<li>Ola Electric Mobility is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India with manufacturing capabilities for EVs and EV components, including cells.</li>
<li>The firm manufactures EVs and certain core EV components like battery packs, motors and vehicle frames.</li>
</ul>



Ola Electric (1700674D IN) is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners are Kotak, Citigroup, BofA, Goldman Sachs, Axis, ICICI Sec, SBI Caps, BoB Caps.
Ola Electric Mobility is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India with manufacturing capabilities for EVs and EV components, including cells.
The firm manufactures EVs and certain core EV components like battery packs, motors and vehicle frames.


India

Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. manufactures automobiles, farm equipment and automotive components. The Company's automobile products include light, medium and heavy commercial vehicles, jeep type vehicles and passenger cars. Mahindra & Mahindra also manufactures agricultural tractors, agricultural implements, internal combustion engines, industrial petrol engines, spare parts and machine tools.

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Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN)

India: Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 3...

Brian Freitas

Postcard from Ranchi | The Wild Wild East

This Insight provides on-ground insights from Ranchi, Jharkhand, focusing on stocks like Utkarsh Small Finance Bank, Aditya Vision, Mahindra &...

Pranav Bhavsar

Brainbees Solutions (FirstCry) IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on growing addressable markets, strong market positioning, robust GMV growth and strong organic growth.

Arun George

Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 4Q2023

In this quarterly insight, we analyse recent GEM reporting trends with reference to Sales and EPS growth, size and percentage of positive...

Wium Malan, CFA

Ola Electric Mobility Pre-IPO Tearsheet

Ola Electric (1700674D IN) is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO. The firm is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India...

Clarence Chu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

India: Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 3...

Brian Freitas

Postcard from Ranchi | The Wild Wild East

​This Insight provides on-ground insights from Ranchi, Jharkhand, focusing on stocks like Utkarsh Small Finance Bank, Aditya Vision, Mahindra &...

Pranav Bhavsar

Brainbees Solutions (FirstCry) IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on growing addressable markets, strong market positioning, robust GMV growth and strong organic growth.

Arun George

Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 4Q2023

In this quarterly insight, we analyse recent GEM reporting trends with reference to Sales and EPS growth, size and percentage of positive...

Wium Malan, CFA

Ola Electric Mobility Pre-IPO Tearsheet

Ola Electric (1700674D IN) is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO. The firm is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India...

Clarence Chu

This Insight provides on-ground insights from Ranchi, Jharkhand, focusing on stocks like Utkarsh Small Finance Bank, Aditya Vision, Mahindra &...