IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wcp-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36076:1" rel="noopener">WCP (WCP KS)</a>, a lithium-ion batteries separator company, has released an updated prospectus for its IPO of KRW900 billion (US$692 million).  </li>
<li>The updated prospectus discloses 1H22 results and a marginal increase in the syndicate’s intrinsic value. Revenue growth and margin improved in 1Q22. </li>
<li>The IPO price range of KRW80,000-100,000 remains unchanged. While the fundamentals are sound, the IPO price range remains unattractive.</li>
</ul>



WCP (WCP KS), a lithium-ion batteries separator company, has released an updated prospectus for its IPO of KRW900 billion (US$692 million).  
The updated prospectus discloses 1H22 results and a marginal increase in the syndicate’s intrinsic value. Revenue growth and margin improved in 1Q22. 
The IPO price range of KRW80,000-100,000 remains unchanged. While the fundamentals are sound, the IPO price range remains unattractive.


WCP IPO: Updated Prospectus, Solid 1H22, Unchanged and Unattractive Price Range

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wcp-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36076:1" rel="noopener">WCP (WCP KS)</a>, a lithium-ion batteries separator company, has pushed back its KRW900 billion (US$692 million) KRX IPO timeline from August to mid-September.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wcp-ipo-hooked-on-lithium" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:72863" rel="noopener">WCP IPO: Hooked on Lithium</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wcp-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:73042" rel="noopener">WCP IPO: Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we benchmark WCP vs its peers in terms of historical and forecasted financials along with multiples. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range remains unattractive.</li>
</ul>



WCP (WCP KS), a lithium-ion batteries separator company, has pushed back its KRW900 billion (US$692 million) KRX IPO timeline from August to mid-September.
We previously discussed the IPO In WCP IPO: Hooked on Lithium and WCP IPO: Valuation Insights. 
In this note, we benchmark WCP vs its peers in terms of historical and forecasted financials along with multiples. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range remains unattractive.


WCP IPO: Kicking the Can Down the Road Through a Revised IPO Timetable

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wcp-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36076:1" rel="noopener">WCP (WCP KS)</a>, a lithium-ion batteries separator company, is planning to launch a KRW900 billion (US$692 million) IPO in August.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wcp-ipo-hooked-on-lithium" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:72863" rel="noopener">WCP IPO: Hooked on Lithium</a> we noted that WCP has attractive fundamentals due to the favourable demand/supply balance, technology, strong revenue growth and improving margins. </li>
<li>In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive and we would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



WCP (WCP KS), a lithium-ion batteries separator company, is planning to launch a KRW900 billion (US$692 million) IPO in August.
In WCP IPO: Hooked on Lithium we noted that WCP has attractive fundamentals due to the favourable demand/supply balance, technology, strong revenue growth and improving margins. 
In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive and we would pass on the IPO.


Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The price diversion between LG Chem and LG Energy has deepened considerably over the past two days. The sigma is currently -2.35. It is virtually the most extreme level year-to-date.</li>
<li>LG Energy's immediate-term overhang risk will likely offset the upcoming passive inflow event. In addition, the intensity of their price cointegration has not been weakened in recent months.</li>
<li>Therefore, we should consider setting up reversion trading from this point on, aimed at the lockup release on July 27.</li>
</ul>


The price diversion between LG Chem and LG Energy has deepened considerably over the past two days. The sigma is currently -2.35. It is virtually the most extreme level year-to-date.
LG Energy's immediate-term overhang risk will likely offset the upcoming passive inflow event. In addition, the intensity of their price cointegration has not been weakened in recent months.
Therefore, we should consider setting up reversion trading from this point on, aimed at the lockup release on July 27.


Reversion Trading on a Massive Price Diversion of LG Chem & LG Energy Solution

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Samsung Electronics single-stock futures trading volume has increased significantly. In the most recent F 202207, the futures/cash TV ratio soared to 80%, considerably higher than the usual 40% level.</li>
<li>Local pension funds are doing spot/futures arbitrage quite aggressively on Samsung Electronics, resulting in unintended consequences, including the 1P discount distortion we witnessed on June 16.</li>
<li>This 1P discount distortion provides a higher spread than futures/spot arbitrage. So, we need to preemptively set up pref arbitrage while closely monitoring Samsung Electronics' basis.</li>
</ul>


The Samsung Electronics single-stock futures trading volume has increased significantly. In the most recent F 202207, the futures/cash TV ratio soared to 80%, considerably higher than the usual 40% level.
Local pension funds are doing spot/futures arbitrage quite aggressively on Samsung Electronics, resulting in unintended consequences, including the 1P discount distortion we witnessed on June 16.
This 1P discount distortion provides a higher spread than futures/spot arbitrage. So, we need to preemptively set up pref arbitrage while closely monitoring Samsung Electronics' basis.


Local Pensions' Spot/Futures Arb on Samsung Electronics & 1P Discount Distortion

South Korea

Lotte Energy Materials Corporation manufactures and distributes electric foils. The Company produces printed circuit board and lithium ion secondary batteries elecfoil, electrolytic and epoxy copper foil, electrolytic capacitor aluminum foil, and other related products. Lotte Energy Materials also offers energy and glass and window construction services.

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Lotte Energy Materials (020150 KS)

WCP IPO: Updated Prospectus, Solid 1H22, Unchanged and Unattractive Price Range

The updated prospectus discloses 1H22 results but an unchanged IPO price range of KRW80,000-100,000. While the fundamentals are sound, the IPO...

Arun George

WCP IPO: Kicking the Can Down the Road Through a Revised IPO Timetable

We benchmark WCP vs its peers in terms of historical and forecasted financials along with multiples. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO...

Arun George

WCP IPO: Valuation Insights

WCP aims to launch a KRW900 billion (US$692 million) IPO in August. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive and we...

Arun George

Reversion Trading on a Massive Price Diversion of LG Chem & LG Energy Solution

This post examines the reversion trading situation to capitalize on a massive price diversion between LG Chem and LG Energy Solution.

Sanghyun Park

Local Pensions' Spot/Futures Arb on Samsung Electronics & 1P Discount Distortion

This post investigates local pensions' recent spot/futures arbitrage on Samsung Electronics, which resulted in a massive 1P discount distortion.

Sanghyun Park

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