Equity Research Focusing on the Consumer Sector, Small Cap Consumer Research

Small Cap Consumer Research

Equity Research Focusing on the Consumer Sector

Small Cap Consumer Research, LLC is a leading company-sponsored equity research provider focusing on the consumer sector (apparel, brand licensing and specialty retailing segments).

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We are reiterating our Buy rating on GES, raising our price target to $37 (from $32.50) and rolling out FY26 projections after Guess?</li><li>ended FY24 with a strong 4Q which easily beat both top and bottom line Street expectations and announced a $2.25 per share special dividend.</li><li>Further, initial FY25 projections, which incorporate the acquisition of Rag & Bone, handily beat Street top line projections and bracket bottom line expectations, even as Guess?</li></ul>

We are reiterating our Buy rating on GES, raising our price target to $37 (from $32.50) and rolling out FY26 projections after Guess?ended FY24 with a strong 4Q which easily beat both top and bottom line Street expectations and announced a $2.25 per share special dividend.Further, initial FY25 projections, which incorporate the acquisition of Rag & Bone, handily beat Street top line projections and bracket bottom line expectations, even as Guess?

GES; 4Q Review: Best Still in Store for GUESS?; Reiterate Buy & Raising PT

<ul><li>We are reiterating our Buy rating, $32.50 price target and projections for Guess?</li><li>with the company announcing 4QFY24 (January) results after the close on Wednesday.</li><li>We believe management remained conservative in their 4Q projections, already incorporating a tough domestic environment, which should allow the company to achieve top and bottom line results in their projected range.</li></ul>

We are reiterating our Buy rating, $32.50 price target and projections for Guess?with the company announcing 4QFY24 (January) results after the close on Wednesday.We believe management remained conservative in their 4Q projections, already incorporating a tough domestic environment, which should allow the company to achieve top and bottom line results in their projected range.

GES: 4Q Preview: Showing the Way; Reiterate Buy Rating, $32.50 PT

<ul><li>We are reiterating our Buy rating, price target and projections for Express after visiting stores in Connecticut and Long Island.</li><li>With the stores receiving early Spring shipments, the focus is on the final clearance of older goods and setting up for the new Spring Season.</li><li>The new Spring season for women is setting up for lighter colors, continued high levels of versatility, and further expansion of key categories such as denim and Body Contour and women's suiting, while for men the focus is on textured and patterned tops, denim and seasonal suiting and dress shirts, with the relaunch of performance long sleeve shirts.</li></ul>

We are reiterating our Buy rating, price target and projections for Express after visiting stores in Connecticut and Long Island.With the stores receiving early Spring shipments, the focus is on the final clearance of older goods and setting up for the new Spring Season.The new Spring season for women is setting up for lighter colors, continued high levels of versatility, and further expansion of key categories such as denim and Body Contour and women's suiting, while for men the focus is on textured and patterned tops, denim and seasonal suiting and dress shirts, with the relaunch of performance long sleeve shirts.

EXPR: Snapping the Store: Clearing & Gearing

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/snow-peak-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7218:1" rel="noopener">Snow Peak Inc (7816 JP)</a> has recommended a Bain Capital-sponsored MBO tender offer at JPY1,250 per share, a 58.0% premium to the undisturbed price (15 February). </li>
<li>The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the tender offer is set at a 38.13% ownership ratio.</li>
<li>Based on the irrevocables, the minimum acceptance condition requires a 52.8% minority acceptance rate. While not a knockout offer, the acceptance condition is achievable.  </li>
</ul>



Snow Peak Inc (7816 JP) has recommended a Bain Capital-sponsored MBO tender offer at JPY1,250 per share, a 58.0% premium to the undisturbed price (15 February). 
The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the tender offer is set at a 38.13% ownership ratio.
Based on the irrevocables, the minimum acceptance condition requires a 52.8% minority acceptance rate. While not a knockout offer, the acceptance condition is achievable.  


Snow Peak (7816 JP): Bain-Backed MBO at JPY1,250

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Business-deals/Japan-s-Snow-Peak-plans-330m-management-buyout-with-Bain-help" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nikkei reports</a> that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/snow-peak-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7218:1" rel="noopener">Snow Peak Inc (7816 JP)</a> is set to disclose a Bain-sponsored MBO this week “<em>in the range of 1,200 yen per share.</em>”</li>
<li>Mergermarket first disclosed a potential MBO on Friday. Snow Peak responded that while it is true that we are considering going private, no decision has been made at this time.</li>
<li>The rumoured JPY1,200 offer price is light vs historical trading ranges but attractive vs peer and historical multiples. The probability of an offer materialising is high. </li>
</ul>


The Nikkei reports that Snow Peak Inc (7816 JP) is set to disclose a Bain-sponsored MBO this week “in the range of 1,200 yen per share.”
Mergermarket first disclosed a potential MBO on Friday. Snow Peak responded that while it is true that we are considering going private, no decision has been made at this time.
The rumoured JPY1,200 offer price is light vs historical trading ranges but attractive vs peer and historical multiples. The probability of an offer materialising is high. 


Snow Peak (7816 JP): Bain Contemplating Backing an MBO at JPY1,200

United States

lululemon athletica Inc. designs and retails athletic clothing.  The Company produces fitness pants, shorts, tops and jackets for yoga, dance, running, and general fitness. lululemon serves customers throughout the world.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Lululemon Athletica (LULU US)

GES; 4Q Review: Best Still in Store for GUESS?; Reiterate Buy & Raising PT

We are reiterating our Buy rating on GES, raising our price target to $37 (from $32.50) and rolling out FY26 projections after Guess? ended FY24...

Small Cap Consumer Research

GES: 4Q Preview: Showing the Way; Reiterate Buy Rating, $32.50 PT

We are reiterating our Buy rating, $32.50 price target and projections for Guess? with the company announcing 4QFY24 (January) results after the...

Small Cap Consumer Research

EXPR: Snapping the Store: Clearing & Gearing

We are reiterating our Buy rating, price target and projections for Express after visiting stores in Connecticut and Long Island. With the stores...

Small Cap Consumer Research

Snow Peak (7816 JP): Bain-Backed MBO at JPY1,250

Based on the irrevocables, the minimum acceptance condition requires a 52.8% minority acceptance rate. While not a knockout offer, the acceptance...

Arun George

Snow Peak (7816 JP): Bain Contemplating Backing an MBO at JPY1,200

The rumoured JPY1,200 offer price is light vs historical trading ranges but attractive vs peer and historical multiples. The probability of an...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)