Equity Research Focusing on the Consumer Sector, Small Cap Consumer Research

Small Cap Consumer Research

Equity Research Focusing on the Consumer Sector

Small Cap Consumer Research, LLC is a leading company-sponsored equity research provider focusing on the consumer sector (apparel, brand licensing and specialty retailing segments).

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We are reiterating our Buy rating, $32.50 price target and projections for Guess?</li><li>with the company announcing 4QFY24 (January) results after the close on Wednesday.</li><li>We believe management remained conservative in their 4Q projections, already incorporating a tough domestic environment, which should allow the company to achieve top and bottom line results in their projected range.</li></ul>

We are reiterating our Buy rating, $32.50 price target and projections for Guess?with the company announcing 4QFY24 (January) results after the close on Wednesday.We believe management remained conservative in their 4Q projections, already incorporating a tough domestic environment, which should allow the company to achieve top and bottom line results in their projected range.

GES: 4Q Preview: Showing the Way; Reiterate Buy Rating, $32.50 PT

<ul><li>We are reiterating our Buy rating, price target and projections for Express after visiting stores in Connecticut and Long Island.</li><li>With the stores receiving early Spring shipments, the focus is on the final clearance of older goods and setting up for the new Spring Season.</li><li>The new Spring season for women is setting up for lighter colors, continued high levels of versatility, and further expansion of key categories such as denim and Body Contour and women's suiting, while for men the focus is on textured and patterned tops, denim and seasonal suiting and dress shirts, with the relaunch of performance long sleeve shirts.</li></ul>

We are reiterating our Buy rating, price target and projections for Express after visiting stores in Connecticut and Long Island.With the stores receiving early Spring shipments, the focus is on the final clearance of older goods and setting up for the new Spring Season.The new Spring season for women is setting up for lighter colors, continued high levels of versatility, and further expansion of key categories such as denim and Body Contour and women's suiting, while for men the focus is on textured and patterned tops, denim and seasonal suiting and dress shirts, with the relaunch of performance long sleeve shirts.

EXPR: Snapping the Store: Clearing & Gearing

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/snow-peak-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7218:1" rel="noopener">Snow Peak Inc (7816 JP)</a> has recommended a Bain Capital-sponsored MBO tender offer at JPY1,250 per share, a 58.0% premium to the undisturbed price (15 February). </li>
<li>The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the tender offer is set at a 38.13% ownership ratio.</li>
<li>Based on the irrevocables, the minimum acceptance condition requires a 52.8% minority acceptance rate. While not a knockout offer, the acceptance condition is achievable.  </li>
</ul>



Snow Peak Inc (7816 JP) has recommended a Bain Capital-sponsored MBO tender offer at JPY1,250 per share, a 58.0% premium to the undisturbed price (15 February). 
The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the tender offer is set at a 38.13% ownership ratio.
Based on the irrevocables, the minimum acceptance condition requires a 52.8% minority acceptance rate. While not a knockout offer, the acceptance condition is achievable.  


Snow Peak (7816 JP): Bain-Backed MBO at JPY1,250

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Business-deals/Japan-s-Snow-Peak-plans-330m-management-buyout-with-Bain-help" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nikkei reports</a> that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/snow-peak-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7218:1" rel="noopener">Snow Peak Inc (7816 JP)</a> is set to disclose a Bain-sponsored MBO this week “<em>in the range of 1,200 yen per share.</em>”</li>
<li>Mergermarket first disclosed a potential MBO on Friday. Snow Peak responded that while it is true that we are considering going private, no decision has been made at this time.</li>
<li>The rumoured JPY1,200 offer price is light vs historical trading ranges but attractive vs peer and historical multiples. The probability of an offer materialising is high. </li>
</ul>


The Nikkei reports that Snow Peak Inc (7816 JP) is set to disclose a Bain-sponsored MBO this week “in the range of 1,200 yen per share.”
Mergermarket first disclosed a potential MBO on Friday. Snow Peak responded that while it is true that we are considering going private, no decision has been made at this time.
The rumoured JPY1,200 offer price is light vs historical trading ranges but attractive vs peer and historical multiples. The probability of an offer materialising is high. 


Snow Peak (7816 JP): Bain Contemplating Backing an MBO at JPY1,200

<ul><li>We are reiterating our Buy rating, $32.50 price target and raising our projections to reflect the announced acquisition of leading premium ($195+) denim player rag & bone by Guess?</li><li>and a joint venture with leading brand licensor WHP Global.</li><li>We view this acquisition, Guess?' first, as an accretive winner, offering multiple (and material) expansion opportunities which leverage Guess?' strong international presence, infrastructure, category expansion and licensing ability and position as a leading global lifestyle brand retailer.</li></ul>

We are reiterating our Buy rating, $32.50 price target and raising our projections to reflect the announced acquisition of leading premium ($195+) denim player rag & bone by Guess?and a joint venture with leading brand licensor WHP Global.We view this acquisition, Guess?' first, as an accretive winner, offering multiple (and material) expansion opportunities which leverage Guess?' strong international presence, infrastructure, category expansion and licensing ability and position as a leading global lifestyle brand retailer.

GES: Rag & Bone an Auspicious First Acquisition; Reiterate Buy, $32.50 PT

United States

lululemon athletica Inc. designs and retails athletic clothing.  The Company produces fitness pants, shorts, tops and jackets for yoga, dance, running, and general fitness. lululemon serves customers throughout the world.

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Lululemon Athletica (LULU US)

GES: 4Q Preview: Showing the Way; Reiterate Buy Rating, $32.50 PT

We are reiterating our Buy rating, $32.50 price target and projections for Guess? with the company announcing 4QFY24 (January) results after the...

Small Cap Consumer Research

EXPR: Snapping the Store: Clearing & Gearing

We are reiterating our Buy rating, price target and projections for Express after visiting stores in Connecticut and Long Island. With the stores...

Small Cap Consumer Research

Snow Peak (7816 JP): Bain-Backed MBO at JPY1,250

Based on the irrevocables, the minimum acceptance condition requires a 52.8% minority acceptance rate. While not a knockout offer, the acceptance...

Arun George

Snow Peak (7816 JP): Bain Contemplating Backing an MBO at JPY1,200

The rumoured JPY1,200 offer price is light vs historical trading ranges but attractive vs peer and historical multiples. The probability of an...

Arun George

GES: Rag & Bone an Auspicious First Acquisition; Reiterate Buy, $32.50 PT

We are reiterating our Buy rating, $32.50 price target and raising our projections to reflect the announced acquisition of leading premium ($195+)...

Small Cap Consumer Research

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